| 研究生: |
鹿西蒙 Reh, Simon Philipp |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
德國對非洲的雙向援助 Bilateral Development Aid to Africa - The Case of Germany |
| 指導教授: |
劉曉鵬
Liu, Philip Hsiaopong |
| 口試委員: |
Lee, Pai-po
Su, Yu-Hsuan |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
國際事務學院 - 國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS) International Master's Program in International Studies(IMPIS) |
| 論文出版年: | 2021 |
| 畢業學年度: | 109 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 117 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 外援 、德國 、移民 、貿易 、良好的治理 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Foreign Aid, Germany, Migration, Trade, Good Governance |
| DOI URL: | http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU202101022 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:252 下載:30 |
| 分享至: |
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本論文運用綜合研究方法,檢視德國對非洲國家的發展援助之基本優先事項。發展援助計畫將促進貿易和遏制非洲大陸移民的自利動機,並同時與促進發展、改善貧困和促進善治(good governance)的較為利他目標相悖。 本研究質性分析的部分,包括對德國援助制度結構的介紹,並審查了第 18 和第 19 屆立法時期的四份關鍵政策文件,時間維度分別為 2013 年末至 2018 年和 2018 年至 2021 年;量化部分,則透過多項變量,操作四種不同的變數,並運用回歸分析對德國的援助流向進行測試。本文所使用的數據範圍涵蓋整個德國第18屆立法期,以及第19屆立法期的前半段。
本文質性研究顯示:與往年相比,於德國第 19 屆立法期間,決策者認為貿易和移民與外援更為相關。隨著時間的推移,貧困和發展似乎變得不那麼重要了,而是將重心置於受援國的法律和民主,不過保護人權似乎更為重要。量化分析則表明:居住在德國人口較多的國家,實際上確實得到了更多的援助,而近年來,受援國和德國的地理距離似乎比較沒有關聯。
此外,本文發現德國出口與援助呈現正相關,然而,較為意外的是,用於說明德國援助發展方向的措施都是不顯著的。再者,民主似乎是影響的德國外援分配的唯一一個向度。於此而言,本研究的結論認為:德國在運作發展援助方面,其自利動機仍凌駕於利他動機,這也許可以用國際關係的現實主義理論來解釋。該結果使德國決策者的言論受到質疑,這可能也代表德國的援助在促進受援國的發展、善治和消除貧困方面效率低下。
This thesis uses a mixed-method approach to examine the underlying priorities of German development assistance to African countries. It pitches the self-interested motives of facilitating trade and curbing migration from the continent against the more altruistic goals of contributing to development, alleviating poverty and fostering good governance. The qualitative part of this study includes a presentation of the structure of the German aid regime and examines four key policy documents from the 18th and 19th legislative periods, covering the time spans from late 2013 to 2018 and 2018 to 2021, respectively. In the quantitative part, the four different motives are operationalized through several variables and tested against German aid flows by employing regression analysis. The data covers the entire 18th legislative period and the first half of the 19th legislative period. The qualitative examination shows that trade and migration are considered more relevant to foreign aid by the German policymakers in the 19th legislative period than they were in previous years. Poverty and development appear to have become slightly less relevant over time. The rule of law and democracy in recipient states are addressed over the whole time period, but the protection of human rights appears like a much higher priority. The quantitative analysis indicates that states with a higher population residing in Germany in fact do receive more aid, while the geographical distance from their home country to Germany seems to be irrelevant in the more recent years. Furthermore, it finds that German exports appear to be positively correlated with aid. Surprisingly, the measures employed to account for the development orientation of German aid are all insignificant. Moreover, democracy is the only dimension of good governance that appears to influence German aid allocation. Insofar, this thesis concludes that self-interested motives dominate over the altruistic ones. This practice may be explained by the realist theory of international relations. The results put the rhetoric of the German policymakers in question and may be an indication for German aid being inefficient when it comes to the promotion of development, good governance and the eradication of poverty in recipient countries.
List of Figures VII
List of Tables VIII
List of Acronyms IX
Chapter 1: Introduction 1
I) Background 1
II) Research Objective 3
1) Formal Development Policy 3
2) Possible Mismatches with Quantitative Data 4
3) Contribution and Research Question 5
III) Theoretical Background and Methodology 5
1) The Realist Prediction 5
2) Methodological Framework and Time Frame 6
IV) Research Outline 7
Chapter 2: Literature Review 9
I) The Realist View on Foreign Aid 9
1) Aid in the National Interest 9
2) Developmental and Humanitarian Aspects 10
II) General Patterns of Aid Allocation 11
1) Recipient Need 12
2) Good Governance 14
3) Commercial Interests 15
4) Foreign Policy Interests 17
5) Recipient Population 18
6) Aid Effectiveness 19
III) Trends in German Aid Allocation 20
1) Recipient Need 20
2) Good Governance 22
3) Commercial Interests 23
4) Foreign Policy Interests 25
5) Recipient Population 27
IV) Reflection of the Literature 27
V
Chapter 3: The German Aid Regime 30
I) A Brief History of German Aid 30
II) The Current Aid Regime 33
1) The BMZ and Other Political Actors 34
2) Budget, Goals and Priorities 35
3) Implementation Organizations 37
III) Aid Figures and Recipients 38
IV) Discussion 46
Chapter 4: Policy Document Analysis - What Do They Claim? 48
I) The 18th Legislative Period, 2013-2018 48
1) Coalition Agreement of the 18th Legislative Period 48
a) German Coalition Agreements 48
b) Background and Structure 49
c) General Aid Policy and Relations with Africa 50
d) Aspects of Interest 51
e) Findings 56
2) The Charter for the Future 57
a) Creation and Characteristics 57
b) A Broad Concept of Development Policy 58
c) Aspects of Interest 59
d) Findings 62
II) The 19th Legislative Period, 2018-2021 63
1) Coalition Agreement of the 19th Legislative Period 63
a) Background and Structure 64
b) General Aid Policy and Relations with Africa 65
c) Aspects of Interest 66
d) Findings 70
2) Development Policy 2030 72
a) Background, Characteristics and Structure 72
b) General Concept and the Role of Africa 72
c) Aspects of Interest 73
d) Findings 77
III) Results 79
VI
Chapter 5: Quantitative Analysis - What Do They Actually Do? 81
I) Hypotheses 81
II) Methodology 82
1) Model 82
2) Variables 82
a) Dependent Variable 82
b) Key Independent Variables 83
c) Control Variables 85
III) Results 88
IV) Discussion 90
1) Reflection on the Findings 90
2) Result . 95
3) Limitations 96
4) Possibilities for Future Research 96
Chapter 6: Conclusion 99
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