| 研究生: |
汪戊安 Wang, Wu An |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
法人說明會資訊對供應鏈上下游公司間股價之影響-以我國半導體產業為例 The effect from up-stream company’s conference call information on down-stream’s company’s stock price-an example from semi-conductor industry in Taiwan |
| 指導教授: | 金成隆 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 會計學系 Department of Accounting |
| 論文出版年: | 2012 |
| 畢業學年度: | 100 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 90 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 法人說明會 、半導體供應鏈 、事件研究法 、累積異常報酬 、資訊移轉 、文字探勘 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Conference call, Semi-conductor Supply Chain, Event Study, Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR), Information Transfer, Data Mining |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:232 下載:0 |
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本研究主要探討台灣半導體產業供應鏈上游公司召開法人說明會是否會影響中下游公司之股價。本研究將法人說明會公布之資訊區分為財務資訊及非財務資訊,除探討財務資訊對供應鏈中、下游公司股價是否具影響效果外,亦探討財務及非財務的法人說明會資訊是否具有增額效果。實證結果顯示財務資訊在法人說明會召開前後一天與累積異常報酬呈現顯著正向關係,但非財務資訊卻呈現顯著反向關係,顯示非財務資訊會修正財務資訊所造成之效果。另外,資訊於供應鏈中移轉之距離越長,則移轉效果會越小,但若單純為好消息或壞消息,則移轉效果將增強。
This research examines the influence of conference call information on the stock price of supply chain partners. The semi-conductor industries in Taiwan were used in this paper to examine the issue. I examined two kinds of information disclosed from conference calls: financial information and non-financial information.
I first examined the information contained in conference calls for any effects on supply chain partners. Furthermore, I also examined to see if the non-financial information contains any additional effects to the supply chain partners. The empirical results show that the accumulated abnormal return of the supply chain partners is significantly positive related to the financial information around the conference call date. The accumulated abnormal return of the supply chain partners is significantly negative related to the non-financial information around the conference call date.
The results show that both financial and non-financial information would influence the accumulated abnormal return of supply chain partners. The non-financial information contains additional information that revises the influence of the financial information.
壹、緒論 1
一、研究動機與目的 1
二、研究問題 3
三、預期研究貢獻 4
四、研究架構 5
貳、文獻探討 7
一、半導體產業供應鏈之文獻探討 7
二、法人說明會之文獻探討 10
三、文字探勘技術之文獻探討 13
四、資訊移轉之文獻探討 20
參、研究設計 22
一、建立研究假說 22
二、變數定義及迴歸模型 23
三、樣本蒐集及處理 33
肆、實證結果 49
一、敘述性統計 49
二、多變量迴歸結果與分析 52
三、敏感性分析 57
伍、結論與建議 85
一、研究結論 85
二、研究限制 85
三、研究建議 86
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