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研究生: 張孟溢
Chang, Meng Yi
論文名稱: 台灣股票市場的產業外溢效果
Spillover of industry effect in Taiwan stock market
指導教授: 郭維裕
Kuo, Wei Yu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系
Department of International Business
論文出版年: 2010
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 45
中文關鍵詞: 外溢效果一般化向量自我相關模型產業波動報酬
外文關鍵詞: Spillover, generalized VAR, industry, volatility, return
相關次數: 點閱:145下載:32
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  • We investigate the spillover of industry effect in Taiwan stock market. Using a generalized vector autoregressive where forecast-error variance decompositions are invariant to variable ordering, we objectively propose measures of both total and directional spillovers on return and volatility daily data. In full-sample analysis, there is a heavy spillover effect in the interaction between stock market and industries. The stock market acts as a receiver from the information diffused from the industries, but the industries could not be confirmed as spillover outputer or inputer. The rolling-sample findings also pinpoint the high spillovers during the financial events. Finally, conducting the robustness test, we divide the sample periods into subperiods and switch the daily data toward weekly and monthly data, then obtaining the consistent results with prior inference.

    Chapter 1. Introduction 1
    Chapter 2. Generalized Spillover Definition and Measurement5
    Chapter 3. Data 9
    Chapter 4. Empirical study in Taiwan market 11
    4.1 Full- sample spillover analysis
    4.2 Rolling-sample spillover analysis
    Chapter 5. Robustness 19
    5.1 Subperiods
    5.2 Weekly and monthly data
    Chapter 6. Conclusion 25
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