跳到主要內容

簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 倪辰瑋
Ni, Chen-Wei
論文名稱: 離散型潛在空間之試題反應模型與其貝氏統計推論
Discrete Latent Space Item Response Model and its Bayesian Estimation
指導教授: 張育瑋
Chang , Yu-Wei
口試委員: 簡立欣
Chien, Li-Hsin
陳怡如
Chen, Yi-Ju
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 統計學系
Department of Statistics
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 45
中文關鍵詞: 貝氏估計試題反應理論潛在空間spike-and-slab先驗分布
外文關鍵詞: Bayesian estimation, item response theory model, latent space, spike-and-slab prior distribution
相關次數: 點閱:31下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 本研究將文獻上潛在空間試題反應理論模型中的連續潛在空間改良至離散潛在空間,此方法可以更精準地估計受試者潛在特徵和試題難度參數,並降低有效參數數量。離散潛在空間仍然可以呈現受試者與試題之間的相對關係。本研究採用貝氏估計,並以 spike-and-slab 先驗分布 (Ishwaran & Rao 2005; Rockova & George 2018) 進行模型選取,並使用吉布斯抽樣與 Metropolis-Hastings 演算法等計算技巧,完成模型選取以及參數估計。透過模擬方法呈現參數估計之均方根誤差以及受試者與試題在潛在空間中分布。最後本文將提出之方法應用於一筆實際資料並與連續潛在空間之試題反應理論模型比較。


    This study extends the continuous latent space employed in existing latent-space item response theory models to a discrete latent space. The proposed approach enables more accurate estimation of respondents’ latent traits and item difficulty parameters while reducing the effective number of parameters. Despite its discrete structure, the latent space can still represent the relative relationships between respondents and items.
    This study adopts a Bayesian estimation framework and employs a spike-and-slab prior distribution (Ishwaran & Rao, 2005; Rockova & George, 2018) for model selection. Computational techniques, including Gibbs sampling and the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm, are used to perform model selection and parameter estimation. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the root mean squared errors of the parameter estimates.
    Finally, the proposed method is applied to an empirical dataset and compared with an item response theory model based on a continuous latent space.

    第一章 緒論 1
    第二章 文獻回顧 3
    2.1 Rasch 模型 3
    2.2 局部相依性議題 4
    2.3 潛在空間試題反應模型 5
    第三章 貝氏估計 10
    3.1 Spike and Slab 先驗分配 10
    3.2 參數 ap, bj 先驗分布之設定 12
    3.2.1 潛在位置參數之辨識限制設定 12
    3.2.2 網格分布之設定 13
    3.3 其他先驗給定以及貝氏估計流程 15
    3.3.1 聯合後驗分布之推導 16
    3.3.2 MCMC 更新流程 17
    第四章 模擬實驗 22
    4.1 模擬設定 23
    4.2 模擬結果 27
    第五章 實際資料分析 35
    5.1 Inductive Reasoning Developmental Test 以及資料處理 35
    5.1.1 雙向插補法 (Two-Way Imputation) 35
    5.1.2 鏈式方程多重插補法 (Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations, MICE) 36
    5.1.3 遞迴分割與迴歸樹 (Recursive Partitioning and Regression Trees, rpart) 36
    5.2 資料分析結果 38
    第六章 結論與建議 41
    參考文獻 43

    Baker, F. B., & Kim, S.-H. (2004). Item response theory: Parameter estimation techniques (2nd ed.). New York, NY: Marcel Dekker.
    Bernaards, C. A., & Sijtsma, K. (2005). Bias of factor loadings from questionnaire data with imputed scores. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 75(8), 649–662.
    Birnbaum, A. (1968). Some latent trait models and their use in inferring an examinee’s ability. In F. M. Lord & M. R. Novick (Eds.), Statistical theories of mental test scores (pp. 397–479). Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
    Bradlow, E. T., Wainer, H., & Wang, X. (1999). A Bayesian random effects model for testlets. Psychometrika, 64(2), 153–168.
    Casella, G., & Berger, R. L. (2002). Statistical inference (2nd ed.). Pacific Grove, CA: Duxbury.
    Chen, Y., Li, X., Liu, J., & Ying, Z. (2018). Robust measurement via a fused latent and graphical item response theory model. Psychometrika, 83(3), 538–562.
    Castillo, I., Schmidt-Hieber, J., & van der Vaart, A. (2015). Bayesian linear regression with sparse priors. The Annals of Statistics, 43(5), 1986–2018.
    Go, D., Kim, G., Park, J., Park, J., Jeon, M., & Jin, I. H. (2025). lsirm12pl: An R package for the latent space item response model. The R Journal, 17(1), 276–294.
    Golino, H. F., & Gomes, M. A. (2012). The structural validity of the Inductive Reasoning Developmental Test for the measurement of developmental stages. PsycEXTRA Dataset.
    Hastings, W. K. (1970). Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications. Biometrika, 57(1), 97–109.
    Hoff, P. D., Raftery, A. E., & Handcock, M. S. (2002). Latent space approaches to social network analysis. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 97(460), 1090–1098.
    Ishwaran, H., & Rao, J. S. (2005). Spike and slab variable selection: Frequentist and Bayesian strategies. The Annals of Statistics, 33(2), 730–773.
    Jeon, M., Jin, I. H., Schweinberger, M., & Baugh, S. (2021). Mapping unobserved item–respondent interactions: A latent space item response model with interaction map. Psychometrika, 86(2), 378–403.
    Lempers, F. B. (1971). Posterior probabilities of alternative linear models. Rotterdam, the Netherlands: Rotterdam University Press.
    Lord, F. M. (1952). A theory of test scores (Psychometric Monograph No. 7). Richmond, VA: Psychometric Corporation.
    Mitchell, T. J., & Beauchamp, J. J. (1988). Bayesian variable selection in linear regression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83(404), 1023–1032.
    Molenaar, D., & Jeon, M. (2026). Regularized joint maximum likelihood estimation of latent space item response models. Psychometrika, 91(1), 335–359.
    Rasch, G. (1960). Probabilistic models for some intelligence and attainment tests. Copenhagen, Denmark: Danish Institute for Educational Research.
    Ročková, V., & George, E. I. (2018). The spike-and-slab LASSO. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 113(521), 431–444.
    Therneau, T., & Atkinson, B. (1999). rpart: Recursive partitioning and regression trees. CRAN: Contributed Packages.
    van Buuren, S., & Groothuis-Oudshoorn, K. (2011). mice: Multivariate imputation by chained equations in R. Journal of Statistical Software, 45(3), 1–67.
    Yen, W. M. (1993). Scaling performance assessments: Strategies for managing local item dependence. Journal of Educational Measurement, 30(3), 187–213.
    楊承鑫 (2022)。多群體試題反應理論樹狀模型之統計推論與應用 [Statistical inference and applications of a multiple-group item response theory tree model] (未出版之碩士論文)。國立政治大學商學院統計學系。
    林韋成 (2023)。限制式下的潛在空間試題反應理論模型 [Constrained Latent Space Item Response Model] (未出版之碩士論文)。國立政治大學統計學系。

    無法下載圖示 全文公開日期 2031/08/11
    QR CODE
    :::