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研究生: 李瑞奇
JOSE RICARDO LIZAMA DE MARCHENA
論文名稱: 服務業附加價值對新興經濟體經濟成長的影響
The Effects of Services Value-added on Economic Growth in Emerging Economies
指導教授: 彭喜樞
口試委員: 彭喜樞
黃柏鈞
楊子霆
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES)
International Master's Program of Applied Economics and Social Development(IMES)
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 43
中文關鍵詞: 附加價值服務業國內生產毛額經濟成長新興經濟體
外文關鍵詞: Value-added, Service sector, GDP, Economic growth, Emerging economies
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  • 本論文旨在探討服務業附加價值對新興經濟體經濟成長的影響。七大新興經濟體的產出占了全球總產出相當顯著的比例,截至2017年已達到25%,突顯了它們在全球經濟中的重要性。同時,本論文所分析的新興經濟體服務業的附價值,在2019年時已達到總產出的55%。無論在就業抑或技術創新方面,服務業的發展都非常顯著。在大規模就業和全球價值鏈內部連結的推動下,服務業附加價值對於加速新興經濟體的經濟成長確實發揮了關鍵作用。本論文因而採取2000至2019年之間33個新興經濟體的平衡面板資料,來估計服務業附加價值對GDP的影響,以及附加價值成長率與GDP成長率之間的關係。此外,本論文還將上述服務業的估計效果與工業及和農業部門的估計效果做比較。本論文的研究結果指出,平均來說,若服務業附加價值增加1%,則GDP將上0.84%,超過了工業和農業部門各自的0.61%和0.36%的影響。至於附加價值成長率與GDP成長率的關係,本論文發現平均而言,服務業附加價值成長率每提高1%,GDP成長率增加0.54%,超過了工業和農業部門各自的0.45%和0.07%。


    This study aims to examine the impact of value-added in the service sector on the economic growth of emerging economies. The seven largest emergent economies have accounted for a significant portion of the world’s total output, reaching 25% in 2017, highlighting their importance in the global economy. Simultaneously, the value-added by the service sector in the economies analyzed in this study, has reached 55% of their total output in 2019. The development of the service sector has been remarkable both in terms of employment and technological innovation. Driven by a massive employment and intrinsic interconnections in global value chains, the value-added in the service sector plays a pivotal role in accelerating the economic growth rate of emerging economies. Therefore, this study uses a balanced panel data from 33 emerging economies between 2000 to 2019 to estimate the impact of service sector value-added on GDP, and to estimate the relationship between value-added growth rate and GDP growth rate. Additionally, the study will compare this impact across the industrial, and agricultural sectors. The findings indicate that, on average, a 1% increase in service sector value-added increases GDP by 0.84%, surpassing the respective impacts of the industrial and agricultural sectors, which are 0.61% and 0.36%. As for the relationship between value-added growth rate and GDP growth rate is concerned, on average, a 1% increase in service sector value-added growth rate increases GDP growth rate by 0.54%, surpassing the respective impacts of the industrial and agricultural sectors, which are 0.45% and 0.07%.

    1. Introduction 6
    2. Literature Review 8
    2.1 Emerging Economies 8
    2.2 Economic Growth 8
    2.3 Service Sector’s Employment and Value-added Share of GDP 9
    2.4. Services Value-added Spillover Effects 13
    2.5 Other Macroeconomic Variables Affecting GDP Growth 14
    3. Data and Empirical Methodology 16
    3.1 Panel Data 16
    3.2 Emerging Economies Sample 17
    3.3 Model Variables & Data Sources 18
    3.4 Data Overview 19
    3.5 Descriptive Statistics 22
    3.6 Multicollinearity 23
    3.7 Model Specifications 26
    5. Results 30
    6. Limitations & Future Works 37
    7. Conclusions 38
    8. References 40

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