跳到主要內容

簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 紀光陽
Chi,Kuang Yang
論文名稱: 情報決策象限理論之建構與個案分析-孫子兵法情報概念的反思
The Construction and Case Study of the Quadrangular Theory for Intelligence-Decision:Reflection on the Intelligence Thought of Sun Tzu.
指導教授: 李英明
Lee,Ying Ming
宋筱元
Song,Sheau Yuan
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 國家發展研究所
Graduate Institute of Development Studies
論文出版年: 2009
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 310
中文關鍵詞: 孫子兵法情報信息認知決策象限理論決策方程式美伊戰爭
外文關鍵詞: The Art of War by Sun-tzu, intelligence, information, cognition, decision-making, Quadrant theory, Equation of decision, Second Gulf War
相關次數: 點閱:560下載:284
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 「情報」與「決策」存在著高度的密切關係,「情報」正確而及時則相對提高「決策」的正確性;反之,則降低「決策」的正確性。但同一個「情報」對不同的個人而言,會產出不同的「決策」結果,此即是「決策」不僅與「情報」有關,亦與個人的「認知」條件有著密切的關係。
      因此,本文透過孫子兵法「情報」與「決策」的關係,架構出孫子的決策邏輯與位階性,再以此建構出情報決策「象限理論」,企圖系統性地解釋「情報」條件與決策者「認知」條件的複雜關係,並藉由第二次美伊戰爭的決策過程作為例證,說明導致決策錯誤的重要因素。並由「象限理論」中第一象限區域,及美伊戰爭決策缺失中,檢討並演繹出「國家安全決策新思維」,文中指出一個專業且中立的情報機關,除了要提升情報信息的客觀性外,更要避免、改變決策者先入為主的錯誤認知。經由本文所提出的「象限理論」、「決策方程式」、「個案分析」、「國家安全決策新思維」,將有助於瞭解並加速決策產出的質量與效能,進而有利於優質決策的產出。


    There is highly relationship between intelligence and decision-making. The correct and on time intelligence will make a good policy; but the wrong or slow intelligence will make a bad policy, on the contrary. The same intelligence for different individuals will result in different decision-making, which means decision-making has high relationship with intelligence and personal cognition.
    For this reason, this article constructs The Quadrangular Theory of Intelligence and Decision-making based on The Art of Sun-tzu theory, to explain the complicated relation between intelligence and personal cognition, as well as to state the important factor which leads to the wrong decision-making in the Second Gulf War.
    This article also point out an important concept: the professional and intelligence agencies will not only improve the objectively intelligence, but also will avoid policymaker's prejudiced cognition. The Quadrangular Theory of Intelligence and Decision-making will help to understand the whole situation and accelerate the high quality and high efficiency decision-making process.

    第一章 緒論……………………………………………………1
    第一節 研究背景…………………………………………1
    第二節 研究目的…………………………………………3
    第三節 文獻回顧 …………………………………………5
      第四節 研究設計…………………………………………13
    第二章 情報研究典範的回顧與前瞻…………………………21
      第一節 傳統安全觀念下的情報工作……………………21
      第二節 非傳統安全時代的情報課題……………………25
      第三節 現階段情報研究的主要概念……………………29
      第四節 情報學未來的發展趨勢…………………………37
    第三章 決策中的情報意涵與運用……………………………49
      第一節 情報的分類………………………………………49
      第二節 情報處理的程序…………………………………56
      第三節 情報與決策關係…………………………………61
      第四節 決策中情報的應用………………………………69
    第四章 孫子決策中的情報概念分析…………………………79
      第一節 兵法決策邏輯的歸納與建構……………………79
      第二節 全勝的情報哲學…………………………………85
      第三節 情報科學的蒐集與分析…………………………87
    第四節 情報中的兵學應用與執行 ……………………99
    第五章 情報決策象限理論與模型建構………………………111
       第一節 決策中變項因素探討……………………………112
       第二節 情報決策象限理論建構…………………………120
    第三節 象限理論中情報條件分析………………………133
    第四節 象限理論中決策者認知條件分析 ……………141
    第六章 第二次美伊戰爭個案分析……………………………151
    第一節 第二次美伊戰爭過程說明………………………151
       第二節 第二次美伊戰爭中情報條件分析………………156
       第三節 第二次美伊戰爭中決策者認知條件分析………170
    第四節 美伊戰爭中情報決策象限分析…………………182
    第七章 國家安全與情報決策新思維…………………………189
       第一節 博奕中的國家安全探討…………………………189
       第二節 新思維下的情報決策機制運作流程分析………192
    第三節 情報工作人員決策思維檢討……………………201
    第四節 本章小節…………………………………………206
    第八章 結論……………………………………………………209
       第一節 研究發現與貢獻…………………………………210
       第二節 研究建議……………………………………………216

    中文參考文獻………………………………………………………219

    西文參考文獻………………………………………………………225

    附錄
    孫子兵法十三篇內容釋義…………………………………………251


    中文參考文獻
    書籍
    于長海(1994),《軍事系統決策研究》,北京:軍事科學出版社。
    孔令晟(1995),《大戰略通論》,臺北:好聯出版社。
    毛治國(2003),《決策》,臺北:天下雜誌出版社。
    王 沖、沙雪良(2002),《致勝奇招兵聖孫子》,臺北:希代書版股份有
    限公司。
    王永生(1999),《決策方略論》,北京:人民出版社。
    王雨田(1987),《控制論、信息論、系統科學與哲學》,北京:中國人民大學出版社。
    王逸舟(1998),《西方國際政治學:歷史與理論》,上海:上海人民出版
    社。
    包昌火(1991),《情報研究方法論》,北京:科學技術文獻出版社。
    安 平(2000),《活用孫子兵法與經商》,臺北:正展出版社。
    呂亞力(1984),《政治學方法論》,臺北:三民出版社。
    呂理州(1994),《明治維新:日本邁向現代化的歷程》,臺北:遠流出版
    社。
    宋筱元(1999),《國家情報問題之研究:情報與國家關係之分析》,桃園:
    中央警察大學。
    巫和懋、夏 珍(2002),《賽局高手》,臺北:時報出版社。
    李世俊、楊世舉、蕈家瑞(1995),《活用孫子兵法. 經營篇, 經營者的決
    策/管理/行銷/領導寶典》,臺北:遠流出版社。
    李耐國(2001),《軍事情報研究》,北京:軍事科學出版社。
    李 靜(1994),《科學思維的推理藝術》,臺北:淑馨出版社。
    李啟明(1996),《不戰而屈人之兵》,臺北:臺灣中華書局出版社。
    杜 陵(1978),《情報學》,桃園:中央警官學校。
    杜 陵(1988),《情報寫作藝術》,桃園:中央警官學校。
    岳劍波(1975),《信息環境論》,北京:書目文獻出版社。
    易克信、趙國琦(1992),《社會科學情報理論與方法》,北京:社會科學文
    獻出版社。
