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研究生: 蔡智棠
論文名稱: 霸權與國際公共財之關係-以人民幣國際化為例
The relationship between hegemony and international public good - take the internationalization of RMB as an example
指導教授: 鄧中堅
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 國際事務學院 - 外交學系
Department of Diplomacy
論文出版年: 2013
畢業學年度: 101
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 175
中文關鍵詞: 霸權穩定論貨幣國際化人民幣國際化東亞體系中日競爭
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  • 本文觀察到於越戰結束後,東亞呈現一個沒有霸權的狀態,然而,近來中國經濟的成長,使得人民幣國際化可能成為一項在東亞新出現的國際公共財。因此,筆者欲透過檢視東亞體系的現況與人民幣的國際化,嘗試對傳統霸權穩定理論中,對於霸權與公共財出現關係之部分進行修正,並重新檢視霸權的存在與一項新國際公共財提供之間的關聯性。

    本文檢視東亞體系自戰後以來的演變與現況,並分別探討東亞體系中的三大行為者-中、美、日於體系中的角色轉變與其對於東亞體系的認知,最終本文提出「隱性霸權」的概念來為東亞體系下一註腳。

    提出「隱性霸權」之概念後,本文進一步檢視人民幣國際化迄今為止的政策與現況,並透過8項貨幣國際化指標來評估人民幣目前的國際化程度。本文發現,人民幣目前的國際化程度比起世界其他主要貨幣,國際化程度仍相對較低,然而,本文認為由於中國本身的特殊條件,人民幣的國際化不是能或不能的問題,而只是何時的問題。因此,人民幣成為東亞體系中的國際公共財指日可待。

    綜合上述討論,本文提出對於傳統霸權穩定理論的修正,指出於東亞體系中人民幣的國際化,讓傳統霸權穩定理論中,需要在體系內有一超強存在,國際公共財才得以出線的論述有修正之必要,此外,雖體系中有霸權存在將使公共財出現的可能性大幅上升,然而並不代表沒有霸權存在,公共財便不會出現。


    目錄
    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究背景、動機與目的 1
    研究背景與動機 1
    研究目的 5
    第二節 研究方法與論文架構 6
    研究方法 6
    論文架構 10
    第三節 文獻檢閱 12
    霸權穩定理論 12
    東亞體系 14
    人民幣國際化 15
    第四節 研究範圍與研究限制 18
    研究範圍 18
    研究限制 19

    第二章 理論探討:霸權穩定理論 21
    第一節 霸權之定義探討 23
    霸權的定義 23
    第二節 霸權穩定理論之論述以及演變探討 27
    Charles P. Kindleberger的霸權穩定論思想 27
    Robert Gilpin的霸權穩定論思想 32
    Stephen D. Krasner的霸權穩定論思想 36
    第三節 對霸權穩定理論的批評與回應 38
    霸權之領導與體系穩定之間的關聯性 38
    霸權衰落與體系崩解之關聯性 40
    國際公共財的性質 41
    美國霸權的衰落 42
    第四節 霸權興衰與中型強權 44
    霸權興衰 44
    中型強權的角色 45

    第三章 東亞-一個缺乏「霸權」的體系 48
    第一節 戰後至今東亞國際體系之概況與演變 49
    戰後至1960年代 49
    1960年至1975年 52
    1975年至2000年 55
    2001年至2013年 59
    第二節 中國與日本對於東亞體系的認知 64
    中國對東亞體系的認知 64
    日本對東亞體系的認知 68
    中、日兩國在ASEAN+N模式中的互動與競爭 72
    第三節 美國於東亞體系的角色 75
    全球霸權時期 75
    尼克森主義至亞太主義時期 76
    小布希反恐時期到歐巴馬重返亞洲與再平衡 78
    第四節 東亞的特殊情況-隱性霸權 80
    隱性霸權 80

    第四章 霸權與國際公共財之關係-以人民幣國際化為例 83
    第一節 東亞第一次的嘗試-「Yen Bloc」的倡議 84
    日圓的國際化 84
    Yen Bloc失敗的原因及其對於人民幣國際化的啟示 93
    第二節 人民幣的國際化 97
    何謂國際貨幣以及決定貨幣國際化的條件 97
    一國國際化其貨幣的原因 102
    人民幣國際化 108
    人民幣國際化迄今的政策 111
    八項貨幣國際化指標 127
    第三節 人民幣國際化的前景 139
    學者對於人民幣國際化前景之看法 139
    筆者對於人民幣國際化前景之看法 143
    第四節 以人民幣國際化為例對霸權穩定理論的修正 149
    提供國際公共財的條件 149
    霸權存在與國際公共財出現之關聯性 151

    第五章 結論 153
    第一節 研究發現 154
    第二節 未來研究方向 157

    附錄 158
    參考文獻 159

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