| 研究生: |
林辰彥 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
消費者對基因改造食品之願付溢價分析: 以餵食基因改造飼料鮭魚為例 Evaluating Consumers' Willingness to Pay a Premium for Non-Genetically Modi¯ed Foods: A Case Study of GM-fed Salmon |
| 指導教授: | 江振東 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 統計學系 Department of Statistics |
| 論文出版年: | 2007 |
| 畢業學年度: | 95 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 44 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 願付價格 、加速失敗模型 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | WTP, AFT model |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:114 下載:100 |
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以往對於消費者對基因改造食品偏好及願付價格估計之研究,如
Moon (2001)、Chern et al. (2002)和Fu (2004),都是將兩個研究目的
分開個別處理,因此就統計的觀點來說,這樣的分析方式是比較缺乏
效率的。
本研究中提出一個整合式的分析方式,來分析台灣消費者對於基
因改造食品的偏好以及願付溢價。本方法除了增進統計效率外,也同
時納入願付價格分析中可能遇到因為受訪者對該財貨有強烈偏好,對
於該財貨有再高價格都願意支付的傾向,因此預期本方法將可提供更
高的準確度。
為了研究台灣民眾對基因改造鮭魚的認知行為,中央研究院調查
研究專題中心在2003 年進行了全台的電話訪問。而本研究發現台灣消
費者願意多付目前平均市價之12%來購買非基因改造飼料餵食之鮭
魚。此外,消費者本身對於基因改造科技的看法、對基因改造科技的
了解、以及消費者的年齡將扮演影響消費偏好以及願付溢價的高低之
重要因素。
Previous researchers, such as Moon (2001), Chern et al. (2002), and Fu et al.
(2004), attempted to analyze consumer preference toward genetically modi¯ed pro-
duces and to estimate a willingness to pay for them. These two objectives, however,
have been conducted separately and therefore are de¯cient in statistically e±ciency.
An integrated technique is introduced to understand how consumers in Taiwan
perceive genetically modi¯ed produce as well as how much they are willing to pay
a premium simultaneously. Apart from improving statistical e±ciency, this newly
proposed method also considers the possibility that consumers might be willing to
any price if he/she strongly prefer this goods. Higher precision is expected under
this scenario.
To investigate how public perceive genetically modi¯ed salmon, Center for Sur-
vey Research, Academia Sinica, conducted a telephone survey to Taiwanese con-
sumers in 2003. Our study indicates that consumers are willing to pay a premium,
about 12% of the average market price, for non-GM-fed salmon rather than GM-fed
counter part. Moreover, the way consumers think of the risk regarding GM food,
how much they know about GM food, and their age will all in°uence their consump-
tion tendency and willingness to pay.
1 Introduction: 1
2 Literature Review 3
3 Survey 5
Questionnaire Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Willingness to Pay Elicitation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Preference Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
4 Model Speci¯cations 12
Preference Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
WTP for Premium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Likelihood Function . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Maximum Likelihood Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
5 Empirical Results 17
Parameter Estimate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Estimate of Mean and Median of WTPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
6 Conclusions and Suggestions 32
Reference 33
7 Appendix 35
A: Limiting Normality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
B.1: Distribution Function . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
B.2: Expectation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
B.3: Median . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
C: Asymptotic Variance of Estimated Mean of WTPP . . . . . . . . . . . 41
D: Linear versus Exponential WTPP function . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
E: Conditional Expectation of AFT Model Residuals . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
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