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研究生: 蕭旨芳
Hsiao,Chih-Fang
論文名稱: 亞洲無本金遠期匯率市場蔓延效果之研究
Contagion Effects of Non-Deliverable Forwards in Asian Currencies
指導教授: 張元晨
Chang,Yuanchen
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2006
畢業學年度: 95
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 52
中文關鍵詞: 無本金遠期匯率蔓延效果人民幣升值
外文關鍵詞: NDF, Contagion Effect, Appreciation of Chinese yuan
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  • The impact of own-country and cross-border events on asset markets is an important subject. We examine the co-movement of conditional volatilities in Korean won, Chinese yuan and Taiwanese dollar NDF markets. Using a multivariate GARCH model, we test whether the announcement of Chinese yuan’s appreciation on 21st July, 2005 affects the co-movements of Asian NDF rates. Our findings show Japanese yen spot rate has influences on three Asian NDF markets. Furthermore the most liquid Korean NDF rate also affects Chinese yuan and Taiwanese NDF markets. Our results are consistent with the findings that Asian NDF markets also show strong co-movements, especially after the announcement date of Chinese yuan’s appreciation on 21st July, 2005.


    ABSTRACT II
    LIST OF FIGURES IV
    LIST OF TABLES V
    I. INTRODUCTION 1
    A. DESCRIPTIONS OF ASIAN EXCHANGE RATE MARKETS 2
    B. NON-DELIVERABLE FORWARD (NDF) MARKETS IN ASIA 4
    C.THE EVENT THAT SHOCKS THE MARKET 9
    II. LITERATURE REVIEW 12
    III. METHODOLOGY AND HYPOTHESIS TESTING 16
    IV. DATA AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS 22
    V. ROBUSTNESS TESTS 42
    VI. CONCLUSIONS 48
    BIBLIOGRAPHY 50

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