| 研究生: |
于健 YU, JIAN |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
非平穩性時間數列預測 Forecasting for nonstationary time series a neural networks approach |
| 指導教授: | 吳柏林 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 統計學系 Department of Statistics |
| 論文出版年: | 1992 |
| 畢業學年度: | 80 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 23 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | ARMA models, non-stationarity, model-free, neural networks, back-propagation. |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:169 下載:0 |
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Conventional time series analysis depends heavily on the twin assumptions of linearity and stationarity. However; there are certain cases where sampled data tend to violate the assumptions. In this paper, we use neural networks technology to explore the situation when the assumptions of linearity and stationarity are failed. At the end of the paper, we discuss an illustrative example about the annual expenditures of government and science-education-culture of R.O.C.
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