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研究生： 蕭筑方
Hsiao, Chu Fang
論文名稱： 國際收支失衡與資本適足率最適調整之探討—以歐元區為例
Trade Imbalance and Adjustment of Capital Requirement in Euro Area
指導教授： 胡聯國
Hu, Len Kuo
學位類別： 碩士
Master
系所名稱： 商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系
Department of International Business
論文出版年： 2012
畢業學年度： 100
語文別： 英文
論文頁數： 50
中文關鍵詞： 資本適足率 、貿易失衡 、歐洲貨幣聯盟
外文關鍵詞： Capital regulation, trade imbalance, European monetary union
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    • 目前歐盟訂立的歐盟資本要求規範(Capital Requirements Directive)是為加強歐元區內的金融機構之間的風險管理並參考新巴塞爾資本協定(New Basel Capital Accord)所建構而成的風險管理規範。本文之理論基礎是以Holmström and Tirole (2011)流動性衝擊之模型與Hu (2012)資本適足率之模型為基底，從國際貿易的觀點繼續延伸，探討當考慮國際收支帳之後，資本適足率應當如何加以調整，並且探討目前歐元區全面遵循一致的資本要求規範之現象是否合適。由於歐元區各國的貿易失衡問題也是造成當前歐洲債務危機的主要因素之一，因此，本文也將觀察貿易失衡與調整資本適足率之間的關係。最後，本文以歐元區17國最近6年的經濟統計資料套用理論模型並經過實證之後發現，歐元區各國對於資本適足率調整之方向並非一致，此外，由於各國在每個時期的經濟表現也不盡相同，因此，歐盟應更多加思考歐元區各國不同的資本調整之特性與總體經濟表現來修訂資本要求規範。

    The European Union constructs a comprehensive and risk-sensitive framework, Capital Requirements Directive (CRD), to enhance risk management among financial institutions. This paper analyzes whether the rules of capital requirement ratios should be uniform for all the countries in Euro area by establishing a model of liquidity shock and capital requirement from the sight of balance of payments. This paper will also observe the relationships between current account imbalances and the adjustment of capital requirement, because international trade imbalances also account for parts of the reasons that cause nowadays European debt crisis. The results of the model show that uniform policy for capital requirement is not appropriate for all the EU-17. The adjustment of capital requirement should be considered for the various macroeconomic environments in different countries and in different times.

    CONTENTS

    摘要 i
    ABSTRACT ii
    1 Introduction 1
    2 Literature Review 5
    2.1 Public Debt 5
    2.2 Capital Requirement 5
    2.3 Trade Imbalance 7
    3 The Model 10
    3.1 Background 10
    3.2 Liquidity Shock 12
    3.3 Balance of Payment 15
    4 The Empirical Model 19
    4.1 Data 19
    4.2 Statistics of Economics Environment in EU-17 19
    4.2.1 Current Account 19
    4.2.2 Growth Rate of Output 20
    4.2.3 Debt to GDP Ratio 21
    4.3 Comparison of the Interest Rate Sensitivity of Output between EU-17 25
    4.4 The Method of Regression 29
    4.4.1 Unit Root Test 29
    4.5 Variables, Explanations, and Results of Regression 31
    4.5.1 Variables 31
    4.5.2 Results and Explanation 32
    4.6 Estimation and Policy Suggestion 33
    5 Conclusion 37
    Appendix A. 38
    Appendix B. 48
    Reference 49

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