| 研究生: |
金品妤 Jin, Pin-Yu |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
匯率轉嫁至通膨效果 ─ 動態追蹤資料分量迴歸之應用 Exchange Rate Pass-through into Inflation: A Dynamic Panel Data Quantile Regression Approach |
| 指導教授: |
林馨怡
Lin, Hsin-Yi |
| 口試委員: |
陳旭昇
Chen, Shiu-Sheng 楊宗翰 Yang, Han |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學學院 - 經濟學系 Department of Economics |
| 論文出版年: | 2026 |
| 畢業學年度: | 114 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 51 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 匯率轉嫁 、通貨膨脹 、分量迴歸 、追蹤資料 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:25 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
1990 年代金融危機以來,全球匯率轉嫁效果普遍下滑,使傳統擴張性貶值觀點受到挑戰,資產負債表效應也隨之受到關注。本文採用動態追蹤資料分量迴歸與 Lin (2024) 控制函數法,針對 1974 至 2022 年 82 國之季資料,探討不同通膨水準下的匯率轉嫁效果。實證結果顯示,匯率貶值的擴張效果在低通膨環境相對有限,但隨通膨上升將顯著增強;同時,高通膨環境亦會放大資產負債表效應,進而削弱匯率貶值對通膨的推升效果。
1 緒論 1
2 文獻回顧 5
3 模型與資料 12
3.1 模型設定 12
3.2 資料 14
4 實證結果 18
4.1 基準模型 18
4.2 實質固定資本形成毛額成長率 23
4.3 匯率制度 24
4.4 外債美元化 27
4.5 大幅貶值之非線性衝擊 29
4.6 不對稱性 33
5 結論 37
參考文獻 48
附錄 51
A 國家資料樣本 51
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全文公開日期 2031/07/16