    易君博(1993),《政治理論與研究方法》,臺北:三民書局。
    林碧炤(1987),《論國際政治的持續與轉變》,臺北:桂冠出版社。
    邱子豪(1995),《孫子兵法企業管理學》,臺北:漢宇出版社。
    胡文彬(1999),《情報學》,臺北:政治作戰學校。
    胡建恆(1968),《謀略戰研究》,臺北:政工幹部學校。
    席汝楫(1997),《社會與行為科學研究方法》,臺北:五南出版社。
    徐立新(2004),《兵聖孫子》,臺北:宜高文化出版社。
    桂京山(1977),《反情報工作概論》,桃園:中央警官學校。
    國家安全局(1963),《情報學》,臺北:國家安全局。
    張中勇(1993),《後冷戰時期國家安全情報組織及其任務之研究》,臺北:
    國科會研究報告。
    張中勇(1993),《情報研究-從情報活動的實際實踐與理論解析觀點探
    討》,桃園:中央警官學校。
    張中勇(1993),《情報與國家安全之研究》,臺北:三鋒出版社。
    張中勇(1994),《情報研究-從情報活動的實際實踐與理論解析觀點探
    討》,臺北:行政院國家科學委員會科資中心。
    張式琦(1971),《作戰情報》,臺北:情報學校。
    張式琦(1983),《國家情報》,臺北:中華戰略學會大陸研究會。
    張春興(1975),《心理學》,臺北:東華書局。
    張殿清(1997),《特殊的較量:情報與反情報》,北京:世界知識出版社。
    張殿清(2001),《情報與反情報》,臺北:時英出版社。
    張曉軍(2001),《武經七書:軍事情報思想研究》,北京:軍事科學出版
    社。
    許芳銘(1999),《一個決策過程的系統式思考型構》,新竹:交通大學經營
    管理研究所博士論文。
    陳一明(1992),《孫子兵法與決策》,河北:中州古籍出版社。
    陳海鳴(1990),《一個決策過程概念及架構的討論-從認知的觀點》,新
    竹:國立交通大學管理科學研究所博士論文。
    陳湛勻(1999),《現代決策應用與方法分析》,臺北:五南出版社。
    陸忠偉(2003),《非傳統安全論》,北京:時事出版社。
    彭懷恩(1982),《決策論奇才:賽蒙》,臺北:允晨文化出版。
    游伯龍(1985),《行為與決策-知己知彼的基礎與應用》,臺北:中央研究
    院。
    湯炎光(1963),《情報戰》,臺北:建華出版社。
    程方平(1988),《教育情報學簡論》,四川:四川教育出版社。
    鈕先鍾(1997),《孫子三論:從古兵法到新戰略》,臺北:麥田出版社。
    馮恩樁、謝仁興(1994),《情報研究學基礎》,北京:科學技術文藝出版
    社。
    楊士毅(1991),《邏輯、民主、科學-方法論導讀》,臺北:書林出版社。
    楊少俊(1992),《孫子兵法的電腦研究》,北京:解放軍出版社。
    楊善群(1999),《孫子》,永和:貿騰發賣出版社。
    葉文倩(1988),《決策、目標與經營理念》,臺北:書泉出版社。
    鄒志仁(1991),《情報學基礎》,南京:南京大學出版社。
    褚良才(2002),《孫子兵法研究與應用》,浙江:浙江大學出版社。
    趙保佑、李正平、李允豹(1992),《情報社會學》,北京:東方出版社。
    劉愷之(2002),《孫子兵法的智慧法則》,臺北:臺灣廣廈有聲圖書。
    蔡志忠(2004),《孫子兵法》,臺北:時報出版社。
    蔡萬助(2000),《21世紀軍事管理知識體系之研究》,臺北:華泰文化出
    版社。
    鄭克禮(1996),《孫子兵法在當今世界的妙用》,臺北:方智出版社。
    閻晉中(1999),《軍事情報學》,北京:時事出版社。
    謝清佳(1989),《資訊概念架構的芻議及其應用》,新竹:交通大學管理科
    學研究所博士論文。
    謝清佳(1996),《資訊管理:理論與實務》,臺北:智勝文化。
    魏 鏞(2001),《中華民國行政資訊體系之建立與展望》,臺北: 行政院
    研究發展考核委員會編印。
    魏宏森(1988),《系統理論及其哲學思考》,北京:清華大學出版社。
    嚴定暹(2003),《孫子兵法活學活用》,臺北:凱信出版社。
    蘇韶懿(1998),《孫子兵法論述-結構及其現代管理意涵之研究》,新竹:
    交通大學經營管理研究所博士論文。
    專書篇章
    宋學文(2000),〈全球化與非政府組織對國家關係的影響〉,收錄於吳英
    明、林德昌編,《非政府組織》,臺北:商鼎文化出版社,頁67-91。
    林正義(1996),〈臺灣安全戰略〉,收錄於謝淑媛編,《台海安全情報》,
    臺北:玉山出版社,頁45-70。
    羅森勃呂特、維納、別格羅(1969),〈行為、目的和目的論〉,《控制論哲
    學問題譯文集》,北京:商務印書館出版社,頁1-17。
    佛.尼.洛博夫(1995),〈戰爭中的謀略〉,《當代國外軍事名著精選》,
    北京:軍事誼文出版社,頁550-572。
    翻譯書籍
    Bossidy, Larry and Ram Charan着 李 明譯(2003),《執行力》,
    臺北:天下文化出版社。
    Farago, Ladislas著 法務部調查局譯(1955),《智慧之戰》,臺北:內
    政部調查局。
    Hirshleifer, Jack著 劉廣靈、李紹榮譯(2000),《不確定性或信息分
    析》,北京:中國社會科學出版社。
    Hulnick, Arthur S.著,國防部譯(2006),《情報與國土安全》,臺
    北:國防部譯印,頁18。
    Odom, William E.著,國防部譯(2005),《情報改革》,臺北:國防部
    譯印。
    Peters, B. Guy著,陳永芳譯(2003),《比較政治的理論與方法》,臺
    北:韋伯出版社。
    Robbinns, Stephen P.著,林思伶、李炳林譯(2005),《決策DNA》,
    臺北:培生教育出版社。
    Schramm, Wilbur L.著,余也魯譯(1990),《傳學概論:傳媒‧信息與
    人》,香港:海天出版社。
    K. B. 塔拉卡諾夫著,何士彬譯(1993),《情報學》,北京:書目文獻出
    版社。
    列爾涅爾(1980),《控制論基礎》,北京:科學出版社,頁85-86。
    期刊及學術會議文章
    老 參(1975),〈泛論軍事情報-情報是現代國防的第一線〉,《三軍聯合
    月刊》,第13卷3期,頁95-106。
    李英明、賴皆興(2005),〈從理性博奕向結構博奕轉移:兼論兩岸結構博
    奕〉,《遠景基金會季刊》,第6卷4期,頁1-29。
    汪毓瑋(2002),〈資訊時代之情報在危機決策中之作用與面臨之問題〉,
    《中華戰略學刊》,秋季刊,頁127-166。
    宋筱元(1998),〈從臺商間諜案論獨裁政權之情報機構〉,《理論與政
    策》,第47期,頁48-59。
    宋筱元(1998),〈情報研究-一門新興的學科〉,《警政學報》,第33
    期,頁459-479。
    宋筱元、紀光陽(2007),〈論孫子兵法中的情報決策觀〉,《中央警察大學
    警學叢刊》,第37卷第4期,頁43-68。
    林吉郎(2002),〈我國國家安全與危機管理:整合性緊急管理政策與機
    制〉,《國防雜誌》,第17卷9期,頁87-105。
    紀光陽(2007),〈論孫子兵法的决策思維-情報觀點的反思〉,《北臺灣科
    技學院通識學報》,第3期,頁245-263。
    孫伯先(1971),〈論戰爭原則-安全與情報〉,《情報學術研究》,第7
    期,頁24-39。
    馬費成(2002),〈論情報學的基本原理〉,《資訊傳播與圖書館學》,第8
    卷3期,頁35-44。
    高希均(2003),〈領導智慧與執行能力〉,《遠見雜誌》,第204期,頁
    30-31。
    許志強(2002),〈情報學多元進化理論研究〉,《資訊傳播與圖書館學》,
    第8卷4期,頁55-66。
    章一平(1997),〈冷戰後世界的新安全觀〉,《現代國際關係》,第2期,
    頁38-41。
    鈕先鍾(1973),〈國家安全政策,一個隱晦的領域〉,《軍事譯粹》,第
    22卷7期,頁3-21。
    黃秋龍(2004),〈非傳統安全的理論與實踐〉,《展望與探索》,第2卷4
    期,頁11-22。
    劉慶元(2002),〈國家安全戰略理論探析〉,《中華戰略學刊》,冬季刊,
    頁23-54。
    瑩 蒼(1969),〈研讀總統政治作戰情報戰訓示之心得〉,《情報學術研
    究》,第2期,頁1-20。
    蔡政修(2004),〈911事件後的美國國家安全戰略:以波灣戰爭與北韓核子
    危機為例〉,《問題與研究》,第43卷6期,頁129-165。
    繆 園(2002),〈20世紀90年代以來日本情報科學與圖書館情報學的發
    展〉,《資訊傳播與圖書館學,第8卷3期,頁85-92。
    謝志淵(2003),〈從情報學發展趨勢探討國軍戰場情報準備工作之發展〉,
    《陸軍學術月刊》,第39卷458期,頁59-69。
    嚴怡民(1992),〈情報學研究現狀與展望〉,《情報學報》,第13卷1期,
    頁1-12。
    嚴怡民(1996),〈走向21世紀的情報學〉,《圖書情報知識》,第2期,頁
    5-12。
    蘇進強(2003),〈國家安全與危機管理機制〉,《新世紀智庫論壇》,第
    21期,頁4-25。
    沈玄池(2003),〈美伊戰爭與全球外交動向〉,中興大學全球和平戰略研究
    中心,2003年4月11日。
    <http://cgpss. nchu.edu.tw /modules/ wfsection/
    article.php? articleid=78>

    西文參考文獻
    Books
    Adler, Mortimer J. (1963), Philosophy, Chicago:Encyclopedia
    Britannica.
