| 研究生: |
劉孟蓁 Liu, Meng-Jhen |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
以行為財務學探討台灣散戶的投資偏誤 : 以股票與ETF為例 Behavioral Finance Perspectives on Behavioral Biases among Taiwanese Retail Investors: A Case Study on Stocks and ETFs |
| 指導教授: |
周冠男
Robin K. Chou |
| 口試委員: |
翁培師
Weng, Pei-Shih 柯冠成 Ko, Kuan-Cheng |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
國際金融學院 - 國際金融碩士學位學程 Master’s Program in Global Banking and Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2026 |
| 畢業學年度: | 114 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 46 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 行為財務學 、展望理論 、心理帳戶 、處分效果 、過度自信 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Behavioral Finance, Prospect Theory, Mental Accounting, Disposition Effect, Overconfidence |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:183 下載:0 |
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「理性經濟人(Homo Economicus)」為傳統經濟學之核心假設,主張個體在決策時具備完全自利、理性及充分資訊之特徵。然而,實務觀察顯示台灣證券市場散戶比例極高且交易行為熱絡,其決策過程往往受心理因素驅動而偏離理性軌道。隨著近年高股息ETF之熱潮與短線交易盛行,因此想探討台灣散戶在股票與ETF投資中的偏誤特徵,進一步瞭解其行為發生原因與影響因素,期望透過分析,協助投資人辨識自身心理盲點,進而減少非理性決策的發生,達成更穩健的長期財務目標。
本研究旨在系統性探討台灣散戶投資者之各類行為偏誤,包括過度自信、處分效果、心理帳戶及框架效應等。研究採用問卷調查法,以台灣股市之個人投資者為對象,除驗證各項偏誤之存在性外,更進一步檢視偏誤間之相互影響與心理機制之連鎖反應。
問卷結果顯示,偏誤在台灣散戶投資人中具有普遍性且難以避免,就算是高學歷或具備專業金融背景之個體,仍難以完全免除行為偏誤之干涉,同時,各項行為偏誤並非孤立現象,而是呈現顯著之關聯性與共伴特徵。綜上所述,本研究建議投資大眾應培養紀律投資觀念,將投資視為長期之資產配置,而非追求一夕致富之投機手段;實務上應建立總報酬觀念以破除心理帳戶之認知框架,此外,建議投資人應借助外部系統工具或自動化交易機制以對抗人性本能,減少情緒對決策的干預,進而能更專注於本業職能與生活品質之提升。
The concept of "Homo Economicus" serves as a core assumption in traditional economics, asserting that individuals are inherently self-interested, rational, and possess perfect information during decision-making. However, empirical observations of the Taiwan stock market reveal a high proportion of retail investors and highly active trading behaviors, with decision-making processes frequently driven by psychological factors that deviate from rational paths. Given the recent surge in high-dividend ETFs and the prevalence of short-term trading, this study seeks to explore the characteristics of behavioral biases among Taiwanese retail investors in stock and ETF investments. By analyzing the underlying causes and influencing factors, this research aims to help investors identify psychological blind spots, reduce irrational decision-making, and achieve stable long-term financial goals.
This research systematically examines overconfidence, the disposition effect, mental accounting, and the framing effect. Using a survey of individual investors in Taiwan, the study verifies the existence of these biases and analyzes their mutual influences and psychological "chain effects."
Empirical results demonstrate that behavioral biases are pervasive and largely unavoidable. Notably, even individuals with advanced education or professional financial backgrounds are not immune to cognitive interference. Furthermore, biases are not isolated; they exhibit significant correlations and "co-occurrence," forming a complex web of irrational decision-making.
In conclusion, the study suggests that investors should cultivate disciplined investment habits and view investing as a long-term asset allocation strategy rather than a speculative tool for overnight wealth. In practice, adopting a 'Total Return Concept' is essential to overcome the cognitive barriers of mental accounting. Furthermore, investors are encouraged to leverage external systematic tools or automated trading mechanisms to counter human instincts and minimize emotional interference. This approach enables individuals to focus more effectively on their professional development and the enhancement of their overall quality of life.
謝辭 i
摘要 ii
Abstract iii
目次 iv
表次 v
圖次 vi
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景 1
第二節 研究動機與目的 2
第三節 研究架構與流程 3
第二章 理論及文獻探討 4
第一節 理論 4
第二節 文獻探討 6
第三章 研究方法 12
第一節 研究架構及假說 12
第二節 研究設計 13
第四章 研究結果 17
第一節 樣本資料基本研究分析 17
第二節 投資行為偏誤之描述性統計分析 19
第三節 研究假說檢視結果 30
第四節 行為偏誤之關聯性解釋 31
第五章 研究結論與建議 34
第一節 研究結論 34
第二節 研究建議 35
第三節 研究限制 36
參考文獻 37
附錄:問卷題目 40
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全文公開日期 2031/06/10