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研究生: 張凱君
Chang, Kai-Jiun
論文名稱: 近單根模型之最小平方估計量的預測誤差
Mean-squared prediction errors of the least squares predictors in near-integrated models
指導教授: 郭炳伸
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系
Department of International Business
論文出版年: 2001
畢業學年度: 89
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 21
中文關鍵詞: 近單根模型方均預測誤差
外文關鍵詞: near-integrated models, mean-squared prediction errors
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  • The asymptotic expression for the mean-squared prediction error is discussed for the near-unit-root models. We find the mean-squared prediction error based on the ordinary least square estimator is smaller than the one using pretest estimating under some certain conditions.

    封面頁
    證明書
    致謝詞
    論文摘要
    目錄
    1 Introduction
    2 Asymptotic Properties of the MSPE
    3 Comparison of MSPE between OLS and Pretest Predictors
    4 Conclusion
    5 Appendix
    Bibliography

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    [Phillips (1988)] Phillips, P.C.B. (1988), Regression theory for near-integrated time series, Econometrica 56, 1021-1043.
    [Wei (1987)] Wei, C.Z. (1987), Adaptive prediction by the least squares predictors in stochastic regression models with application to time series, Ann. Statist. 15, 1667-1682.

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