| 研究生: |
陳俞廷 Yu-Ting, Chen |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
投資人注意力對ETF折溢價與資金流量之影響 The Impact of Investor Attention on ETF Premium/Discount and Fund Flows |
| 指導教授: |
徐政義
Shiu, Cheng-Yi |
| 口試委員: |
郭維裕
Kuo, Wei-Yu 賴弘能 Lai, Hung-Neng |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系 Department of International Business |
| 論文出版年: | 2026 |
| 畢業學年度: | 114 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 58 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 投資人注意力 、異常搜尋量 、ETF折溢價 、資金流量 、行為財務 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Investor attention, Abnormal search volume index (ASVI), ETF premium and discount, Fund flows, Behavioral finance |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:13 下載:0 |
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本研究探討投資人注意力對ETF折溢價及申購與贖回資金流之影響,並進一步檢驗折溢價之中介效果。隨著ETF市場規模擴大,投資人行為逐漸成為影響市場價格的重要因素,因此本研究以Google搜尋量(SVI)與異常搜尋量(ASVI)作為投資人注意力指標,進行實證分析。
研究結果顯示,ASVI對ETF折溢價及資金流量皆呈現顯著正向影響,而SVI之影響則未達統計顯著水準。此結果顯示,相較於單純的搜尋量水準,經標準化後之異常注意力更能反映投資人短期關注變動,並對市場行為產生影響。
此外,ETF折溢價並未在投資人注意力與資金流之間產生顯著中介效果。異質性分析則顯示,不同ETF類型及配息期間下,投資人注意力之影響程度存在差異,呈現明顯情境依賴性。
整體而言,本研究顯示投資人注意力確實會影響ETF市場行為,其中以ASVI之效果最為明顯,但其影響主要體現在特定情境與指標下,整體效果仍具異質性。
This study investigates the effects of investor attention on ETF premiums and discounts, as well as subscription and redemption fund flows, and further examines the mediating effect of ETF premiums and discounts. As the ETF market continues to expand, investor behavior has gradually become an important factor influencing market prices. Therefore, this study employs Google Search Volume Index (SVI) and Abnormal Search Volume Index (ASVI) as proxies for investor attention for empirical analysis.
The results indicate that ASVI has a significantly positive effect on both ETF premiums/discounts and fund flows, whereas the impact of SVI does not reach statistical significance. These findings suggest that, compared with the level of search volume alone, standardized abnormal attention more effectively captures short-term fluctuations in investor attention and exerts a greater influence on market behavior.
Furthermore, ETF premiums and discounts do not exhibit a significant mediating effect between investor attention and fund flows. The heterogeneity analysis further reveals that the effects of investor attention vary across different ETF categories and dividend distribution periods, demonstrating clear contextual dependence.
Overall, this study provides evidence that investor attention does influence ETF market behavior, with ASVI showing the most pronounced effect. However, its impact is mainly reflected under specific circumstances and indicators, suggesting that the overall effect remains heterogeneous.
摘要 i
Abstract ii
目錄 iii
圖次 v
表次 vi
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1
一、研究背景 1
二、研究動機 5
第二節 研究目的 6
第三節 研究範圍與限制 7
一、研究範圍 7
二、研究限制 7
第二章 文獻回顧 9
第一節 ETF折溢價與套利機制 9
一、ETF折溢價的存在 9
二、套利機制與市場效率 10
三、套利限制與脆弱性 10
第二節 投資人注意力 11
一、投資人之有限注意力 11
二、投資人注意力的衡量 12
三、投資人注意力對市場的影響 13
第三節 投資人注意力、ETF折溢價與申購贖回資金流 14
一、投資人注意力對ETF折溢價的影響 14
二、投資人注意力對申購與贖回資金流的影響 15
三、建構ETF折溢價中介效用模型 16
第四節 ETF類型與事件影響 16
一、ETF類型異質性 16
二、配息期間市場反應 17
第三章 研究方法與變數 19
第一節 樣本選取與資料範圍 19
第二節 變數選擇與定義 21
一、主要解釋變數 21
二、應變數 22
三、控制變數 23
第三節 實證模型 26
一、 模型一:投資人注意力對ETF折溢價率的影響 27
二、模型二:投資人注意力對申購與贖回資金流的影響 30
三、模型三:ETF折溢價率的中介效用模型 31
第四章 實證結果與分析 33
第一節 敘述性統計 33
第二節 相關性檢定 35
第三節 投資人注意力對ETF折溢價的影響 38
第四節 投資人注意力對申購與贖回資金流的影響 44
第五節 ETF折溢價的中介模型 46
第五章 結論與建議 52
參考文獻 54
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全文公開日期 2031/06/29