| 研究生: |
彭彥熹 Peng, Yen Hsi |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
再論通貨膨脹對就業、投資及經常帳的影響 On the Employment, Investment and Current Account Effects of Inflation Once Again |
| 指導教授: |
朱美麗
Chu, Mei lie |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學學院 - 經濟學系 Department of Economics |
| 論文出版年: | 2008 |
| 畢業學年度: | 96 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 44 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 就業 、投資 、經常帳 、通貨膨脹 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Employment, Investment, Current account, Inflation |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:82 下載:56 |
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This study investigates the effects of an anticipated inflation targeting in a small open economy based on the framework of Mansoorian and Mohsin (2006) with cash-in-advance constraints. It is shown that the steady-state effects of a permanent increase in the inflation rate on capital accumulation, labor and current account are consistent with the results in Mansoorian and Mohsin (2006). However, there is an ambiguous change in consumption depending on the relationship between consumption and labor in the utility function. If consumption and labor is with a large degree of substitution, consumption may rise. Moreover, there is an impact decrease in the shadow price of investment when the policy of targeting a higher inflation rate announces, and the degree of such decrease is inversely related to the time length between the announcement and the realization of policy. Prior to the execution of the policy, the capital stock decumulates and the current account may go through a deficit or surplus first and then deficit along the unstable trajectories depending on the relative impact between the change in the shadow price of investment and the shadow price of assets on the locus where the current account maintains in equilibrium. After the implementation of a higher inflation targeting policy, the capital stock continues to decumulate and the current account accumulates along the stable paths toward the new equilibrium. In addition, the relationship between consumption and labor also influences the dynamic movements of the shadow price of investment.
Chapter 1 Introduction.....................................1
Chapter 2 The Model........................................4
2.1 The Representative Household...........................4
2.2 The Representative Firm................................6
2.3 The Government.........................................7
2.4 The Equilibrium Dynamics...............................8
Chapter 3 The Effects of a Permanent Increase in the
Inflation Rate............................................14
3.1 Dynamic and Comparative-static Analysis...............14
3.2 Consumption and Labor are Independent (Ucl = 0).......17
3.3 Consumption and Labor are Substitutes (Ucl < 0).......28
3.4 Consumption and Labor are Complements (Ucl > 0).......34
Chapter 4 Conclusion......................................40
References................................................42
Appendix A................................................43
Appendix B................................................44
Abel, A. B. (1985), “Dynamic Behavior of Capital Accumulation in a Cash-in-Advance Model,” Journal of Monetary Economics 16, pp. 55-71.
Chang, W. Y. and M. L. Chu (2008), “A Reassessment on Inflation Targeting, Capital Accumulation and the Current Account,” Unpublished Manuscript.
Gray, M. R. and S. J. Turnovsky (1979), “The Stability of Exchange Rate Dynamics under Perfect Myopic Foresight,” International Economic Review 20, pp. 643-660.
Mansoorian, A. and M. Mohsin (2004), “Monetary Policy in a Cash-in-Advance Economy: Employment, Capital Accumulation, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates,” Canadian Journal of Economics 37, pp. 336-352.
Mansoorian, A. and M. Mohsin (2006), “On the Employment, Investment and Current Account Effects of Inflation,” Journal of International Economics 70, pp. 296-313.
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