| 研究生: |
簡百里 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
台灣各縣市自營作業部門變化之因素探討 The Determinant Factors of the Change of Self-employment Sector in Taiwan |
| 指導教授: | 羅光達 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學學院 - 財政學系 Department of Public Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2015 |
| 畢業學年度: | 103 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 67 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 自營作業 、失業率 、「不景氣-推擠」效果 、追蹤資料 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | self-employment, unemployment rate, recession-push, panel data |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:63 下載:19 |
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本研究的目的在於探討失業率以及其他各縣市特性對於自營作業部門消長的影響,我們採用1998-2013年台灣20個縣市的追蹤調查資料(panel data)進行研究,將各縣市的失業率、性別比例、平均年齡、教育程度、婚姻狀態、平均每戶人口數、平均每人可支配所得以及社會福利支出比例納入解釋變數進行迴歸模型的建構,觀察各變數對於我國自營作業部門的影響。
實證結果指出,失業率的攀升對於自營作業部門所占比例具有正向的影響,支持「不景氣-推擠」效果假說。女性比例愈高、平均年齡愈高、教育程度較低以及結婚率愈高,對於各縣市自營作業部門比例也具有正向的作用;社會福利支出比例愈高則具有負向的影響;家戶人口數與所得對於自營作業部門比例則不具有影響。
The purpose of this study is to investigate the factors that affect the self-employment in counties of Taiwan. The outher uses the panel data of 20 counties for the period 1988-2013 to do the research. Then the researcher sets the unemployment rate and other characteristics of counties as independent variables to build the regression models.
The results show that an increase of the unemployment rate has a positive effect on self-employment, which support the “recession-push” hypothesis. Besides,the proportion of female, the age, the marriage rate and the percentage of education level which under junior high school also have positive correlation with the rate of self-employment sector. However, the social welfare spending ratio has negative correlation with the rate of self-employment sector. Fanally, this study shows that the family size and income have no impact on self-employment.
第壹章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究方法與限制 4
第三節 研究架構 5
第貳章 文獻回顧 7
第一節 「不景氣-推擠」效果與「景氣-吸引」效果假說 7
第二節 影響從業身分決策的個人特性 12
第參章 我國失業現況與從業別身分之探討 16
第一節 何謂自營作業者 16
第二節 台灣現況分析 18
第三節 OECD主要國家之現況探討 25
第肆章 研究設計 33
第一節 實證模型 33
第二節 模型設定 39
第三節 資料來源 41
第四節 變數說明 42
第伍章 實證結果 48
第一節 敘述統計 48
第二節 實證結果 51
第陸章 結論與建議 60
第一節 結論 60
第二節 建議 62
參考文獻 63
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