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研究生: 林蘭
Petra Nepozitkova
論文名稱: 原住民族社區社會經濟脆弱性與空間可近性之分析:以地震災害韌性為觀點
Analyzing the Socioeconomic Vulnerabilities and Spatial Accessibility of Indigenous Communities from the Perspective of Earthquake Disaster Resilience
指導教授: 廖興中
Liao Hsin Chung
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 亞太研究英語博士學位學程(IDAS)
International Doctor Program in Asia-Pacific Studies(IDAS)
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 111
中文關鍵詞: 原住民社會經濟脆弱性災害韌性E2SFCA空間可近性
外文關鍵詞: Indigenous, Spatial Accessibility, Socioeconomic vulnerability, GIS, E2SFCA
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  • 本研究聚焦於台灣原住民族地區村落面對地震的脆弱性。透過社會經濟脆弱性、韌性及空間可近性之框架,本研究運用台灣政府提供的人口統計資料,辨識出同時面臨高度社會經濟脆弱性與地震風險加劇的社區;並探討這些社區對關鍵基礎設施的空間可近性,並透過 剝奪放大假說 與 K-均值聚類分析,探究兩者之間的關聯性。
    透過結合地理資訊系統(GIS)與統計學的定量研究,本研究繪製出詳盡的脆弱性與風險地圖,標示出關鍵地點,供政策制定者、第一線應變人員及地方利害關係人直接運用。分析結果揭示,位於原住民地區的村落存在社會經濟脆弱性聚集現象,其中東海岸地區更出現多處極端值。值得注意的是,原住民地區的脆弱性呈現高度集中之態。透過結合「峰值地面加速度」(PGA)與「社會脆弱性指數」(SVI)的風險矩陣所計算出的地震風險顯示,花東縱谷與東海岸的地震風險有所增加;相較之下,花蓮市區村落的韌性較高,儘管各社區間的風險存在顯著差異。E2SFCA(增強型兩步浮動集水區)分析揭示了緊急醫療照護方面的一項重要缺口:山區村落前往醫院及接受緊急醫療照護的可及性偏低,而中央山脈北部地區前往警察局的途徑卻不成比例地高。透過可及性總體可視化分析,發現中央山脈山麓地區缺乏災害防治基礎設施的可及性,其中九個村落不僅空間可及性為零,空間可及性與基礎設施涵蓋皆為零。
    數據中未發現系統性的剝奪效應放大現象,惟社會脆弱性指數(SVI)對醫院可及性產生微弱的負面影響。儘管如此,K-means 聚類分析仍識別出一個由 99 個村落組成的聚類,這些村落具有高脆弱性與低可及性,以及位於中央山脈山麓與東海岸、可及性低且屬於「極高風險」類別的村落;據此可觀察到適宜制定量身訂製的減災策略與政策干預的脆弱區域,這些區域應獲得第一線應變人員與政策制定者的優先關注。


    This research focuses on the vulnerability of villages found in the Taiwanese Indigenous Areas to earthquakes. Using the framework of socioeconomic vulnerability, resilience, and spatial accessibility, this research utilizes demographic data provided by the Taiwanese government to identify communities that suffer from a high level of socioeconomic vulnerabilities and increased risk of earthquake, while also focusing on spatial accessibility to critical infrastructure and exploring their connection through the deprivation amplification hypothesis and K-means clustering.
    Quantitative research combining Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and statistics creates detailed vulnerability and risk maps identifying critical sites that can be readily used by policymakers, first responders, and local stakeholders. Analysis uncovered clusters of socioeconomic vulnerability of villages located in the Indigenous Areas, including the east coast with multiple extreme values. Notable is the high concentration of vulnerabilities in the Indigenous Areas. Earthquake risk computed using the risk matrix combining Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) shows increased risk of earthquakes in the East Rift Valley and the east coast, contrasting with the higher resilience of the Hualien urban villages, despite the notable difference between risk in individual neighbourhoods. E2SFCA (Enhanced 2 Step Floating Catchment Area) uncovered an important gap in emergency healthcare access: low accessibility to hospitals and emergency care in the mountainous villages, and outsized access to police stations in the north of the Central Mountains. Visualisation of total accessibility uncovers a lack of access to the disaster mitigation infrastructure in the Central Mountain foothills, including nine villages with zero spatial access and zero infrastructure.
    No systematic deprivation amplification was found in the data, with the exception of the weak negative effect of SVI on access to hospitals. Nonetheless, K-means clustering identified a cluster of 99 villages with high vulnerability and low access, as well as Very High Risk villages with low accessibility, located in the Central Mountains foothills and the east coast, and thus observing vulnerable regions suitable for tailored disaster mitigation strategies and policy intervention, which should receive priority attention from first responders and policymakers.

    1. INTRODUCTION 1
    1.1. The importance of vulnerability, spatial accessibility, deprivation amplification, and resilience for this research 2
    1.2. Research Gap 4
    1.3. Research objectives 7
    2. LITERATURE REVIEW 9
    2.1.1. Earthquakes and natural disasters in Taiwan 9
    2.1.2. Indigenous peoples and earthquakes 10
    2. 2. Methods 13
    2.2.1. VULNERABILITY FRAMEWORK 13
    2.2.1.2. SOCIAL VULNERABILITY INDEX (SVI) 18
    2.2.2. VULNERABILITIES IN TAIWAN 19
    2.2.3. RESILIENCE 19
    2.2.4. SPATIAL ACCESSIBILITY OF EMERGENCY RESOURCES AND CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE 22
    2.2.5. DEPRIVATION AMPLIFICATION HYPOTHESIS 24
    3. METHODOLOGY 25
    3.1. Statistical research methods 25
    3.2. Accessibility analysis 26
    3.3. Indicators and their data source 29
    3.4. Index building 31
    4. RESULTS 32
    4.1. Mapping Vulnerability in Taiwan 32
    4.2. Building the SVI 40
    4.2.1. MAPPING THE SVI 43
    4.2.2. SVI CLUSTERING 44
    4.3 Earthquake hazard computation 45
    4.3.1. COMPUTING THE EARTHQUAKE RISK 47
    4.4. Spatial accessibility 50
    4.4.1. SPATIAL ACCESSIBILITY OF HOSPITALS 58
    4.4.2. SPATIAL ACCESSIBILITY OF EARTHQUAKE SHELTERS 61
    4.4.3. SPATIAL ACCESSIBILITY OF POLICE 63
    4.4.4. SPATIAL ACCESSIBILITY OF FIREFIGHTER STATIONS 65
    4.4.5. Calculating the total accessibility 67
    4.4.5.1. TOTAL ACCESSIBILITY RESULTS 67
    4.5. Deprivation amplification hypothesis 69
    4.6. K-means clustering 77
    5. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS 82
    6. DISCUSSION 85
    6.1. Strengths and limitations 85
    6.2. Discussion of Results 91
    7. CONCLUSION 95
    8. REFERENCES 98
    9. APPENDIX 109

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