| 研究生: |
謝承樺 Hsieh, Cheng-Hua |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
疫情不確定性下的跨境創投續投行為:人力資本的調節作用 Cross-Border Venture Capital Follow-on Investment Under Pandemic Uncertainty: The Moderating Role of Human Capital |
| 指導教授: |
楊宗翰
Yang, Tsung-Han |
| 口試委員: |
蘇威傑
Su, Wei-Chieh 傅浚映 Fu, Jyun-Ying |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 科技管理與智慧財產研究所 Graduate Institute of Technology, Innovation and Intellectual Property Management |
| 論文出版年: | 2026 |
| 畢業學年度: | 114 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 53 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 跨境創投 、續投行為 、資訊不對稱 、不確定性 、人力資本 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Cross-border venture capital, Follow-on investment, Information asymmetry, Uncertainty, Human capital |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:40 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
跨境創投受限於地理距離所帶來的資訊不對稱,長期以來需倚賴實體監督機制以維繫投資關係。本研究以新冠肺炎疫情對實體監督機制造成的外生衝擊作為識別策略,探討疫情衝擊是否使得跨境創投與國內創投在續投行為上出現差異,並進一步檢驗投資方與新創公司雙方之人力資本特質是否對此效果具有調節作用。研究資料取自 PitchBook 資料庫,樣本涵蓋 2018 年至 2022 年間共 53,285筆投資人與交易配對觀測值,並採用納入固定效應之線性機率模型與 Logit 模型進行實證分析。
實證結果顯示,疫情爆發後,跨境投資的續投傾向明顯高於國內投資,且當創投主要聯絡人具備較豐富的工作經驗時,此效果顯著減弱。此現象可能反映經驗豐富的聯絡人透過長期累積的跨國人脈、產業聲譽及過往合作經驗,建立足以替代實體監督之資訊管道與信任基礎,故較不需仰賴延續既有投資關係以因應跨境資訊不對稱上升。反觀新創公司 CEO 的創業經驗則未展現顯著調節效果,顯示於高度不確定之環境下,主導續投行為之關鍵在於投資人自身之經驗積累,而非創業者一方所釋出之品質訊號。本研究結果凸顯人力資本於危機情境中對跨境創投行為之關鍵作用,並為疫情等重大外生衝擊下之創投決策提供實證依據。
Cross-border venture capital investments face heightened information asymmetry due to geographic distance, and investors have long relied on physical monitoring to sustain these relationships. This study exploits COVID-19 as an exogenous shock to physical monitoring mechanisms to examine whether the pandemic altered follow-on investment behavior differently for cross-border versus domestic VCs, and whether human capital characteristics of investors and startup founders moderate this effect. Using PitchBook data on 53,285 investor-deal pairs from 2018–2022, the analysis employs both a linear probability model with fixed effects and a logit model.
Results show that cross-border investments exhibited significantly higher follow-on propensity than domestic investments after the pandemic onset, and this effect was significantly weaker when the VC's primary contact had extensive work experience. This likely reflects experienced contacts' pre-existing networks, reputation, and prior relationships, which substitute for physical monitoring and reduce reliance on existing ties during heightened information asymmetry. In contrast, startup CEOs' entrepreneurial experience showed no significant moderating effect, suggesting that under high uncertainty, follow-on decisions hinge on investors' own experience rather than founder-side quality signals. These findings highlight human capital's critical role in cross-border VC behavior during crises and offer empirical evidence on VC decision-making under major exogenous shocks.
1. Introduction 1
2. Theory and Hypotheses 7
2.1 Monitoring Disruption and Follow-on Investment 9
2.2 The Moderating Role of Venture Capital Investor Human Capital 15
2.3 The Moderating Role of Founding Human Capital 18
3 Methods 22
3.1 Data and Sample 22
3.2 Variables 23
3.2.1 Dependent Variable 23
3.2.2 Independent Variables 24
3.2.3 Moderating Variables 25
3.2.4 Control Variables 26
3.3 Estimation Model 28
4. Results 33
4.1 Main Results 33
4.2 Robustness Tests 41
5. Discussion and Conclusion 42
5.1 Theoretical Contributions 42
5.2 Managerial Implications 45
5.3 Limitations and Future Research Directions 46
5.4 Conclusion 49
References 51
Admati, A. R., & Pfleiderer, P. (1994). Robust financial contracting and the role of venture capitalists. The Journal of Finance, 49(2), 371–402.
Akerlof, G. A. (1970). The market for "lemons": Quality uncertainty and the market mechanism. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84(3), 488–500.
