| 研究生: |
朱紓葶 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
退休準備:最適配置與投資績效 |
| 指導教授: | 黃泓智 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 風險管理與保險學系 Department of Risk Management and Insurance |
| 論文出版年: | 2009 |
| 畢業學年度: | 97 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 48 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 資產負債管理 、最適配置 、提撥率 、投資績效 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Asset liability matching, Optimal allocation, Contribution rate, performance |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:120 下載:121 |
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本文延續Huang(2004, 2008)的研究,將單期與多期挹注資金的資產負債管理議題專化於DC確定提撥退休金制度上,其研究將問題化成二次函數,以一般化最小平方法(Generalized least square, GLS)求出具有唯一解特性的決策變數,利用的軟體求解速度相當快,能有效率地一次找出多項資產配置比例。
本研究引入三種投資模型及其薪資模型,分別是Wilkie(1995)模型、MacDonald and Cairns(2007)模型、Huang and Cairns(2006)及Li(2009),以蒙地卡羅模型模擬出各投資標的年報酬率與薪資水準,並利用這些預期的模擬值在負債目標控制為隨機成長或固定比例成長下,找出最適投資比例、每期挹注的額度與提撥比例。
最適配置為了解決下方風險(downside risk)問題,在允許限定風險容忍度下去最大化投資績效,本研究將目標函數加入衡量報酬項,依據員工希望的報酬,討論此項權重如何最適。亦加入交易成本項以反映實務情況,此投資總交易成本為權重的函數,於足夠支付交易成本的前提下找出權重最小值。
In this study, the simulation of the return for each investment and wage pattern is via introduction of three investment model and their wage model, namely, Wilkie (1995) model, MacDonald and Cairns (2007) model, Huang and Cairns (2006) model and Li (2009), by using Monte Carlo simulation. The optimal contribution rate of investments, the amount of injection of each period, and income replacement ratio are determined when simulation is targeted in the balance control for the random growth or growth under a fixed rate of liabilities.
The asset-liability management of single-period and multi-period injection of funds is specialized in the Defined contribution plan (DC), which is the extension of Huang’s (2004, 2008) study. Huang’s research transforming his argument into a quadratic function to generalized least squares method (GLS) having a unique solution to derive the decision-making variables. This method can efficiently find a set of allocation by software at a fairly rapid speed.
The optimal allocation is to maximize investment performance subject to a limited risk had to tolerance for deal with downside risk. This study ameliorates the objective function by adding a constant term, which does not affect the investment decision-making variable. This new generalized least squares method use a constant represented as a weight, which is based on the desire asset of the employee. This study also takes transaction costs into consideration to reflect the practical situation. The total transaction costs are the function of the weight introduced into the new objective function. The minimum of weight can be reached when the goal is set to be sufficient to cover the transaction costs
摘要 3
Abstract 4
第一章 緒論 5
第一節 研究目的 5
第二節 文獻回顧 6
第三節 研究架構 9
第二章 投資模型與薪資模型建構 10
第一節 Wilkie模型 10
第二節 MacDonald and Cairns 12
第三節 Huang and Andrew 15
第三章 資產負債模型建構 17
第一節 資產模型 17
第二節 負債模型 21
第三節 目標函數 24
第四節 交易成本 30
第四章 數值結果分析 31
第一節 薪資模型比較 31
第二節 投資模型比較 33
第三節 負債類型比較 36
第四節 投資績效 39
第五節 目標函數權重 42
第五章 結論與建議 44
附錄 參考文獻 45
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