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研究生: 柯翰思
Hannes Koch
論文名稱: 企業陷入困境時的重整計畫順序規劃:連結流動性、營運資金與資本結構限制的執行框架
Turnaround Program Sequencing in Corporate Distress: An Execution Framework Linking Liquidity, Working Capital, and Capital Structure Constraints
指導教授: 郭維裕
George W. Kuo
口試委員: 徐政義
Cheng, Yi Shiu
吳菊華
Wu, Chu Hua
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA)
International MBA Program College of Commerce(IMBA)
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 116
外文關鍵詞: Corporate Distress, Turnaround program sequencing, Cash runway, Refinancing pressure, Working Capital intervention
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  • 企業財務困境迫使重整部門必須決定:流動性穩定、營運資金干預及資本結構調整等工作線,究竟應依序進行,抑或必須並行推進。現有文獻大多孤立探討這些領域,導致整合性執行邏輯尚未充分發展。本論文借鑒代理理論、交易成本經濟學及動態能力理論,透過結構化的概念整合,發展出一套具情境敏感性的順序邏輯。由此建立的框架結合了2×2矩陣、四套針對特定情境的行動指南,以及一套互補的營運決策樹,並沿著兩條主要軸線進行組織:現金儲備作為首要的順序安排限制,而再融資壓力則作為在外部條件下可能迫使並行執行的觸發因素。營運資金結構在每種情境中調節槓桿的可取得性,而基於資產特異性的防護措施則界定了可行性的極限。設計上刻意保留了代理理論所指的加速策略與基於交易成本的資源榨取限制之間不可調和的張力。針對德國漢莎航空(Lufthansa AG)、蒂森克虜伯(thyssenkrupp AG)及加萊里亞·卡爾施塔特·考夫霍夫(Galeria Karstadt Kaufhof)進行的啟發式壓力測試,評估了這些框架對企業重整部門及重組決策者而言的適用性、不匹配狀況及適用範圍。


    Corporate distress forces turnaround offices to decide whether liquidity stabilization, work-ing-capital interventions, and capital-structure workstreams can be sequenced or must run in parallel. Existing literature has examined these domains largely in isolation, leaving an integrated execution logic underdeveloped. Drawing on Agency Theory, Transaction Cost Economics, and Dynamic Capabilities, this thesis develops a contingency-sensitive sequencing logic through a structured conceptual synthesis. The resulting framework combines a 2×2 matrix with four con-figuration-specific playbooks and a complementary operational decision tree, organized along two primary axes: cash runway as the primary sequencing constraint and refinancing pressure as the trigger that can force parallel execution under external conditionality. Working-capital structure moderates lever accessibility within each configuration, while asset-specificity-based guardrails define feasibility limits. An irreducible tension between agency-theoretic acceleration and trans-action-cost-based extraction constraints is preserved by design. Heuristic stress tests on Lufthansa AG, thyssenkrupp AG, and Galeria Karstadt Kaufhof assess fit, mismatch, and scope conditions for turnaround offices and restructuring decision-makers.

    1. Introduction 1
    2. Research Object & Conceptual Foundations 4
    2.1. Financial Distress: Conceptual Definition and Operational Triggers 4
    2.2. Turnaround Programs: Definition and Observable Program Markers 7
    2.3. Core Constructs and Terminology 10
    3. Theoretical Foundations and Propositions 14
    3.1. Agency Theory and Creditor Control 14
    3.2. Transaction Cost Economics: Guardrail Logic and Transaction Hazards 16
    3.3. Dynamic Capabilities: Execution Governance, Cadence and Reconfiguration 18
    3.4. Working Propositions and Derived Design Requirements 20
    4. Research Design & Methodology 26
    4.1. Research Strategy and Justification 26
    4.2. Evidence Logic and Source Selection 28
    4.3. Mechanism Extraction and Derivation Logic 29
    4.4. Case Mapping Protocol and Validity Constraints 31
    5. Liquidity Stabilization & Working-Capital Interventions 33
    5.1. Cash Triage, Cash Governance and the 13-Week Forecast 33
    5.2. Working-Capital Lever Taxonomy 36
    5.3. Trade-Offs, Failure Modes and Moderating Logic 40
    6. Capital Structure Constraints as Execution Boundaries 45
    6.1. Refinancing Pressure 45
    6.2. Creditor Control 47
    6.3. Impact on Execution Feasibility 49
    7. Integrated Execution Framework 51
    7.1. Design Requirements 51
    7.2. Overview Matrix 52
    7.3. Operational Decision Tree 56
    7.4. Traceability and Analytical Limits 59
    8. Case Mapping and Boundary Testing 62
    8.1. Case Selection and Quadrant Positioning 62
    8.2. Lufthansa AG 65
    8.3. Galeria Karstadt Kaufhof 67
    8.4. thyssenkrupp AG 69
    8.5. Cross-Case Synthesis, Rival Explanations and Boundary Observations 71
    9. Discussion 74
    9.1. Theoretical Contributions 74
    9.2. Practical Implications for Turnaround Offices 76
    9.3. Limitations and Future Research 77
    10. Conclusion 79
    11. References 81
    Appendix A: Case-Mapping Protocol 91
    Appendix B: Framework Traceability Matrix 95
    Appendix C: Case-Tables 98

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