    Alexander, Milton J. (1974), Information Systems Analysis: Theory and Applications, Chicago: Science Research
    Associates.
    Ameringer, Charles D. (1990), U.S. Foreign Intelligence:
    The Secret Side of American Society, Le×ington: Lexington
    Books.
    Andrews, Linda W. (2003), Intelligence, New York: Franklin
    Watts.
    Babbie, Earl R. (1989), The Practice of Social Research,
    California: Wadsworth Publishing.
    Ball, Desmond (2003), China's Signals Intelligence
    (SIGINT): Satellite Programs,Canberra: Strategic and
    Defence Studies Centre.
    Bamford, James (2005), A Pretext for War: 9/11, Iraq, and
    the Abuse of America's intelligence Agencies, New York:
    Anchor Books.
    World Bank Staff Author (1997), World Development Report,
    Washington D. C..: World Bank Publications.
    Bar-Joseph, Uri (1995), Intelligence Intervention in the
    Politics of Democratic States: The United States, Israel,
    and Britain, University Park, Pennsylvania: The
    Pennsylvania State University Press.
    Barrett, David M. (2005), The CIA & Congress: The Untold
    Story from Truman to Kennedy, Lawrence, Kan.: University
    Press of Kansas.
    Baylis, John and Steve Smith (1997), The Globalization of
    World Politics: An Introduction to International
    Relations, New York: Oxford University Press.
    Berg, Bruce (1995), Qualitative Research Methods for the
    Social Sciences, Boston: Allyn & Bacon.
    Berkowitz, Bruce D. and Allan E. Goodman (1989), Strategic
    Intelligence for American National Security, Princeton,
    New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
    Berkowitz, Bruce D. and Allan E. Goodman (2000), Best
    Truth: Intelligence in the Information Age, New Haven:
    Yale University Press.
    Berkwitz, Morton and Peter G. Bock (eds.) (1965), American
    National Security, New York: Free Press.
    Berlinski, David (1979), 0n Systems Analysis: An Essay
    Concerning the Limitations on Some Mathematical Methods
    in the Social, Political and Biological Science, Mass:
    MIT Press.
    Best, Richard A. (2005), Intelligence Reorganization
    Proposals, 1949-2004, New York: Novinka.
    Blumenthal Sherman C. (1969), MIS-A Framework for Planning
    and Development, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
    Bochenski, Joseph M. (1972), Philosophy: An Introduction,
    New York: Harper & Row.
    Bohman, James (2000), New Philosophy of Social Science,
    Cambridge: MIT Press.
    Born, Hans (2005), Who's Watching the Spies: Establishing
    Intelligence Service Accountability, Dulles, Va.: Potomac
    Books.
    Boulding, Kenneth E. (1953), The Image: Knowledge in Life
    and Society, Ann Arbor:University of Michigan Press.
    Brashaw, Nicholas C. (2001), Signals Intelligence, the
    British and the War in Yugoslavia 1941-1944, Southampton:
    University of Southampton, Dept. of History.
    Braybrooke, David and Charles Lindblom (1963), A Strategy
    of Decision: Policy Evaluation as a Social Process, New
    York: Free Press of Glencoe.
    Breckinridge, Scott D. (1986), The CIA and the U. S.
    Intelligence System, Boulder:Westview Press.
    Burch, John G. (1979), Information Systems: Theory and
    Practice, New York: Wiley.
    Bush, George W. (2002), Nation Strategy to Combat Weapons
    of Mass Destruction, Washington, D. C.: The White House.
    Buzan, Barry (1997), Security: A New Framework for
    Analysis, Boulder, Colo.: Lynne Rienner Publishing.
    Bynner, John (1979), Social Research: Princip1es and
    Procedures, New York: The Open University Press.
    Charters, David A. (1996), Intelligence Analysis and
    Assessment, London; Portland, Or.: Frank Cass.
    Chatterjee, Kalyan and William Samuelson (2001), Game
    Theory and Business Applications, Boston, Mass.: Kluwer
    Academic Publishing.
    Cianciolo, Anna T. (2004), Intelligence : A Brief History,
    Malden, MA: Blackwell Publishing.
    Cimbala, Stephen J. (ed. ) (1987), Intelligence and
    Intelligence Policy in a Democratic Society, New York:
    Transnational Publishing.
    Clark, Robert M. (2004), Intelligence Analysis: A Target-
    Centric Approach, Washington, D. C.: CQ Press.
    Clavell, James (ed.) (1983), The Art of War: Sun Tzu, New
    York: Delacorte Press.
    Clausewitz, Carl V. (1976), On War, Translated by Louise
    and Aylmermaude, Oxford, N. Y.; Oxford University Press.
    Cole, Stephen (1992), Making Science: Between Nature and
    Society, Cambridge, Mass.:Harvard University.
    Commission on CIA Activites Within the United States
    (1975), Report to the President,Washington, D. C.: U. S.
    Government Printing Office.
    Cooper, Joseph D. (1961), The Art of Decision-Making, New
    York: Doubleday.
    Cordesman, Anthony H. (2003), The Iraq War: Strategy,
    Tactics, and Military Lessons , Washington, D. C.: Center
    for Strategic and International Studies Press.
    Cordesman, Anthony H. and Arleigh A. Burke (2003),
    Intelligence Failures in the Iraq War, Center for
    Strategic and International, Washington, D. C.: Center
    for Strategic and International Studies Press.
    Cordesman, Anthony H. and Arleigh A. Burke (2003), The
    Lessons of the Iraq War: Issues Relating to Grand
    Strategy, Washington, D. C.: Center for Strategic and
    International Studies Press.
    Daalder, Ivo H. and James M. Lindsay (2003), America
    Unbound: The Bush Revolution in Foreign Policy/Ivo H.
    Daalder, James M. Lindsay, Washington, D. C.: Brookings
    Institution.
    Davenport, Thomas H. (2007), Competing on Analytics: The
    New Science of Winning, Boston, Mass.: Harvard Business
    School Press.
    Doane, James P. (2005), Dynamics of Homeland Security and
    National Defense, New York: McGraw-Hill.
    Doyal, Len (1986), Empiricism Explanation, and Rationality:
    An Introduction to the Philosophy of the Social Sciences,
    New York: Routledge & K. Paul.
    Drea, Edward J. (1992), MacArthur's ULTRA: Codebreaking and
    the War Against Japan, Lawrence, Kansas: University Press
    of Kansas.
    Easton, David (1953), The Political System: An Inquiry into
    the State of Political Science,New York: Knopf.