Becker, G. S. (1964). Human capital: A theoretical and empirical analysis, with special reference to education. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Bellavitis, C., Fisch, C., & McNaughton, R. B. (2022). COVID-19 and the global venture capital landscape. Small Business Economics, 59(3), 781–805.
Bernstein, S., Giroud, X., & Townsend, R. R. (2016). The impact of venture capital monitoring. The Journal of Finance, 71(4), 1591–1622.
Bottazzi, L., Da Rin, M., & Hellmann, T. (2016). The importance of trust for investment: Evidence from venture capital. The Review of Financial Studies, 29(9), 2283–2318.
Buchner, A., Espenlaub, S., Khurshed, A., & Mohamed, A. (2018). Cross-border venture capital investments: The impact of foreignness on returns. Journal of International Business Studies, 49(5), 575–604.
Cumming, D., & Dai, N. (2010). Local bias in venture capital investments. Journal of Empirical Finance, 17(3), 362–380.
Dai, N., Jo, H., & Kassicieh, S. (2012). Cross-border venture capital investments in Asia: Selection and exit performance. Journal of Business Venturing, 27(6), 666–684.
Dai, N., & Nahata, R. (2016). Cultural differences and cross-border venture capital syndication. Journal of International Business Studies, 47(2), 140–169.
Devigne, D., Vanacker, T., Manigart, S., & Paeleman, I. (2013). The role of domestic and cross-border venture capital investors in the growth of portfolio companies. Small Business Economics, 40(3), 553–573.
Dimov, D. P., & Shepherd, D. A. (2005). Human capital theory and venture capital firms: Exploring "home runs" and "strike outs". Journal of Business Venturing, 20(1), 1–21.
Ellsberg, D. (1961). Risk, ambiguity, and the Savage axioms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 75(4), 643–669.
Gompers, P. A. (1995). Optimal investment, monitoring, and the staging of venture capital. The Journal of Finance, 50(5), 1461–1489.
Gompers, P. A., Gornall, W., Kaplan, S. N., & Strebulaev, I. A. (2021). Venture capitalists and COVID-19. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 56(7), 2474–2499.
Gompers, P., Kovner, A., Lerner, J., & Scharfstein, D. (2010). Performance persistence in entrepreneurship. Journal of Financial Economics, 96(1), 18–32.
Gormley, T. A., & Matsa, D. A. (2014). Common errors: How to (and not to) control for unobserved heterogeneity. The Review of Financial Studies, 27(2), 617–661.
Hambrick, D. C., & Mason, P. A. (1984). Upper echelons: The organization as a reflection of its top managers. Academy of Management Review, 9(2), 193–206.
Han, P., Liu, C., Tian, X., & Wang, K. (2026). Invest local or remote? The effects of COVID-19 lockdowns on venture capital investment around the world. Management Science, 72(4), 3351-3370..
Handy, C. (1995). Trust and the virtual organization. Harvard Business Review, 73(3), 40–54.
Hochberg, Y. V., Ljungqvist, A., & Lu, Y. (2007). Whom you know matters: Venture capital networks and investment performance. The Journal of Finance, 62(1), 251–301.
Hsu, D. H. (2007). Experienced entrepreneurial founders, organizational capital, and venture capital funding. Research Policy, 36(5), 722–741.
Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 305–360.
Knight, F. H. (1921). Risk, uncertainty and profit. Houghton Mifflin.
Kogut, B., & Zander, U. (1992). Knowledge of the firm, combinative capabilities, and the replication of technology. Organization Science, 3(3), 383–397.
Lerner, J. (1994). The syndication of venture capital investments. Financial Management, 23(3), 16–27.
Lerner, J. (1995). Venture capitalists and the oversight of private firms. The Journal of Finance, 50(1), 301–318.
Mäkelä, M. M., & Maula, M. V. J. (2006). Interorganizational commitment in syndicated cross-border venture capital investments. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 30(2), 273–298.
Polanyi, M. (1966). The tacit dimension. Doubleday.
Sorenson, O., & Stuart, T. E. (2001). Syndication networks and the spatial distribution of venture capital investments. American Journal of Sociology, 106(6), 1546–1588.
Spence, M. (1973). Job market signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374.
Tian, X. (2011). The causes and consequences of venture capital stage financing. Journal of Financial Economics, 101(1), 132–159.
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). (2021). World investment report 2021: Investing in sustainable recovery. United Nations.
Zarutskie, R. (2010). The role of top management team human capital in venture capital markets: Evidence from first-time funds. Journal of Business Venturing, 25(2), 155–172.
全文公開日期 2031/07/06