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研究生: 賴靜瑤
Lai , Ching-yao
論文名稱: 政府與私部門防治支出、環境政策制定以及環境顧志耐曲線
指導教授: 楊建成
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 財政學系
Department of Public Finance
論文出版年: 2005
畢業學年度: 93
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 109
中文關鍵詞: 政府防治支出私人防治投資排擠效果/排入效果環境顧志耐曲線顧志耐曲線
外文關鍵詞: government spedning for environmental protection, private spedning for environmental protection, crowding-out effect/crowding-in effect, Environmental Kuznets Curve, Kuznets Curve
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  • 為解決經濟發展過程伴隨的污染問題,常可見到政府和私部門一同投入防治工作,Pearce and Palmer (2001) 發現OECD國家隨著經濟成長,政府逐步提高公共防治支出,而且各個國家私部門的防治投入仍然佔有相當比重。Seldon and Song (1994)、Antle and Heidebrink (1995) 和Komen et al. (1997) 等實證文獻曾提出「倒U字型」EKC成立的原因可能來自環境財為奢侈財,使得經濟成長過程中公共防治投入快速增加,污染才會逐步減少。雖然Pearce and Palmer (2001) 實證OECD國家公共防治投入的所得彈性確實大於1,可是Kriström and Riera (1996) 發現許多國家對環境品質改善之願付價值的所得需求彈性值介於0到1之間,環境品質實為正常財而非奢侈財。鑒於相關實證資料的矛盾,本文從政府公共防治決策過程,了解環境品質所得需求彈性與公共防治投入所得彈性大於1的關聯,以連結環境品質所得需求彈性與EKC成立的關聯。本文證明無需奢侈財的偏好條件,而僅需環境品質偏好為正常財,以及防治技術滿足規模報酬遞增或固定,平均所得提高,消費者對環境品質的主觀願付價格高於客觀代價,模型預期政府將不斷提高防治費率,平均所得水準和防治費率同步增加,公共防治投入的所得彈性必定大於1,污染量終會減少並趨向於零。
    實證研究指出並非所有種類污染物的污染水準與平均所得關係,一定呈現「倒U字型」關係,而過去理論模型單從消費者對於環境品質偏好條件,或是單從污染物防治技術是否具備規模報酬遞增,仍不能完全解釋不同污染物與所得關係的差異性。本文強調必須將經濟成長帶動所得分配變化對污染的間接效果納入,有助於釐清不同種類污染物與所得關係的差異性。首先,所得分配固定不變而平均所得提高,只要滿足環境品質偏好為正常財,以及防治技術滿足規模報酬遞增或固定,平均所得對污染的直接效果為「倒U字型」。再則平均所得固定不變時,只要消費者對環境品質的偏好為正常財(而非奢侈財),所得分配改善,經由多數決投票決定均衡費率反而調降,污染隨之增加。考量高所得國家經濟成長帶動所得分配改善 (即顧志耐曲線存在) 的間接效果,不同污染物面對相同的所得分配變化,唯一的差異僅是防治技術的不同。防治技術之規模報酬遞增並不保證平均所得對污染的淨效果為「倒U字型」,而必須該污染物防治技術之規模報酬指數很高,直接效果大到足以抵銷間接效果,淨效果才可能為「倒U字型」。
    另外,本文探討為何世界各國普遍有公私部門同時投入防治的現象,以及研究公共防治支出對私人防治投入產生排擠或排入效果的機制。模型發現無論政府和私部門的防治要素是否為互補要素 (complementary inputs) ,政府和私部門的最適防治投資都不為零。假若私部門增加設備無關乎提升公共防治設備之效能,公共防治增加,將對私人投資產生排擠效果。假若私部門增加設備可以提升公共防治設備之效能,公共防治對私部門防治投資可能產生排擠效果或排入效果,端看該國對於環境品質的重視程度。
    政府環境政策制定與私部門防治投資決策的互動息息相關,環境政策的成效實有賴私部門是否願意配合投入防治設備。一旦公共支出對私人投資具排入效果,政府傾向事前宣布較高費率,期望刺激私人投入防治,待事後私人已經投入防治設備,政府則有誘因調降費率。反之,假若公共支出對私人投資具排擠效果,則政府傾向事後再調高費率。只要政府落實事前宣布政策,在符合實證支持的技術條件,污染與平均所得的關係為「倒U字型」的環境顧志耐曲線 (Environmental Kuznets Curve, 以下簡稱EKC) ,若缺乏機制督促政府落實事前宣布政策,且消費者理性預期政府背離意向,當動態一致性 (dynamically consistent) 費率低於事前宣布政策的費率,則執行動態一致性費率所對應的EKC將高於政府確實執行事前政策之EKC;若動態一致性費率高於事前宣布的費率,環境政策的動態不一致反而使得EKC降低。