    Easton, David (1965), A Systems Analysis of Politics Life,
    New York: John Wiley & Sons.
    Easton, David (1966), A Framework for Political Analysis,
    Macmallan: Free Press.
    Ferris, John R. (2005), Intelligence and Strategy: Selected
    Essays, New York, NY: F. Cass.
    Foo, Check T. and Peter H. Grinyer (1995), Sun Tzu on
    Management: The Art of War in Contemporary Business
    Strategy, Singapore: Butterworth-Heineman Asia.
    Fukuyama, Francis (2006), America at the Crossroads,
    Democracy, Power, and the Neoconservative Legacy, New
    Haven: Yale University Press.
    Fuller, Steve (1997), Science, Buckingham: Open University
    Press.
    Gabrys, Bogdan (2005), Do Smart Adaptive Systems Exist?:
    Best Practice for Selection and Combination of
    Intelligent Methods, Berlin: Springer.
    Gilligan, Tom (2003), CIA Life: 10,000 days with the
    Agency, Boston: Intelligence Book Division.
    Godson, Roy (1981), Intelligence Requirements for the
    1980's: Covert Action. Washington, D. C.: National
    Strategy Information Center.
    Godson, Roy (1995), Dirty Tricks or Trump Cards: U.S.
    Covert Action and Counterintelligence, Washington, D. C.:
    Brassey's.
    Godson, Roy (ed.) (1980), Intelligence Requirements for the
    1980's Counterintelligence, Washington, D. C.: National
    Strategy Information Center.
    Godson, Roy and Ernest R. May (eds) (1995), U. S.
    Intelligence at the Crossroads: Agendas for Reform,
    Washington, D. C.: Brassey's.
    Graham, Bob (2004), Intelligence Matters: The CIA, The FBI,
    Saudi Arabia, and the Failure of America's War on Terror,
    New York: Random House.
    Griffin, David R. (2005), The 9/11 Commission Report:
    Omissions and Distortions Northampton, Mass.: Olive
    Branch Press.
    Griffith, Samuel B. (1963), Sun Tzu: The Art of War, New
    York: Oxford University.
    Gutjahr, Melanie (2005), The Intelligence Archipelago,
    Washington, D. C.: Joint Military Intelligence College.
    Halibozek, Edward P. (2005), Mergers and Acquisitions
    Security: Corporate Reorganizations and Security
    Management, Amsterdam; Boston: Elsever Butterworth
    Heinemann.
    Handel, Michael I. (1996), Masters of War: Classical
    Strategic Thought, London: Frank Cass.
    Harmon, Paul (1985), Expert System: Artificial Intelligence
    in Business, New York: John Willey.
    Hawkings, David E. and Shan Rajagopal (2005), Sun Tzu and
    the Project Battleground: Creating ProjectStrategy
    from“The Art of War”, New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
    Hedges, Larry V. (1985), Statistical Methods for Meta-
    Analysis, Orlando: Academic Press.
    Held, David, Anthony McGRew, David Goldblatt and Jonathan
    Perraton (eds.) (1999), Global Transformations: Politics,
    Economics and Culture, Oxford: Polity Press.
    Heywood, Andrew (2002), Politics, New York: Palgrave
    Foundations.
    Himanen, Mervi (2003), The Intelligence of Intelligent
    Buildings: The Feasibility of the Intelligent Building
    Concept in Office Buildings, Espoo: Technical Research
    Centre of Finland.
    Hirst, Rodney J. (1968), Philosophy: An Outline for the
    Intending Student, London: Routledge & K. Paul.
    Hoffmann, Paul and Terplan Kornel (2005), Intelligence
    Support Systems: Technologies for Lawful Intercepts, Boca
    Raton: Auerbach Publications.
    Hogarth, Robin M. (1979), Judgement and Choice: The
    Psychology of Decision, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
    Hollingsworth, Mark and Fielding Nick (2003), Defending the
    Realm: Inside MI5 and the War on Terrorism, London: Andr
    Deutsch.
    Holt, Pat M. (1995), Secret Intelligence and Public Policy:
    A Dilemma of Democracy, Washington D. C.: CQ Press.
    Holtzman, Samuel (1989), Intelligent Decision Systems,
    Reading, Mass.: Addison- Wesley.
    Hooker, Gregory (2005), Shaping the Plan for Operation
    Iraqi Freedom: The Role of Military Intelligence
    Assessments, Washington, D. C.: Washington Institute for
    Near East Policy.
    Hoover, Kenneth R. (1992), The Element of Social Scientific
    Thinking, New York: St. Martin's.
    Huntington, Samuel P. (1991), The Third Wave:
    Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, Okla:
    University of Oklahoma Press.
    Huntington, Samuel P. (1996), The Clash of Civilizations
    and the Remaking of Word Order, New York, N. K.: Simon &
    Schuster.
    Jackson, Peter and Siegel Jennifer (2005), Intelligence and
    Statecraft: The Use and Limits of Intelligence in
    International Society, Westport, Conn.: Praeger.
    Jervis, Robert (1976), Perception and Misperception in
    International Politics, Princeton,
    Johnson, Loch K. (1989), America's Secret Power: The CIA in
    a Democratic Society, New York: Oxford University Press.
    Jomini, Antoine H. (1995), The Art of War, Novato, Calif.:
    Presidio Press.
    Jordan, Amos A. and William J. Taylor (eds.) (1984),
    American National Security: Policy and Process,
    Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University.
    Kam, Ephraim (1988), Surprise Attack, Cambridge, Mass.:
    Harvard University Press.
    Keegan, John (2003 ), Intelligence in War: Knowledge of the
    Enemy from Napoleon to Al-Qaeda, London: Hutchinson.
    Keegan, John (2004), Intelligence in War: The Value--and
    Limitations--of What the Military Can Learn about the
    Enemy, New York: Vintage Books.
    Keeney, Ralph L. and Howard Raiffa (1993), Decision with
    Multiple Objective: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs, New
    York: Cambridge University Press.
    Kegley, Charles W. and Eugene R. Wittkopf (1981), World
    Politics: Trend and Transformation, New York: St.
    Martin's Press.
    Kent, Sherman (1949), Strategic Intelligence for American
    World Policy, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
    Kent, Sherman (1966), Strategic Intelligence for American
    World Policy, New Jersey: Princeton University Press .
    Kickert, Walter J. M. (1980), Organization of Decision-
    Making: A Systems-Theoretical Approach, Amsterdam: North-
    Holland Publishing Company.
    Kirk, Geoffrey S. (1970), Myth: Its Meaning and Functions
    in Ancient and Other Culture, Cambridge: University Press.
    Kuper, Adam and Jessica Kuper (1985), The Social Science
    Encyclopedia, London Boston and Henley: Routledge & Kegan
    Paul.
    Ladner, Roy and Petry Frederick E. (2005), Net-Centric
    Approaches to Intelligence and National Security, New
    York: Springer.
    Lewin, Ronald (1978), ULTRA Goes to War, London:
    Hutchinson. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
    Lindblom, Charles E. (1968), The Policy Making Process, New
    York: Prentice-Hall.
    Lindley, Dennis V. (1971 ), Making Decision, New York:
    Wiley-Interscience.
    Lowenthal, Mark M. (2000 ), Intelligence: From Secrets to
    Policy, Washington, D. C.: CQ Press.
    Lowenthal, Mark M. (2005), Intelligence: From Secrets to
    Policy, Washington, D.C.: CQ Press.
    Luger, George F. (2005), Artificial Intelligence:
    Structures and Strategies for Complex Problem Solving,
    New York: Addison-Wesley.
    Macksey, Kenneth (2004), The Searchers: Radio Intercept in
    Two World Wars, London: Cassell.
    Mann, James (2004), Rise of the Vulcans: The History of
    Bush's War Cabinet, New York: Penguin Books.
    Markle, Donald E. (2004), Spies and Spymasters of the Civil
    War, New York: Hippocrene Books.
