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研究生: 沈家維
Shen, Chia-Wei
論文名稱: 定錨行為對股票購回資訊宣告效果的影響
The impact of anchoring bias on announcement effect of stock repurchase
指導教授: 李志宏
Lee, Jie-Haun
謝劍平
Shieh, Chang-Pying
口試委員: 張琬喻
Jang, Woan-Yuh
李志宏
Lee, Jie-Haun
謝劍平
Shieh, Chang-Pying
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2018
畢業學年度: 106
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 39
中文關鍵詞: 定錨效應反應不足反應過度股票購回
外文關鍵詞: Anchoring Bias, Underreaction, Overreaction, Stock Repurchase
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6814/THE.NCCU.Finance.005.2018.F07
相關次數: 點閱:123下載:30
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  • 本研究藉由心理學中的定錨效應探討公司宣告股票購回後的資訊宣告效果被其影響的現象。我們使用了台灣2011到2016年間的上市公司股票購回資料,發現到當公司宣告購回的上限價格與投資人心中認定的錨點價格產生較大的差距時,宣告效果帶來的正面報酬會部分被定錨效應抵銷;當差距較小時,則不會展現出定錨效應的影響。此外,我們亦發現到長天期的均價、遠天期的最低價或特殊事件導致的價格較容易在投資人心中產生錨點。此外,公司過去股票購回的執行情況也可能留下印象,影響下一次的市場反應。另一方面,若將樣本時間限定在熊市期間,受到市場氛圍的影響,股市會反應出更強烈的定錨效應。


    This study explores the impact of investors’ anchoring bias on the announcement effect of stock repurchase. We examine the stock repurchase data of listed company in Taiwan market between 2011 to 2016 and find that when there is a large difference between the price announced and the price which investors believed, the positive market reaction caused by announcement effect will be offset by anchoring effect partially. Conversely, If the price gap is not very large, then the market reaction will not be influenced by anchoring bias. We also find that long term average price, lowest price and the lowest price originated from special event are the price most likely promote investors’ anchoring bias. Besides, using the execution rate data, we find that past execution rate would also lead to investors’ anchoring bias. We further examine the data during bear market and find that anchoring bias has a more significant effect when the market sentiment is pessimistic.

    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究動機及背景 1
    第二節 研究目的 3
    第三節 研究架構 5
    第二章 文獻回顧 6
    第一節 效率市場 6
    第二節 經驗法則與定錨效應 7
    第三節 股票購回與市場反應 9
    第三章 研究假說及實驗方法 12
    第一節 研究假說 12
    第二節 研究方法及資料來源 13
    1. 參數定義 13
    2. 實證模型 16
    第四章 實證結果 19
    第一節 定錨行為對股票購回資訊宣告效果的影響 19
    第二節 定錨效應在不同市場狀態下的作用 31
    第五章 結論與建議 36
    第一節 研究結論 36
    第二節 應用及後續研究建議 36
    參考文獻 38

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