| 研究生: |
賴品諭 Lai, Pin-Yu |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
奧班時期匈牙利民粹主義發展之研究(2010~2025) A Study on the Development of Populism in Hungary under Viktor Orban, 2010-2025 |
| 指導教授: |
林永芳
Lin, Yung-Fang |
| 口試委員: |
蘇卓馨
邱瑞惠 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
國際事務學院 - 俄羅斯研究所 Graduate Institute of Russian Studies |
| 論文出版年: | 2025 |
| 畢業學年度: | 114 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 208 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 匈牙利 、民粹主義 、不自由民主 、Fidesz 、安全化理論 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Hungary, Populism, Illiberalism, Fidesz, Securitization theory |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:41 下載:23 |
| 分享至: |
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有鑒於國際上的危機接連爆發,二戰後建立的國際秩序和民主價值受到質疑,從而讓推動以「人民」為核心訴求的民粹主義浪潮再次興起。這一現象同樣也出現在歐洲,尤其是難民危機之後,過去被視為已成功從共產體制轉型為民主體制的中東歐和南歐國家,開始對歐盟價值產生質疑與批評。在此背景下,國內的民粹主義政黨便迅速獲得對現有體制感到失望民眾的支持。民粹主義若處於在野,其首要目標是取得執政權,而一旦成功取得執政,則傾向建構對自身政治地位有利的「不自由民主」體制,甚至被批評略帶有威權化傾向。
本文旨在透過「安全化理論」分析安全化行為者(securitizing actor)—即奧班及其政府,如何以「人民」與「維護基督教價值」為參照對象(referent object)為由,藉言語行動(speech act)建構生存性威脅,以鞏固其政治正當性。以話語與政治層面上,奧班操作歷史創傷、轉型期的失落心態及對過去共產政權的恐懼,推動安全化論述,並以民粹的方式動員民眾以對抗「敵人」。
在執政後,奧班持續將難民和自由民主價值化爲威脅來源,進而在政策與措施層面採取限制性作為,並強化傳統價值的導入。儘管面臨到內部反對派的去安全化(desecuritization)論述及歐盟的反安全化(counter securitization)挑戰,此一安全化操作可謂相對成功,其成果可從Fidesz在國會選舉中連續4度勝選上反映。此模式亦對諸多民粹化或威權化傾向國家產生示範效應。
Due to successive international crises, the post-WWII international order and democratic values have been challenged, thereby prompting a resurgence of populism that places the “people” at the core of their political agenda. It is evident in Europe, especially in Central and Southern Europe - once regarded as having successfully transitioned from communism to democracy. Therefore, domestic populist parties rapidly gained the support of citizens disillusioned with the existing system. While populist forces in opposition, the primary goal is to gain power; once in government, they construct an “illiberal democratic” system conducive to consolidating power.
This thesis aims to analyze, through the framework of securitization theory, how the securitizing actor - Viktor Orbán and his government - constructs existential threats through speech acts in order to consolidate political legitimacy, by invoking the protection of “the people” and the preservation of Christian values as referent objects. At the discursive and political levels, Orbán has manipulated historical trauma, the sense of loss and the fear of the former communist regime to strengthen a securitizing narrative, further mobilizing the public in a populist manner against “enemies.”
After assuming power, Orbán continued to portray refugees and liberal democratic values as sources of threat, thereby implementing restrictive policies and measures while reinforcing traditional values. Despite facing desecuritization and counter securitization narratives from domestic opposition EU, this process can be considered relatively successful, as reflected in Fidesz’s four consecutive parliamentary election victories. Moreover, this model has exerted a demonstration effect on numerous states with populist or authoritarian tendencies.
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 文獻回顧 4
第三節 研究途徑與方法 20
第四節 研究範圍與限制 29
第五節 章節安排 30
第二章 匈牙利民粹主義興起之歷史與社會背景 31
第一節 歷史遺緒 32
第二節 後共轉型的影響 42
第三節 Fidesz的民粹化 52
第四節 小結 64
第三章 奧班民粹主義及安全化操作 66
第一節 國內法制變革 67
第二節 東向政策 83
第三節 塑造危機意識 97
第四節 小結 108
第四章 奧班民粹主義之效應與安全化挑戰 111
第一節 民粹主義的擴散效應 111
第二節 奧班民粹主義的內部挑戰 124
第三節 奧班民粹主義的外部挑戰 139
第四節 小結 155
第五章 結論 158
第一節 研究發現 158
第二節 後續研究建議 160
參考文獻 162
附錄 大事記年表 207
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三、匈牙利文文獻
網路資料:
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