    Marshall, Kneale T. (1995), Decision Making and
    Forecasting: With Emphasis on Model Building and Policy
    Analysis, New York: McGraw-Hill.
    Mcneilly, M. (1996), Sun Tzu and the Art of Business: Six
    Strategic Principles for Managers, New York: Oxford
    University.
    McNeilly, Mark (2001), Sun Tzu and the Art of Modern
    Warfare, New York: Oxford University.
    Minford, John (2002), The Art of War: Sun Tzu, New York:
    Viking.
    Moens, Alexander (2004), The Foreign Policy of George W.
    Bush: Values, Strategy, and Loyalty, Burlington VT:
    Ashgate Publishing.
    Morse, Edward L. (1976), Modernization and the
    Transformation of International Relation,New York: The
    Free Press.
    Nath, Dilip C. (2004), Intelligence Imperatives for India,
    New Delhi: India First Foundation.
    National, Defense University (1996), Strategic Assessment,
    Washington, D. C.: Government Printing Office.
    National Security Strategy of the United States (2002),
    Washington, D. C.: U. S. Government Printing Office.
    Neilson, Robert E. (1997), Sun Tzu and Information Warfare,
    Washington, D. C.: National Defense University.
    Nguyen, Hung T. and Berlin Wu (2006), Fundamentals of
    Statistics with Fuzzy Data , New York: Springer.
    Nye, Joseph S. (1990), The Changing Nature of American
    Power, New York: Basic Books.
    Oseth, John M. (1985), Regulating U. S. Intelligence
    Operations: A Study in Definition of the National
    Interest, Lexington, Kentucky: The University Press of
    Kentucky.
    Padelford, Norman J. and George A. Lincoln (1954),
    International Politics: Foundations of International
    Relations, New York: Macmillan.
    Perner, Petra (2002), Advance s in Data Mining:
    Applications in E- Commerce, Medicine, and Knowledge
    Management, Berlin: New York: Springer.
    Platt, Washington (1957), Strategic Intelligence
    Production: Basic Principles, New York:Frederick A.
    Praeger.
    Popper, Karl R. (1972), Objective Knowledge: An
    Evolutionary Approach, Oxford: Clarendon Press. Press of
    America.
    Powers, Thomas (2004), Intelligence Wars: American Secret
    History from Hitler to Al-Qaeda, New York: New York
    Review Books.
    Ragin, Charles C. (2000), Fuzzy Set Social Science,
    Chicago: The University of Chicago.
    Ranney, Austin (1996), Governing: An Introduction to
    Political Science, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey:
    Prentice-Hall.
    Ransom, Harry H. (1970), The Intelligence Establishment,
    Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.
    Rappaport, Alfred (1975), Information for Decision Making:
    Quantitative and Behavioral Dimensions, Englewood Cliffs,
    NEW JERSEY: Prentice-Hall.
    Richelson, Jeffrey (1995), The U. S. Intelligence
    Community, Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press.
    Ricks, Thomas E. (2006), Fiasco: The American Military
    Adventure in Iraq, New York: The Penguin Press.
    Roberts, Jonathan M. (1988), Decision-Making During
    International Crisis, New York: St. Martin Press.
    Rumbaugh, Duane M. (2003), Intelligence of Apes and Other
    Rational Beings, New Heaven: Yale University Press.
    Ryan, Frank X. (2002), Science, Humanism and the Scopes
    Trial, Bristol, England: Thoemmes Press.
    Sawyer, Ralph D. (1993), The Seven Military Classics of
    Ancient China , Boulder: Westview Press.
    Scanlan, Burt K. (1973), Principles of Management and
    Organizational Behavior, New York: John Wiley and Sons.
    Schmitt, Samuel A. (1969), Measuring Uncertainty: An
    Elementary Introduction to Bayesian Statistics, Mass.:
    Addison-Wesley.
    Schulhofer, Stephen J. (2005), Rethinking the Patriot Act :
    Keeping America Safe and Free, New York: Century
    Foundation Press.
    Schwarz, Brita (ed.) (1985),“Guidance for
    Decision,”Handbook of System Analysis, New York: Oxford.
    Shannon, Claude E. (1949), The Mathematical Theory of
    Communication, Urbana: University of Illinois Press.
    Shapere, Dudley (1984), Galileo: A Philosophical Study,
    Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
    Shulsky, Abram N. (1993), Silent Warfare: Understanding the
    World of Intelligence, Washington, D. C.: Brassey's(US).
    Silbert, Leslie (2004), The Intelligencer, New York: Atria
    Books.
    Silverman, David (1993), Interpreting Qualitative Data,
    Newbury Park, CA: Sage.
    Simon, Herbert A. (1957), Administrative Behavior, New
    York: Macmillian.
    Simon, Herbert A. (1960), The New Science of Management
    Decision, New York: Harper Row.
    Simon, Herbert A. (1976), Administrative Behavior, New
    York: The Free Press.
    Simon, Herbert A. and Allen Newell (1972), Human Problem
    Solving, Englewood Cliffs, NEW JERSEY: Prentice Hall.
    Simon, Herbert A. and James G. March (1958), Organization,
    New York: John Wiley & Sons. Inc..
    Solso, Robert L. (1988), Cognitive Psychology, Boston:
    Allyn and Bacon.
    Steinbruner, John D. (1974), The Cybernetic Theory of
    Decision: New Dimensions of Political Analysis,
    Princeton, NEW JERSEY: Princeton University Press.
    Sternberg, Robert J. (1985), Beyond IQ: A Triachic Theory
    of Human Intelligence, New York: Cambridge University
    Press.
    Symeonidis, Andreas L. and Pericles A. Mitkas (2004),
    Intelligent Agents for Data Mining and Information
    Retrieval, Hershey, Pa.: Idea Group Publishing.
    Symeonidis, Andreas L. and Pericles A. Mitkas (2005), Agent
    intelligence Through Data Mining, New York: Springer.
    The Commission on the Roles and Capabilities of the United
    States Intelligence Community (1996), Preparing for the
    21st Century: An Appraisal of U. S. Intelligence,
    Washington, D. C.: Government Printing Office.
    Thomas, Gordon (2005), Gideon's Spies: The Secret History
    of the Mossad, New York: Thomas Dunne Books.
    Thomas, Troy S. (2004), Beneath the Surface: Intelligence
    Preparation of the Battlespace for Counterterrorism,
    Washington, D.C.: Joint Military Intelligence College.
    Thompson, James D. (1967), Organization in Action, New
    York: McGraw-Hill Book Company.
    Tolstoy, Leo (1983), War and Peace, Translated by Louise
    and Aylmermaude, Oxford,N. Y.; Oxford University Press.
    Tuomela, Raimo (1985), Science, Action, and Reality,
    Boston: Sold and Distributed in the U. S. A. and Canada
    by Kluwer Academic Publishing.
    Turban, Efraim (1998), Decision Support System and
    Intelligent Systems, Upper Saddle River, NEW JERSEY:
    Prentice Hall.
    Turner, Stansfield (1985), Secrecy and Democracy: The CIA
    in Transition, Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company.
    Turner, Stansfield (2005), Burn before Reading: Presidents,
    CIA Directors, and Secret Intelligence, New York:
    Hyperion.
    U. S. Government Printing Office (1975), Rockefeller
    Commission Report to the President on CIA Activities with
    the United States: Washington, D. C.: U. S. Government
    Printing Office.
    Usama, Fayyad (1996), Mining Database: Toward Algorithms
    for Knowledge Discovery. Bulletin of the Technical
    Committee on Data Engineering, Menlo Park, Calif.: AAAI
    Press: MIT Press.
    Viotti, Paul R. and Mark V. Kauppi (1993), International
    Relations Theory: Realism, Pluralism, Globalism, New
    York: Macmillan Publishing.
    Watson, Brue W., Susan M. Watson, and Gerald W. Hoople
    (1990), United States Intelligence: An Encyclopedia, New
    York: Garland Publishing.
