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研究生: 劉志勇
Liu, Chih Yung
論文名稱: 壽險公司長壽風險與財務風險避險之最適產品組合
The optimal product portfolios for hedging longevity risks and financial risks for life insurers: multi-factors immunization approach
指導教授: 王儷玲
Wang, Li Ling
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 風險管理與保險學系
Department of Risk Management and Insurance
論文出版年: 2010
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 50
中文關鍵詞: 長壽風險財務風險反向房屋抵押貸款多因子免疫模型
外文關鍵詞: Longevity risk, Financial risk, Reverse mortgage, Multi-factors immunization approach
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  • 壽險公司積極開發新商品以因應大量退休人口的需求,讓退休屋主得以所居住之房屋為抵押物,向金融機構貸款以獲得退休後之資金來源的反向房屋抵押貸款商品也應運而生。但這類的退休商品,除了讓壽險公司因人類平均壽命延長的現象而曝露在長壽風險的威脅下之外,其中所牽涉到之多樣的財務風險,也讓壽險公司在經營上面臨另外一個挑戰,但是反向房屋抵押貸款商品因其商品特性,似乎也可以提供壽險公司不同的風險分散的效果,有助於提升整體商品組合的避險效果。
    本研究所提出之多因子免疫模型,可供壽險公司依照其所銷售之商品及所欲規避之風險,選擇一個最適的商品銷售數量,讓整個商品組合獲得最佳之避險效果。本研究透過多因子免疫模型進行數值分析,發現商品中加入反向房屋抵押貸款商品時,其避險效果明顯的優於未包含反向房屋抵押貸款之商品組合,顯見壽險公司發行反向房屋抵押貸款商品將有助於達到風險分散的效果,獲得更佳的避險成效。
    關鍵字:長壽風險、財務風險、反向房屋抵押貸款、多因子免疫模型。


    Life insurance company try to meet the demand of the elder who has been retired by designing new products. The mortgage instruments to enable elderly homeowners to borrow by using the equity in their home as collateral, called “reverse mortgage”. With the launch this kind of product, life insurance company exposures in the threat of longevity and involves in others financial risks. However, the features of reverse mortgage may create the different effects of diversification for life insurance company to catch the better effects of hedging.
    We propose the Multi-Factors Immunization Approach to calculate the optimal product portfolio which attain the best hedging effects for life insurer by adjusting the number of units sold and recognizing the risks they want to hedge. We discover that the product portfolios which include reverse mortgage have the better hedging effects than these don’t include by numerical analysis. It is obviously that life insurer can acquire the effect of diversification and better hedging effects.

    Key words: Longevity risk, Financial risk, Reverse
    mortgage, Multi-factors immunization approach.

    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究背景與動機 1
    第二節 研究目的與方法 3
    第二章 文獻回顧 4
    第一節 產業自我保險方法 4
    第二節 反向房屋抵押貸款 6
    第三章 研究模型 14
    第一節 多因子免疫模型 14
    第二節 反向房屋貸款評價公式 19
    第三節 死亡率模型 23
    第四節 利率模型 25
    第五節 房屋價格模型 27
    第四章 數值結果分析 29
    第一節 死亡率估計 29
    第二節 商品設計 31
    第三節 商品組合數值分析 35
    第五章 結論與建議 40
    參考文獻 42

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