| 研究生: |
郭如苑 Guo, Ru-Yuan |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
員工股票選擇權之評價研究: 以日月光員工股票選擇權為例 Research on the Pricing of Employee Stock Options: Case of ASE Group Employee Stock Option |
| 指導教授: |
林士貴
Lin, Shih-Kuei 張興華 Chang, Hsing-Hua |
| 口試委員: |
陳亭甫
Chen, Ting-Fu 莊明哲 Chuang, Ming-Che 劉亮志 Liu, Liang-Zhi |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 金融學系 Department of Money and Banking |
| 論文出版年: | 2020 |
| 畢業學年度: | 108 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 49 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 員工股票選擇權 、最小平方蒙地卡羅模擬 、Nelson-Siegel-Svensson模型 、錨定效應 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Employee stock option, Least square Monte Carlo simulation, Nelson-Siegel-Svensson model, Anchoring effect |
| DOI URL: | http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU202000960 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:90 下載:2 |
| 分享至: |
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臺灣證期局宣佈於2018年1月1日開始適用IFRS 9,根據新準則重新檢視對企業交易是否有尚未考慮周全之處。為確保財務資料的準確,有必要嚴謹的對待員工股票選擇權的定價工作,這對於新準則下公司財務管理的優化具有重大意義。
考慮到員工股票選擇權在條款設定上有別於傳統選擇權的特殊之處,本文提出的員工股票選擇權評價模型在傳統選擇權評價模型的基礎上進行改進。模型考慮了利率期限結構、公司在不同時間點向投資者部分發放可行權比例、投資者可能提前行權、稀釋效應,以及投資者在行權之前會涉及到錨定效應等等。
本文以日月光公司2018年發行之員工股票選擇權為例進行實證分析,分別使用本文提出之定價模型進行定價,以及按照美國財務會計準則委員會在徵求意見稿中提議的方式使用Black-Scholes模型進行定價。然後,論文比較兩模型計算結果上的差異及其背後的原因。此外,本文通過對員工股票選擇權評價模型中影響選擇權定價的關鍵因素,進行敏感度分析,並觀測本文所提出的模型是否符合選擇權價格與關鍵定價因素之間應有的關係,以此來證明本文模型在選擇權評價的邏輯關係上的正確性。
The Taiwan Securities and exchange bureau announced that IFRS 9 will be applied on January 1, 2018, and it will review whether there is any incomprehensibility in enterprise transactions according to the new standards. In order to ensure the accuracy of financial data, it is necessary to treat the pricing work of employee stock option seriously, which is of great significance for the optimization of financial management of the company under the new standards.
Considering that the employee stock option is different from the traditional option in terms, the evaluation model of employee stock option proposed in this paper is improved on the basis of the traditional option evaluation model. The model takes into account the term structure of interest rate, the proportion of exercisable shares issued by companies to investors at different time points, the possibility of early exercise and dilution effect of investors, as well as the anchoring effect of investors before exercise, etc.
In this paper, we take the employee stock option issued by ASE Group in 2018 as an example for empirical analysis. We use the pricing model proposed in this paper and the Black-Scholes model according to the way proposed by the FASB in the draft to price ESO respectively. Then, the paper compares the differences between the two models and the reasons behind them. In addition, this paper analyzes the sensitivity of the key factors influencing the option pricing in the employee stock option evaluation model, and observes whether the model proposed in this paper conforms to the proper relationship between the option price and the key pricing factors, so as to prove the correctness of the model in the logical relationship of option pricing.
1 緒論 1
1.1研究背景與動機 1
1.2研究目的 3
1.3研究架構 4
1.4研究流程 5
2 文獻探討 6
2.1易與員工股票選擇權混淆的產品 6
2.2員工股票選擇權的評價研究 7
2.3美式選擇權的評價研究 8
3 研究方法 10
3.1理論基礎 10
3.1.1等價鞅測度定理 10
3.1.2停時 11
3.1.3錨定效應 12
3.1.4 Black-Scholes選擇權定價模型 12
3.1.5最小平方蒙地卡羅法 14
3.1.6 Nelson-Siegel-Svensson模型 15
3.2模型設定 16
3.2.1評價存在的關鍵問題 16
3.2.2模型設定 18
4 實證分析 23
4.1產品介紹 23
4.2參數估計 24
4.2.1無風險利率的估計 24
4.2.2預期股息收益率的估計 26
4.2.3錨的估計 27
4.2.4其他參數的設定 28
4.3模擬結果 29
4.4敏感度分析 31
4.4.1 ESO價格與期初股價敏感度分析 32
4.4.2 ESO價格與履約價格敏感度分析 34
4.4.3 ESO價格與股價報酬率波動度敏感度分析 35
4.4.4 ESO價格與股票殖利率敏感度分析 37
4.5用Black-Scholes模型定價產品 39
5 結論與未來發展 44
5.1結論 44
5.2未來發展 46
參考文獻 48
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