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研究生: 金品妤
Jin, Pin-Yu
論文名稱: 匯率轉嫁至通膨效果 ─ 動態追蹤資料分量迴歸之應用
Exchange Rate Pass-through into Inflation: A Dynamic Panel Data Quantile Regression Approach
指導教授: 林馨怡
Lin, Hsin-Yi
口試委員: 陳旭昇
Chen, Shiu-Sheng
楊宗翰
Yang, Han
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 51
中文關鍵詞: 匯率轉嫁通貨膨脹分量迴歸追蹤資料
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  • 1990 年代金融危機以來,全球匯率轉嫁效果普遍下滑,使傳統擴張性貶值觀點受到挑戰,資產負債表效應也隨之受到關注。本文採用動態追蹤資料分量迴歸與 Lin (2024) 控制函數法,針對 1974 至 2022 年 82 國之季資料,探討不同通膨水準下的匯率轉嫁效果。實證結果顯示,匯率貶值的擴張效果在低通膨環境相對有限,但隨通膨上升將顯著增強;同時,高通膨環境亦會放大資產負債表效應,進而削弱匯率貶值對通膨的推升效果。


    1 緒論 1
    2 文獻回顧 5
    3 模型與資料 12
    3.1 模型設定 12
    3.2 資料 14
    4 實證結果 18
    4.1 基準模型 18
    4.2 實質固定資本形成毛額成長率 23
    4.3 匯率制度 24
    4.4 外債美元化 27
    4.5 大幅貶值之非線性衝擊 29
    4.6 不對稱性 33
    5 結論 37
    參考文獻 48
    附錄 51
    A 國家資料樣本 51

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