    Weber, Werner (2005), Ambient Intelligence, New York:
    Springer.
    Weldon, Curt (2005), Countdown to Terror: The Top- Secret
    Information that Could Prevent the Next Terrorist Attack
    on America-and How the CIA Has Ignored it, Washington, D.
    C.: Regnery Publishing.
    Wiener, Norbert (1962), Cybernetics, New York: MIT Press.
    Zegart, Amy (1999), Flawed by Design: The Evolution of the
    CIA, JCS, and NSC, Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University
    Press.
    Zey, Mary (1992), Decision Making: Alternatives to Rational
    Choice Mode, Newbury Park: Sage.Article in Specific Book
    Boorman, Scott A. (1972 ),“Deception in Chinese
    Strategy,”in William W. Whitson (ed.), The Military and
    Political Power in China in the 1970's, New York:
    Praeger, pp. 313-337.
    Boot, Max (2004),“Myths about Neoconservatism,”in Irwin
    Stelzer (ed.), Neoconservatism, London: Atlantic Books,
    p. 39-55.
    Daniel, Donald C. and Katherine L. Herbig
    (1982),“Propositions on Military Deception,”in Donald
    C. Daniel (ed.), Strategic Military Deception, New York:
    Pergamon Press, pp. 3-30.
    Fairbank, John K. (1974),“Introduction: Varieties of the
    Chinese Military Experience,”in Edward L. Dreyer, Frank
    A. Kierman and John K. Fairbank (eds.), Chinese Way in
    Warfare, Cambridge Mass: Harvard University Press, pp. 2-
    26.
    Frei, Daniel (1978),“Introduction: The Rationales and
    Implication of Crisis Research,”in Danied Frei (ed.),
    International Crises and Crisis Management: An East-West
    Symposium, New York: Praeger Publishing, pp. 1-3.
    Hastedt, Glenn (1991),“Controlling Intelligence: Defining
    the Problem,”in Glenn Hastedt (ed.), Controlling
    Intelligence, London: Frank Cass & Co.Ltd., pp. 3-23.
    Heyman, Hans (1985),“Intelligence/Policy
    Relationships,”in Alfred C. Maurer, Marion D. Tunstall,
    and James M. Keagle (eds.), Intelligence: Policy and
    Process , Boulder: Westview Press, pp. 57-66.
    Kast, Fremont E. and James E. Rosenzweig (1972), “The
    Modern View: A Systems Approach,”in John B. Ronald
    (ed.), Systems Behavior, New York: Harper, pp. 14-28.
    Patrick, Watson (1995),“The FBI's Changing Mission”in Roy
    Godson, Ernest R. May and Gary Schmitt (eds.), U.S.
    Intelligence at the Crossroads: Agendas for Reform,
    Washington, D.C: Brassey's, pp. 145-162.
    Ransom, Harry Howe (1987),“The Politicization of
    Intelligence,”in Stephen J. Cimbala (ed.), Intelligence
    and Intelligence Policy in a Democratic Society , New
    York: Dobbes Ferry, Transnational Publishing, p. 55-72.
    Reitman, Walter R. (1964), “Heuristic Decision Procedures,
    Open Constraints, and the Structure of Ill-Defined
    Problems ,” in Maynard Shelley and Glenn L. Bryan
    (eds.), Human Judgments and Optimality, New York: Wiley &
    Sons, pp. 282-315.
    Shulsky, Abram N. (1995),“What is Intelligence? Secrets
    and Competition Among State,”in Roy Godson, Ernest R.
    May, and Gary Schmitt (eds.), U. S. Intelligence at the
    Crossroad: Agendas for Reform, Washington D. C.:
    Brassey's, pp. 22-45.
    Simon, Herbert A. (1978),“Information-Processing of Human
    Problem Solving,”In William K. Estes (ed.) , Handbook of
    Learning and Cognitive Processes, New York: Distributed
    by the Halsted Press Division of Wiley, pp. 271-295.
    Thomas, Stafford T. (1985),“Intelligence Production and
    Consumption: A Framework of Analysis,”in Alfred C.
    Maurer, Marion D. Tunstall, and James M. Keagle
    (eds.),Intelligence: Policy and Process, Boulder,
    Co1o.: Westview Press, pp. 125-139.
    Sullivan, David S. (1980),“Evaluation U.S. Intelligence
    Estimates,”in Roy Godson (ed.) , Intelligence
    Requirements for the 1980s: Analysis and Estimate, New
    Brunswick: Transaction Books, pp. 49-73.
    Tipson, Frederick S. (1990),“National Security and the
    Role of Law,”in John N. Moore (ed.), National Security
    Law, Durham, N. C.: Carolina Academic Press, pp. 3-29.
    Yovits, Marshall C. (1974),“A Generalized Concept for
    Analysis of Information,” in Anthony Debons (ed.),
    Information Science: Search for Identity, New York:
    Marcel Dekker, pp. 25-47.
    Articles
    Abenheim, Donald (2003),“Germany and the United States in
    the Age of Terror Ideas, Domestic, and the International
    System of States,”Naval War College Review, No. 4, pp.
    62-82.
    Amos, Kovacs (1997),“Using Intelligence,”Intelligence and
    National Security, Vol. 12, No. 4, pp. 145-164.
    Arquilla, John (1994),“The Strategic Implications of
    Information Dominance,”Strategic Review, Summer. May,
    pp. 24-30.
    Betts, Richard K. (1978),“Analysis, Wars, and Decision:
    Why Intelligence Failures are Inevitable,”World
    Politics, Vol. 31, No. 1, pp. 61-89.
    Binnendijk, Hans (1997),“Tin Cup Diplomacy,”The National
    Interest, No. 49, pp. 88-91.
    Brecher, Michael (1973),“Image, Process and Feedback in
    Foreign Policy,”American Political Science Review, Vol.
    67, No. 1, pp. 74-97.
    Brookes, Bertram C. (1980),“The Foundation of Information
    Science. Part I. Philosophical Aspects,”Journal of
    Information Science, Vol. 2, No. 3, pp. 126-142.
    Cartwright, Dorwing (1949),“Some Principles of Mass
    Persuasion: Selected Findings of Research on the Sale of
    U. S. War Bonds,”Human Relation, N0. 2, pp. 253-268.
    Cimbala Stephen J. (1988),“What Kind of War
    Plan?”Airpower Journal, No. Summer.
    <Http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/
    airchronicles/apj/apj88/sum88/cimbala.html>
    Cishan, Ruan (2003),“11.‘Soft Hegemony’Hurts Sino-
    U.S.Relation,”Chinese Education and Society, Vol. 36 ,
    No. 1, pp. 79-81.
    Cooper, Eunica and Marie Jahoda (1947),“The Evasion of
    Propaganda: How Prejudiced Peopler Respond to Anti-
    Propaganda Propaganda,”Journal of Psychology, No. 23,
    pp. 11-26.
    Dehghanpisheh, Babak (2007),“Apocalypse Now; Iraqi Forces
    Struggle in the Battle Against a Shadowy Shiite Death
    Cult. And that's Only a Small Part of the Problems
    They're facing in Iraq's south,”Newsweek , Vol. 149 ,
    No. 6, p.36.
    Deng, Ju-Long (1982),“Control Problems of Grey Systems,”
    System and Control Letters, Vol. 1, No. 5, pp. 288-294.
    Desouza, Kevin C. (2001),“Intelligence Agents for
    Competitive Intelligence:Survey of
    Application,”Competitive Intelligence Review, Vol. 12,
    No. 4, pp. 57-63.
    Doran, Michael S. (2003),“Palestine, Iraq, and American
    Strategy,”Foreign Affairs, Vol. 82, No.1, pp. 19-24.
    Edwards, Ward (1954),“The Theory of Decision
    Making,”Psychological Bulletin, Vol. 51, No. 4, pp. 380-
    417.
