序言

東南亞一直是受外力影響很深的地區，過去，它曾籠罩於中、印帝國及西方的殖民勢力之下。二次大戰後由於民族主義的昂揚，東南亞各國紛紛獲得獨立，然而獨立迄今也依然是無法擺脫外力對它們的束縛，原因是東南亞區域間存在著許多動亂的因素，而區域內各國無法以本身的力量來解決問題，在安全上它們依附大國的保護甚深。而大國則基於地緣政治及戰略利益的考慮，也一直不願見到此區為其他強權所控制，甚而更運用各方面的影響力，來籠絡這些小國。因此，東南亞國際政治所呈現面貌，便是大國間在此不斷的角逐，以及小國為求生存的適應之道，彼此之間不斷更迭與相互影響的關係。換句話說要了解東南亞國際政治的實質內容，唯有將區域間小國對安全必要條件的看法，與在東南亞扮演強權角色國家的看法並列，才能尋出外交政策合作的希望或是障礙。

東南亞中立化的構想，便是這些小國為求生存，思以此做為外交政策的指導原則，進而尋出一長久可恃的安全制度。越戰的教訓使它們覺得依賴強國的保護並非是絕對的可靠，所以此構想所包含的意願也希望外力對東南亞的干涉減至最低。此構想如能實現，對這些小國的安全以及區域的和平將有絕對的貢獻。祇是此構想所牽連的問題太多，包括大國的意願如何？區域間各國能否誠心的合作？將尋何種途徑以達致？中立化對區域間甚或全世界的權力結構，將會帶來何種變動？這些都是需要探討的問題，本論文擬就目前東南亞國際政治的實情，對中立化的問題做一探討，求得其問題的真實所在，並展望它可行的途徑。

本論文共分為五章十七節，約十八萬字。第一章是敍述影響東南亞國際政治的幾個背景，包括有民族主義，共黨革命，種族衝突與領土爭執，以及經濟的因素。第二章是探討大國在東南亞的角逐情形，從歷史的過程，尋出大國對此區的真實意願，以及從國家利益的觀點，研討大國對本區在將來會做何種程度的介入。第三章是討論東南亞各國在大國角逐下做如何的適應之道，以及區域間各國彼此在國際關係中的互動關係。第四章是說明中立化構想本身的定義，問題，提出的背景，以及各方對此中立化的反應。第五章則展望中立化的可行途徑。最後是本文的結論對最近的未來，東南亞中立化可能發展的方向，做一描敍。

本論文寫作期間，承蒙指導教授金神保先生在觀念上的啟迪，以及對本文耐心的修改，使筆者獲益良多，特為感謝。並感激父母多年的養育教誨，使筆者得以順利完成學業。此外，感謝舍妹牟瑪莉，蒲國慶兄，歷史系李雅雯、宋艷容、周蓮卿、陳肅珍、陳宜安、劉芳杏，東語系吳志卿、楊麗芳，西語系施素霞、陳麗芳，心理系胡崇慈、張志誠等同學，多方面的協助。

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參考書目

壹、中文都份

甲、書籍：

一、朱建民譯：一九八○年代東南亞，台北，商務印書館，民國七○年二月，初板。

二、宋哲美編：東南亞年鑑，香港，東南亞研究所出版，民國六五年。

三、宋廣仁等譯：美國的亞洲安全政策，台北，黎明書局。民國六六年•

四、尼克森國情咨文：七○年代的美國外交政策；和平的建立，台北，美國新聞處譯印•一九七一年。

五、尼克森國情咨文：七○年代的美國外交政策；形成中的和平結構，台北。美國新聞處譯印，一九七二年。

六、尼克森國情咨文：七○年代的美國外交政策；塑造持久的和平，台北，美國新聞處譯印。－九七三年。

七、吳俊才：東南亞史，台北，正中書局，民國六六年一月，初版。

八、洪鎌德：世界政冶新論，台北，牧童出版社，民國六六年八月，初版。

九、紐先鍾譯：劍與犁（下）；泰勒將軍囘憶錄，台北，黎明書局，民國六十一年十月。

十、匪俄問題研究中心編撰：亞太地區共黨，台北，中國大陸問題研究所，民國六七年五月，初版。

十一、陳水逢：東南亞各國的政治社會動態，台北；商務印書館，民國六六年五月，初版。

十二、張自學譯：國際政治學，台北，幼獅書局，民國六十五年九月。

十三、張行深譯：一百年來的日本，台北，東方出版社，民國五七伍三月。

十四、蔡善瀅：亞洲中立主義與美國外交政策，台北，成文出版社，民國六六生五月，初版。

十五、賴丹尼，潘朝英合著：越南危機，台北，徵信新聞報出版，民國五五年十月。

乙、期刊

(A)、

一、羅石圃：「美國對東南亞政策的演變與展望」，問題與研究，卷十九，期十，民國六九年七月。

二、羅石圃：「蘇俄對東南亞的策略之觀測」，問題與研究，卷十九，期九，民國六九年六月。

三、羅石圃：「東南亞中立構想與中共統戰」，東亞季刊，卷五，期三，民國六三年一月。四、魏守嶽：「蘇俄建議『亞洲集體安全體系』的研究」，東亞季刊，卷六，期二，六三年十月。

五、孫和聲：「東南亞民族主義與華僑」，東方雜誌，復刊第十四卷，第七朋。

六、魏艾：「日本與東南亞經濟關係」，問題與研究，卷十五，期九，民國六五年六月。

七、張浩；「論在東協域內確立相互協力關係的結構」，太平洋經濟，卷十八，期六．

一九七八年。

八、張耀秋：「美國與東協的新關係」，問題與研究，卷十七，期十二，民國六七年。

九、葉章美：「加速發展中的東協五國經濟」，問題與研究，卷十七，期九，民國六七年。(B)

一、香港，華僑日報，一九八○年三月十六日，版一。

二、香港，華僑日報，－九七九年八月三日，版二。

三、香港，星島日報，一九七八年九月八日，版二。

四、香港，星島日報，一九六九年六月二十九日，版一，

五、香港時報，民國六六年八月十二日，版二，社論。

六、香港時報，一九七七年八月十五日，版二。

七、人民日報，一九七四年五月廿九日。

八、人民日報，一九七六年元月十日。

九、南洋商報，一九七一年十一月廿五日。

十、南洋商報，一九七一年十一月廿八日。

十一、南洋商報，一九七二年四月廿二日，版二。

十二、南洋商報，一九七三年四月三日。

十三、南洋商報，一九七三年五月廿八日。

十四、南洋商報，一九七六年三月廿一日。

十五、南洋商報，一九七七年四月十五日，版一。

十六、南洋商報，一九七七年八月一日，版一。

十七、南洋商報，一九七七年五月三十日，版廿六。

十八、南洋商報，一九七七年十二月廿二日，版二。

十九、南洋商報，一九七八年三月二十日，版二。

二十、南洋商報、－九七八年五月七日，版二。

廿一、南洋商報、一九七八年五月十五日，版三。

廿二、南洋商報．一九七人年八月二日，版三。

廿三、南洋商報，一九七八年八月廿九日，版一。

廿四、南洋商報，一九七九年十二月三十日，版三。

廿五、南洋商報，一九八○年十月，廿六日，版二。

丙、學位論文

一、李偉成撰：中共對東南亞政策之研究，政大外交所碩士論文，民國五二年。

二、邱垂銘撰：東協區域合作之研究，政大政治所碩士論文，民國六八年。

丁、研究報告

一、「東協五國實施關稅優惠對我國貿易影響的檢討」，政大商學院編印，民國六七年九月。

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