| 研究生: |
葉宗旻 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
台股現貨指數與期貨指數連動關係 Spillover effect between Taiwan stock market and Taiwan futures market |
| 指導教授: |
郭維裕
Kuo, Wei Yu |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系 Department of International Business |
| 論文出版年: | 2010 |
| 畢業學年度: | 98 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 30 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 外溢效果 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:191 下載:7 |
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This paper examines daily return and volatility spillovers in Taiwan spot and futures stock index markets by using a generalized vector autoregressive (generalized VAR) model where forecast-error variance decompositions are invariant to variable ordering. We measure both total and directional volatility spillovers. This study has used six spot and futures indices, Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TX), Taiwan Stock Exchange Electronic Sector Index (TE), Taiwan Stock Exchange Finance Sector Index (TF), Future index of TAIEX (FITX), Future index of TE (FITE) and Future index of TF (FITF), daily data spanning over 1th January 2001 to 31st March 2010. From empirical result, the generalized vector autoregressive model shows that the return and volatility spillovers from FITE and FITF to other indices are relatively large. It is clear that futures market is more dominantly to have an effect on spot market but return spillovers from spot to futures could not be ignored.
Chapter 1. Introduction....................................1
Chapter 2. Generalized Spillover Definition and Measurement ...................................................3
Chapter 3. Estimates of Equity Index Return and Volatility Spillovers Across Taiwan Spot and Futures Markets..........5
3.1 Full-sample analysis...................................6
3.2 rolling-sample analysis................................8
3.3 rolling-sample directional spillover...................9
Chapter 4. Conclusion.....................................11
References................................................12
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