論文提要

本研究係以營業現金流量為研究範圍，探討營業現金流量資訊在判別失敗公司及非失敗公司時之區別能力，希望藉由現金流量資訊之提供以協助報表使用人判斷企業有無失敗之傾向，從而作成正確的投資及授信決策。

除了研究營業現金流量之企業失敗預測能力，本研究另外進行了一項營業現金流量資訊內容分析，尋找營業現金流量與一般所慣用之"營業提供之營運資金"及"營業利益"間之關係，用以探討傳統會計觀念"以盈餘預測未來之現金流量"之是否可行。

本研究於文獻探討中，介紹了美國會計權威機構、學術團體對現金流量之觀念及近年來重視現金流量資訊之趨勢，並彙述了有關現金流量在破產預測、現金流量之資訊內涵及現金流量之預測模式等各方面之實證研究。

本研究經以國內公開上市公司為對象，蒐集其財務報表，據此編製營業現金流量及其他財務比率。又研究樣本分成失敗公司及非失敗公司兩組，以所計算之各種比率對此兩組樣本進行失敗前三年度之多變量區別分析，以其結果判別營業現金流量是否繼能提高預測企業失敗之能力，並討論營業現金流量之資訊內容及其揭露之必要性。

參考書目
一、中文書籍:
l.林清山。多變項分析統計法，台北:東華書局，民國69年4月初版。
2.陳家驥。財務報告分析，自行出版，民國69年5月初版。
3.丁文拯譯。財務報表分析，台北:聯經出版社，民國72年初版。

二、 英文書籍:
1. Bernstein Leopold A., Financial Statement Analysis-- Theory, Application, and Interpretation, (Homewood, Illinosis: Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1983 3ird edition).
2. Hendriksen Eldons., Accounting Theory (Illinosis: Richord D. Irwin, Inc., 1982 4th edition)
3. Kennedy Ralph Dale and McMullen Stewart Yarwood, Finaucial Statements-- Forms, Anaysis and Interpretation, (Illinosis: Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1973 6th edition)
4. Lev Baruch, Financial statement Analysis -- A New Approach, (New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliff, 1st edition).
5. Myer John N., Financial Statement Analysis, (New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, 4th edition).
6. Philips G. Edward & Copeland Ronald M., Financial Statements: Problems from current practice, (New Jersey: Prenfice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, 1st edition)
三、英文期刊:
1. Altman, Edward T. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis, and the Prediction of Corporate Banknoptcy", Journal of Finance, September 1968, pp. 589-609.
2. Beaver, William H. "Alternative Accounting Measures As Predictors of Failure", Accounting Review, January 1968, pp. 113-122.
3. Blum, Marc "Failing Company Discriminatint Analysis", Journal of Accounting Research, Spring 1974, pp. 1–25.
4. Braiotta, Louis Jr. "Cash Basis Statement of Changes", CPA Journal, August 1984, pp. 34-40.
5. Bryant, Julie W. "Proposed: A New Statement of Changes", Management Accounting, April 1984, pp. 49– 52.
6. Buzby, Stephen L. and Falk Haim, "A New Approach to the Funds statement", Journal of Accountancy, January 1974, pp. 55-61.
7. Campbell, David R. , Johnson, James M. and Savoie, Leonard M. "Cash Flow, Liquidity & Financial Flexibility" Financial Executive, August 1984, pp. 14-17.
8. Casey, Cornelius J. and Bartozak, Norman J. "Cash Flow-It's Not the Bottom Line," Harvard Business Review, July–August 1984, pp.61-66.
9. ----------- , "Using Operating Cash Flow Data to Predict Financial Sistress : Some Extensions", Jounal of Accounting Research, Spring 1985, pp. 384-401.
10. Deakin, Edword B. "Distributions of Financial Accounting Ratios: Some Empirical Evidence" Accounting Review, January 1976, pp. 90–96.
11. Drtina, Ralph E. and Largay, James A. III "Pitfalls in Calculating Cash Flow from Operations." Accounting Review, April 1985, pp. 31.4-326.
12. Gale, Bradley T. and Branch, Ben "cash Flow Analysis: More Important than Ever", Harvard business Review, July–August 1981, pp. 131-136.
13. Gentry, Jomes A. Newbold, pual and Whitford, David T. "classifying Banknpt Firms with Funds Flow Components", Journal of Accounting Research, Spring 1985, pp. 146-160.
14. Gibson, Charles H. Klammer, Thomas P. and Reed Sarach A" The Cash Flow statement", CPA Journal, November 1986, pp. 18-38.
15. Golus, Steven J. and Huffman Harry D. "cash Flow-Why It should Be stressed in Financial Reporting" Financial Executive, February 1984, pp. 34-40.
16. Gombola, Michael J. and Kety, J. Edward "A Note on Cash Flow and Classification Patterns of Financial Rations." Accounting Review, January 1983, pp. 105–114.
17. ---------, "A Caveat on Measuring Cash Flow and Solvency." Financial Analysts, September–October 1983, pp. 66-72.
18. Hartgraves, Al L. and Tuthill, William C. "How Cash Flow Reporting Should be Changed", Management Accounting, April 1986, pp. 41-45.
19. Horrigan, James O. "A Short History of Financial Ratio Analysis." Accounting Review, April 1968, pp. 284–294.
20. Ketz, J. Edward and Kochanek, Richard F. "Cash Flow: Assessing A Company's Real Financial Health", financial Executive, July, 1982, pp. 34-49.
21. Largay, James A. III and Stickney Clyde P. "Cash Flows, Ratio Analysis and the W. T. Grant Company Bankruptcy", Financial Analysts Journal, July-August 1980, pp. 51-54.
22. Heath Loyd C. "Let's Scrap the Funds statement", Journal of Accountancy, October 1978, pp. 94-103.
23. --------, "Is Working capital Really Working?" Journal of Accountancy, August 1980, pp.55-62.
24. -------- and Rosenfield, Paul "Solvency: The Forgotten Half of Financial Reporting", Journal of Accountancy, January 1979, pp. 48–54.
25. Nurnberg, Hugo "Issues in funds statement Presentation", Accounting Review October 1983, pp. 799-812.
26. Sorter George H. "The Emphasis on Cash and its Impact on The Funds Statement-sense and Nonsense", Journal of Accounting Auditing & Finance, Spring 1982, pp. 188-194.
27. Swanson, Eduard P. "Designing a Cash Flow Statement", CPA Journal, January 1986, pp. 38-45.
28. -------- and Vangermeersch, Richard, "Statement of Financing and Investing Activities", CPA Journal, November 1981, pp. 32–40.
29. Thode Stephen F., Drtina Ralph E. and Largay James A. III "operating Cash Flows: A Growing Need for Separate Reporting", Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance, Winter 1986, pp. 46–61.
30. Thomus, Barbara S. "Deregulation and Cash Flow Reporting: One Viewpoint", Financial Executive, January 1983, pp. 20-24.

四、未出版著作及其他:
1.張伯堅。判別分析在財務應用之研究，國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文，民國69年。
2.卓傳陣。財務比率之一般應用及其預測功能之研究，國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文，民國72年。
3 .陳肇榮。運用財務比率預測企業財務危機之實證研究，國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文，民國72年。

1. FASB Exposure Droft, Statement of Cash Flows, July 31, 1986.
2. FASB Discussion Memorandum, Reporting Funds Flows, Liquidity, and Financial Flexibility, 1980.