    Farradane, Jason (1980),“Knowledge, Information, and
    Information science,”Journal of Information Science,
    Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 70-88.
    Frigo, Mark L. (2003),“Strategy or Execution,”Strategic
    Finance, Vol. 84, No. 9, pp.9-11.
    Goodman, Allan (1984),“Dateline Langley: Fixing the
    Intelligence Mess,”Foreign Policy, No. 57, pp. 161-179.
    Haddock, Seigfried C. (2006),“The Dangers of
    Unilateralism,”NWSA Journal, Vol. 18,No. 3, pp. 23-33.
    Hall, Stuart (1980),“Culture Studies: Two
    Paradigms,”Media Culture and Society, No. 2, pp. 57-72.
    Hammarstrom Mats (1995),“Theory-Building in the Study of
    Crises,”Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 32, No. 2, pp.
    233-251.
    Hermann, Margaret G. and Thomas Preston (eds.) (2001),“Who
    Leads Matters The Effects of Powerful
    Individual,”International Studies Review, Vol. 3, No. 2,
    pp.83-131.
    Holzman, Franklyn D. (1989),“Politics and Guesswork: CIA
    and DIA Estimates of Soviet Military depending,”
    International Security, Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 101-131.
    Jabar, Faleh A. (2003), “Opposing War Is Good, but Not
    Good Enough,” The Progressive, Vol. 67, No. 1, pp. 20-23.
    Jervis, Robert (2003),“Understanding the Bush Doctrine,”
    Political Science Quarterly,Vol. 118, No. 3, pp. 365-388.
    Kassop, Nancy (2003),“The War Power and Its Limits ,”
    Presidential Studies Quarterly,Vol. 33, No. 3, pp. 509-
    520.
    Kennan, George (1947),“The Sources of Soviet Conduct,”
    Foreign Affair, Vol. 25, No. 4,pp. 566-582.
    Knorr, Klaus (1964),“Failures in Nation Intelligence
    Estimate: The Case of the Cuba Missiles,”World Politics,
    No. 16, April, pp. 455-475.
    Kovacs, Amos (1997),“Using Intelligence,”Intelligence and
    National Security, Vol. 12, No. 4, p. 145-164.
    Kuncken, Jennifer (2006),“A Brief Guide to Islam,”Library
    Journal, Vol. 131, No. 6, p.99.
    Lebow, Richard N. (1987),“Is Crisis Management Always
    Possible?”Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 102, No. 2,
    pp. 181-192.
    Lijphart, Arend (1971),“Comparative Politics and the
    Comparative Method,”American Political Science Review,
    No. 3, pp. 682-693.
    Lyles, Marjorie A. and Ian I. Mitroff (1980),“
    Organizational Problem Formulation: An Empirical
    Study,”Administrative Science Quarterly, Vol. 25, No. 1,
    pp. 102-119.
    Miller, George A. (1956),“The Magical Number Seven, Plus
    or Minus Two: Some Limits on Our Capacity for Processing
    Information,”The Psychological Review, No. 63, pp. 81-97.
    Nordland, Rod and Babak Dehghanpisheh (2007 ),“Surge of
    Suicide Bombers; The Iraq War Has Turned into A
    Veritable 'Martyr' Factory, Unlike Any Seen in Previous
    Conflicts ,”Newsweek, Vol. 150, No. 7, pp. 30-33.
    Philip, Gordon (2002),“NATO After 11 September,”Surival,
    Vol. 43, No. 4, pp. 89-106.
    Prescott, John E. and Craig Fleisher (1991),“SCIP: Who We
    Are and What We Do,”Competitive Intelligence Review,
    Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 22-26.
    Rice, Condoleezza (2000),“Promoting the National
    Interest,”Foreign Affairs, Vol. 79,No. 1, pp. 45-62.
    Rothschild, Emma (1995),“What is Security,”Daedalus, Vol.
    124, N0. 3, pp. 53-99.
    Rumsfeld, Donald H. (2002 ),“Transforming the Military,”
    Foreign Affair, Vol. 81, No.3, pp. 20-32.
    Saaty, Thomas L. (1986),“Axiomatic Foundation of Analytic
    Hierarchy Process,” Management Science, Vol. 32, No. 7,
    pp. 778-790.
    Sapir, Edward (1935),“Communication, ”Encyclopedia of
    Social Sciences, Vol. 1, No. 4, pp. 75- 80.
    Schrodt, Philip A., Shannon G. David and Judith L. Weddle
    (1994),“Political Science: KED-A Program for the Maching
    Coding of Event Data,”Social Science Computer Review,
    Vol. 12, No. 3, pp. 561-588.
    Schwenk, Charles R. (1984),“Cognitive Simplification
    Processes in Strategic Decision-Making,”Strategic
    Management Journal, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 111-128.
    Smith, Gerald F. (1989),“Managerial Problem
    Identification,”OMEGA, Vol. 17, No. 1, pp. 27-36.
    Sproles, Claudene (2007),“Muslim Sects and Militant
    Groups,”Choice, Vol. 45, No. 1, pp. 43-55.
    Stephen, Soto (2001),“Competitive Intelligence Methods for
    System and Cultural Analysis,”Competitive Intelligence
    Review, Vol. 12, No. 3, pp. 31-34.
    Stuckey, Mary E. and Joshua R. Ritter (2007),“George Bush,
    <Human Rights>, and American Democracy,”Presidential
    Studies Quarterly , Vol. 37, No. 4, pp. 646-667.
    Talbott, Strobe (1996 ),“Democracy and the National
    Interest,”Foreign Affairs, Vol. 75, No. 6, pp. 47-64.
    Taylor, Ronald N. (1975),“Perception of Problem
    Constraints ,”Management Science,Vol. 22, No. 1, pp. 22-
    29.
    Theil, Stefan and Christopher Dickey (2003),“Saddam's
    Bunkers,”Newsweek ,Vol. 141,No. 14, pp. 48- 49.
    Thomas, Stafford T. (1988),“Assesing Current Intelligence
    Studies,”International Journal of Intelligence and
    Counterintelligence, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 217-244.
    Troy, Thomas F. (1991),“The‘Correct’Definition of
    Intelligence,”International Journal of Intelligence and
    Counterintelligence, Vol. 5, No. 4, pp. 433-454.
    Ungson, Gerardo R. and Daniel N. Braunstein (eds.)
    (1981),“Managerial Information processing: A Research
    Review,”Administrative Science Quarterly, Vol. 26, No.
    1,pp. 116-138.
    Wolffe, Richard and Michael Hirsh (2003),“ War and
    Consequences,”Newsweek, Vol. 141, No. 5, pp. 22-29.
    Yusin, Maksim (2003),“Donald Rumsfeld's Three
    Fronts, ”The Current Digest of the Post-Soviet Press,
    Vol. 54, No. 52, pp. 3-13.
    Zadeh, Lisa A. (1965),“Fuzzy Set,” Information Control,
    No. 8, pp. 338-353.
    Zagotta, Robert and Don Robbinson (2002),“Key to
    Successful Strategy Execution,”Journal of Business
    Strategy, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 30-34.
    Zunde, Pranas (1981),“Information Theory and Information
    Science,”Information Processing and Management, Vol. 17,
    No. 6, pp. 341-347.
    Newspaper & Magazine
    Albright, Madeleine E. (2002),“Where Iraq Fits in the War
    on Terror,”The New York Times, September 20.
    <http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html>
    Ali, Ahmed (2007),“IRAQ: Death Threats and Attacks Force
    Familes to Flee,”Global Information Network, November
    6.
    <http://www.globalinfo.org/default.asp>
    Andrew, Buncombe (2003),“Cheney Under Pressure to Quit
    Over False War Evidence,”The INDEPENDENT, July 16.
    <http://news.independent.co.uk/world/politics/
    article96352.ece>
    Borger, Julian (2003),“Iraq: After the War: France Will
    Pay for Opposition Says Powell: Administration's Dove
    Suggests Trouble Ahead as new UN Confrontation Looms
    Over Sanctions ,”Guardian Unlimited, April 24.
