| 研究生: |
王昱嵐 Wang, Yu-Lan |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
基於代理式AI賦能之量化投資研究Alpha建模流程 Agentic AI-Empowered Alpha Modeling Pipeline for Quantitative Investment Research |
| 指導教授: |
蔡瑞煌
Tsaih, Rua-Huan |
| 口試委員: |
郁方
Yu, Fang 周承復 Chou, Cheng-Fu |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 資訊管理學系 Department of Management Information System |
| 論文出版年: | 2026 |
| 畢業學年度: | 115 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 57 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 多代理系統 、Alpha建模 、量化投資 、LLM代理 、階層式協作 、科技接受模型 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | multi-agent systems, alpha modeling, quantitative investment, LLM agents, hierarchical orchestration, Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:25 下載:0 |
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Alpha 建模(Alpha Modeling)傳統上具有較高的進入門檻,需要使用者同時具備深厚的金融理論、機器學習建模以及高效能運算等專業知識。雖然近年來基於大型語言模型(LLM)的輔助系統已在一定程度上降低了這些門檻,但由單一代理(Agent)負責處理所有子任務的架構,往往容易造成上下文過載(Context Overload),且系統仍高度依賴人類介入協調,使得完全自主化的能力尚未被充分探討。為了解決上述問題,本研究提出一個用於 Alpha 建模的階層式多代理協作框架(hierarchical multi-agent framework)。系統以主管代理(Supervisor Agent)作為核心協調者,在基於檔案系統的工作區中追蹤各類量化研究產出,並動態分派任務至四個專責工作代理(Worker Agents),分別負責機器學習模型訓練、策略回測、績效歸因分析以及研究報告生成。系統進一步結合 ReAct 與 Chain-of-Thought(CoT)推理機制,以實現自主化執行流程。為評估該系統在降低使用門檻方面的成效,本研究基於改編的科技接受模型(Technology Acceptance Model, TAM)設計以人為中心的實驗。共有 22 位來自不同背景的受試者參與評估,並從四個構面進行分析,包括知覺易用性(Perceived Ease of Use)、知覺自主性(Perceived Autonomy)、知覺有用性(Perceived Usefulness)以及使用態度(Attitude Toward Using)。本研究的主要貢獻包括:(1) 提出一個面向 Alpha 建模的專用階層式多代理實作架構;以及 (2) 建立一套基於 TAM 的人機互動評估框架。研究結果顯示,該系統能有效降低量化研究過程中的操作與技術門檻,且其自主能力獲得高度肯定。然而,對於非專業使用者而言,系統輸出的理解與詮釋仍存在認知落差。此結果凸顯了 Agentic AI 在推動量化投資研究普及化方面的潛力,同時也反映出其目前仍面臨的限制與挑戰。
Alpha modeling traditionally involves high entry barriers, requiring deep expertise in financial theory, machine learning modeling, and high-performance computing. While recent LLM-assisted systems lower these barriers, the reliance on a single agent to handle all sub-tasks often leads to context overload, and the dependence on human-in-the-loop coordination leaves the potential for fully autonomous dynamic routing largely unexamined. To address this, we propose a hierarchical multi-agent framework for alpha modeling. A Supervisor Agent dynamically routes tasks within a filesystem-based virtual workspace tracking quantitative artifacts, while four specialized worker agents handle ML training, backtesting, attribution analysis, and reporting. The system adopts ReAct and Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning to enable autonomous execution. To evaluate its effectiveness in lowering entry barriers, we conduct a human-centric experiment based on a modified Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). A total of 22 participants from diverse backgrounds evaluated the system across four dimensions: Perceived Ease of Use, Perceived Autonomy, Perceived Usefulness, and Attitude Toward Using. This work contributes a domain-specific hierarchical multi-agent implementation and a TAM-based human evaluation framework. Results demonstrate that while the system successfully alleviates operational and technical barriers with highly recognized autonomy, cognitive gaps in output comprehensibility persist for non-expert users, highlighting both the potential and current limitations of agentic AI in democratizing quantitative investment research.
摘要 i
Abstract ii
Contents iii
List of Figures v
List of Tables vi
1 Introduction 1
2 Literature Review 5
2.1 Traditional Alpha Modeling 5
2.2 Agentic and Multi-Agent Architectures 6
2.3 Agent Evaluation 7
2.4 Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) 8
2.5 LLM-Assisted Machine Learning Automation 9
2.6 Agentic Frameworks in Quantitative Finance 10
3 Proposed Agentic AI-Empowered Alpha Modeling Pipeline 11
3.1 System Scope and Specification 11
3.2 System Architecture 11
3.3 Agent Implementation: Models, Tools and Orchestration 14
3.4 System Workflow and Dynamic Routing 17
3.5 Implementation Environment and Dataset 23
4 Experiment Design 24
4.1 Research Questions 24
4.2 Evaluation Framework: Adaptation of the Technology Acceptance Model 24
4.3 Experiment Setup 27
5 Experiment Results 31
5.1 Participant Demographic Profile 31
5.2 Cross-Analysis of Evaluation Constructs 33
6 Conclusion 44
References 46
A Agentic AI-Empowered Alpha Modeling System 使用體驗與評估問卷 51
一、受測者背景資料 51
二、系統使用體驗評估 53
B Participant Demographic and Prior Experience Raw Data 56
C TAM Questionnaire Response Raw Data 57
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