| 研究生: |
張蓁昀 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
在金融摩擦下外部融資溢酬之分析─以台灣DSGE實證為例 External finance premium under financial frictions─a DSGE analysis for Taiwan |
| 指導教授: |
毛維凌
許志義 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學學院 - 經濟學系 Department of Economics |
| 論文出版年: | 2012 |
| 畢業學年度: | 101 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 44 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 金融摩擦 、外部融資溢酬 、動態隨機一般均衡模型 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:299 下載:10 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本文以Paolo Gelain(2010)所建構的SWBGG模型,結合Smets & Wouters(2003,2005,2007)及Bernanke,Gertler and Gilchrist(1999),建構具有金融摩擦(financial frictions)的動態隨機一般均衡模型,用台灣的總體時間序列1980Q3-2011Q4的季資料,拱用七種觀察值:分別為實質GDP成長率、實質投資成長率、實質消費成長率、實質工資成長率、GDP平減指數成長率、工時和金融業隔夜拆款利率利用貝氏估計做參數估計,主要分析分析不同衝擊下對於台灣景氣循環波動影響,及外部融資溢酬與景氣波動的相關性。
中文摘要..........................................I
英文摘要..........................................II
致謝.............................................III
1 緒論...........................................1
1.1 研究目的.....................................1
1.2 文獻回顧.....................................2
2 模型...........................................3
2.1 家計單位.....................................5
2.2 勞動供給與工資僵固.............................6
2.3 最終財生產者..................................7
2.4 資本財生產者..................................8
2.5 企業家.......................................9
2.6 貨幣政策.....................................16
2.7 政府........................................16
2.8 商品市場結清..................................16
3 實證方法........................................16
3.1 實證軟體.....................................17
3.2 資料來源與處理................................17
3.3 參數設定.....................................18
4 實證結果........................................21
4.1 後驗分配.....................................21
4.2 衝擊反應.....................................23
5 結論...........................................31
參考文獻..........................................33
A. Steady state..................................35
B. The log-linearized model......................37
C. Prior and posterior distributions.............41
1. Bernanke, B. S.; Gertler, M. & Gilchrist, S. (1999).The
financial accerlerator in a quantitative business cycle
framework. Taylor, J. B. & Woodford, M. (Eds.) Handbook
of Macroeconomics,Amsterdam: North-Holland.
2. Christiano, L. J.; Eichenbaum, M. & Evans, C. L. (2005).
Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to
Monetary Policy.Journal of Political Economy,113(1),1-45.
3. De Graeve, F. (2008).The external finance premium and the
macroeconomy: US post-WWII evidence.Journal of Economic
Dynamics and Control,32,3415-3440.
4. Gelain Paolo, Rodriguez-Palenzuela, D. & Vilagi, B.
(2009).An Estimated Euro-area DSGE Model with Financial
Frictions: Empirical Investigation of the Financial
Accelerator Mechanism.European Central Bank,mimeo.
5. Gelain Paolo (2010).The External Finance Premium in the
Euro Area: a Useful Indicator for Monetary
Policy?.European Central Bank Working paper No 1171.
6. Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, M. K. (2012).Bayesian evaluation
of DSGE models with financial frictions. Natinal Bank of
Poland Working Paper No 109.
7. Smets, F. & Wouters, R. (2003).An estimated stochastic
dynamic general equilibrium model of the Euro Area.
Journal of the European Economic Association,1(5),1123-
1175.
8. Smets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007).Comparing shocks and
frictions in US and euro area business cycles: a Bayesian
DSGE Approach.Journal of Applied Econometrics,20,161-183.
9. Smets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007).Shocks and frictions in US
business cycles: a Bayesian DSGE approach.American
Economic Review,97,586-606.
10.Wing Leong Teo (2009).Estimated dynamic stochastic
general equilibrium model of the Taiwanese economy.
Pacific Economic Review,14:2,194-231.
11.劉斌(2010),動態隨機一般均衡模型及其應用,北京:中國金融出版社。
12.林依伶(2008),跨期替代彈性-台灣實證研究,國立台灣大學經濟學研究所碩
士論文。
13.蔡依恬(2009),台灣動態隨機一般均衡模型之實證研究,國立中央大學經濟
學研究所碩士論文。
14.陳宏鈞(2009),在動態隨機一般均衡模型下台灣消費習慣形成之估計,國立
政治大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。