    <http://www.guardian.co.uk/frontpages/story/o,,1928039,
    oo.html>.
    Bowers, Faye,“Driving Forces in War-Wary Nations: The
    Stances of France, Germany,Russia and China Are Colored
    by Economic and National Interests,”Christian Science
    Monitor, February 25.
    <http://www.mondotimes.com/2/topics/5/news/1/2802>.
    Bumiller, Elisabeth and David E. Sanger (2006),“Traces of
    Terror: The President; Bush, as Terror Inquiry Swirls,
    Seeks Cabinet Post on Security,”The New York Times, June
    7.
    <http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html>
    Calabresi, Massimo andTimothy J. Burger (2003),“Who Lost
    the WMD,”Time, June 29.
    <http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,
    1101030707-461781,00.html>
    Colachal, Abdul R. (2007),“Dynamism in Russia-China
    Relations: A study,”What Really Happened. Com, October
    14.
    <http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/>
    Dan, Balz and Abramowitz Michael (2006),“President Tries
    to Win Over a War-Weary Nation,”The Washington Post,
    September 12.
    <http://www.washingtonpost.com/>
    Depalma, Anthony (2003),“Threats and Responses: An
    Overview: March 19-20, 2003; Starting a War, Appealing
    for Surrender and Pulling Out the Networks,”The New
    York Times, March 20.
    <http: //query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html>
    Diamond, John and Susan Page (2003),“Bush Signals He May
    Skip U. N.; Plan: Issue Iraq an Ultimatum Instead,”USA
    TODAY, Mar 14.
    <http://wap.usatoday.com/>
    Elliott, Michael (2002),“The Selling of the President's
    War,”Time, November 11.
    <http://www.time.com/time/columnist/elliott/
    article/0,9565,389085,00.html>
    Ewen, MacAskill and Borge Julian (2006),“Iraq Mayhem
    Triggers Hunt for Exit Strategy in US and UK,”Guardian
    Unlimited, October 21.
    <http://www. guardian.co.uk/frontpages/story/o,,
    1928039,oo.html>
    FitzGerald, Frances (2002),“Threat of War: How Hawks
    Captured the White House: When the Soviet Threat
    Vanished, the Purpose of American Foreign Policy Seemed
    to Go with It-Until September 11 and Iraq's Regime,”
    Guardian Unlimited,September 24.
    <http://www.guardian. co.uk/ frontpages/
    story/o,,,oo.html>
    Lemann, Nicholas (2002),“The Next World Order: The Bush
    Administration May Have a Brand New Doctrine of
    Power,”The New Yorker, February 1.
    <http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?02401fa_FACT1>
    Lemann, Nicholas (2003),“After Iraq: The Plan to Remake
    the Middle East,”The New Yorker, February 17.
    <http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?02401fa_FACT1>
    Ignatieff, Michael (2003),“Mission: Rebuild Iraq, Looking
    for Leader Amid the Ashes,”The New York Times Magazine,
    January 5.
    <http://www.nytimes.com/pages/magazine/>
    Mark, Mazzetti (2006),“Spy Agencies Say Iraq War Worsens
    Terrorism Threat,”The New York Times, September 24.
    <http://www.nytimes.com/page/todayspaper/index.html>
    Melloan, George (2004),“Why No WMDs? Saddam Was Playing a
    Shell Game,”The Wall Street Journal, February 3.
    <http://online.wsj.com/article/
    SB118289311361649057.html>
    Miller, Greg (2003),“Showdown with Iraq; Democracy Domino
    Theory 'Not Credible'; A State Department Report Disputes
    Bush's Claim that Ousting Hussein Will Spur Reforms in
    The Mideast, Intelligence Officials Say,”Los Angeles
    Times, March 14.
    <http://www.latimes.com/>
    Mulrine, Anna (2006),“'Civil War' or Not?; While U. S.
    Pols and Pundits Debate Labels, Iraqis Fear Their Country
    is Sliding Deeper into The Abyss,”U. S. News & World
    Report, December 11.
    <http://www.britannica. com/eb/article-9074508/US-News-
    World-Report>
    Neary, Lynn (2003),“Analysis: Intelligence Analysts React
    to Colin Powell's Speech,”All Things
    Considered ,February 6.
    <http://www.npr.org/templates/rundowns/rundown.php?
    prgId=2>
    O'brien, Timothy L. (2003),“Threats and Responses:
    Monitoring; U. N. Group Finds No Hussein-Al Qaeda
    link,”The New York Times, June 27.
    <http://www.nytimes. com/ page/todayspaper/index.html>
    Page, Susan (2005),“Bush Poll Ratings Slide to New
    Low,”USA Today, November 15.
    <http:// wap.usatoday.com/>
    Pincus, Walter and Dana Priest (2003),“Analysts Cite
    Pressure on Iraq Judgement,”The Washington Post, June 5.
    <http://www.washingtonpost.com/>.
    Ponnuru, Ramesh (2003),“Getting to The Bottom of
    This 'Neo' Nonsense: Before you Talk about Conservatives,
    Know What You're Doing,”National Review, June 16.
    <http://www. sourcewatch.org /index.php?
    title=National_Review>
    Ponnuru, Ramesh (2003),“Getting to the Bottom of This Neo,
    Nonsense: Before you Talk about Conservatives, Know What
    You're Doing,”Nation Review, June 16.
    <http:// www. sourcewatch. org/index.php?
    title=National_Review>
    Spratt, John (2007),“Monitoring War Costs,”Knight Ridder
    Tribune Business News. January 22.
    <http://www.dialogselect.com/business/forms/
    BusIndustryFinancialAll.html>
    (2002), The White House,“President Bush Delivers
    Graduation Speech at West Point,” June 1.
    <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/
    2002/06/20020601-3.html>.
    (2002),“Fact Sheet:Redesigning DOJ to Prevent Future Acts
    of Terrorism,”U. S. Department of State, May 29.
    <http://www.state.gov/>
    (2002),“Mueller Cites Changes in FBI to Enhance Fight on
    Terrorism Director Testifies before Joint House-Senate
    Intelligence Panel,”U. S. Department of State, October
    17.
    <http://www.state.gov/>
    (2002),“Report: U. N. Working on Secret Contingency Plans
    for War; Iraq: CIA Allowed to Direct Inspectors,”Al
    Bawaba , December 23.
    <http://www.albawaba.com/en/news/>.
    (2002), The White House,“President Delivers State of the
    Union Address,”January 29.
    <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/
    2002/01/20020129-11.html>
    (2003), The White House,“President Discuss The Future of
    Iraq,”February 23.
    <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/
    2003/02/20030226-11.html>
    (2003),“Was the Intelligence Cooked?”The New York Times,
    Jun 8.
    <http:// www. nytimes. com/page/todayspaper/index.html>
    (2003),“Newspapers Across Europe Look Nervously on as a US-
    led War Against Iraq Seems Increasingly Inevitable,”BBC,
    March 18.
    <http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/2859359.stm>
    (2003), The White House,“Remarks by The Vice President to
    The American Society of News Editors,”April 9.
    <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/
    2002/04/20020411-7.html>.
    (2004),“Judging Intelligence; The Senators' Views and
    Excerpts from the Report on Iraq Assessments,”The New
    York Times, July 10.
    <http://www.nytimes. com/page/ todayspaper/ index. html
    >.
    (2006),“Reply Letters and Emails: US Elections: The New
    Republic,”Guardian Unlimited, October13.
    <http://www.guardian.co.uk/frontpages/story/
    o,,1928039,oo.html>
    (2007),“American Casualties and 'Bravery' Plummet Iraqi
    Civilian Casualties and Resistance Rise,”Free Iraq,
    October 26.
    <http://abutamam.blogspot.com/>

    QR CODE
    :::