犯罪行為受到警力或法律執行的影響，會移動到鄰近警力較差地區。正如

Gylys所說：考量一個地區警力的多寡，將受到其他鄰近區域警力的影響

很大。Mehay亦認為：從實際經驗上來看，對於移動性的犯罪(如搶劫、縱

火、偷竊等)，外部支配型式力量(如警力)的適當增加，將迫使其外溢(

spillovers)至鄰近區域。利用空間統計的自我迴歸模式，我們可以更了

解移動性犯罪受到相連區域自我相關的影響。即使相關性不高，在作了差

分之後，其主成分分析最大負載變數項，變化相當大。所以資料裡，如果

有區域自我相關的情形，就應該謹慎處裡。

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[2]許春金，民國77年，犯罪學，三民書局
[3]徐氏基金會編輯部編譯，民國77年，應用之多變量統計學，徐氏基金會
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