    章節 頁次
    表次...............................................................................................................................vi
    圖次..............................................................................................................................vii
    第一章 緒論...............................................................................................................1
    第二章 所得分配、內生制定環境政策與環境顧志耐曲線...................................6
    1. 前言…………………………………………………………………………6
    2. 所得分配與環境品質偏好…………………………………………………9
    2.1 所得分配與EKC的實證資料……………………………...………...9
    2.2 個人所得水準與環境品質偏好……………………………..………12
    3. 模型設定…………………………………………………………………..14
    4. 線性效用函數之模型均衡分析…………………………………………..17
    4.1 消費者個人最適政策………………………………………..………17
    4.2 政治均衡解………………………………………………..…………20
    4.3 EKC成立的充分條件…………………………………….…………22
    5. 一般化模型之均衡分析…………………………………………………...27
    5.1 所得分配與污染……………………………………………..………27
    5.2 EKC成立的充分條件…….…………………………………………29
    6. 所得分配與EKC…………………………………………………………..32
    7. 結論………………………………………………….……………………..37
    第三章 公私部門的防治投入、環境政策的動態不一致性與環境顧志耐曲線......39
    1. 前言……………………………………………………………………...….39
    2. 實證現象所…………………………………………………...…………….43
    2.1 公私部門的污染防治投入………..………………………………….43
    2.2 政府是否落實環境政策的問題……………………………………44
    3. 模型設定………………….………………………………………….…….47
    3.1 效用函數………………………………………………….………….47
    3.2 污染函數………………………………………………….………….48
    3.3 政府………………………………………………………….……….50
    4. 均衡分析…………..…………………………………………………….….51
    4.1 消費者決策…………………………………………………..………52
    4.2 動態不一致……………………………………………………..……53
    4.2.1落實事前政策……………………………………………...…….54
    4.2.2事後權衡觀點…………………………………………..………..55
    4.2.3具理性預期的事後觀點…………………………………..……..57
    4.3 公私部門防治投資的排擠或排入效果…………………………….58
    5. 引發動態不一致的機制……………..………………………………...…...62
    5.1 資源最適配置下的最佳政策……………………..…………………62
    5.2 私人防治投資的搭便車問題………………………………..………63
    5.3 λ值偏低與政府事後調降費率………………………….…………65
    5.4 λ值偏高與政府事後調高費率…………………………….………66
    6. E和G互為獨立要素………………………………………...…………....67
    6.1 消費者之防治決策………………………………………..…………67
    6.2 動態不一致…………………………………………………..………68
    6.3 引發動態不一致的機制………………………………….………….70
    6.4 動態不一致與防治函數設定之關聯……………….……………….72
    7. 加入預期因素的環境顧志耐曲線………………………...……………..74
    7.1 落實事前政策之環境顧志耐曲線…………………………..………74
    7.2 事後觀點之環境顧志耐曲…………………………………..………78
    7.3 執行動態一致性政策之環境顧致耐曲線……………………..……83
    8. 結論…………………………………………………….…………………..85
    第四章 總結………………………………………………………………………..87
    參考文獻……………………………………………………………………………..95
    附錄…………………………………………………………….………..………….101

    表次
    表名 頁次
    表 2.1 所得分配惡化對各類污染物的效果…………………………………….…11
    表 3.1 各國環境改善計畫的益本比………………………………………...……..61

    圖次
    圖名 頁次
    圖 2.1 平均所得變動與均衡污染量之變化…………………...…………………24
    圖 2.2 平均所得對污染之淨效果…………………………………...……………36
    圖 3.1 私人防治投入與費率關係圖………………………….…………………..60
    圖 3.2 搭便車誘因對私人防治投入的影響…………………………………..….64
    圖 3.3 事前觀點平均所得變動對均衡污染量的影響…………………….……..77
    圖 3.4 事後觀點平均所得變動對均衡污染量的影響……….…………………..80
    圖 3.5 事前和事後觀點私人投資與真實消費比之關係………………………...81
    圖 3.6 比較事前和事後觀點之最適消費比與污染量…………………………...82
    圖 3.7 環境政策動態不一致對環境顧志耐曲線的影響…………….…………..84
    圖 E F與τ的關係圖………………………………………………..…………103
    圖 G 徵收防治費的邊際成本和邊際效益曲線…….…..…………..…………107

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