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研究生: 趙立騰
Chao, Li-Teng
論文名稱: 類別資料探索 - 影響NBA球員分數的變數選取
Categorical Exploratory Data Analysis - Feature Selection for Average Scores of NBA Players
指導教授: 周珮婷
Chou, Pei-Ting
張育瑋
Chang, Yu-Wei
口試委員: 梁穎誼
Leong, Yin-Yee
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 統計學系
Department of Statistics
論文出版年: 2023
畢業學年度: 111
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 32
中文關鍵詞: NBA條件熵互信息特徵選取類別資料分析
外文關鍵詞: NBA, Conditional Entropy, Mutual Information, Feature Selection, Categorical Data Analysis
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  • 條件熵是信息理論中的一個重要概念,用於量化給定一個隨機變數的值的條件下,另一個變量的不確定性。本論文利用條件熵以及條件熵下降的概念對 NBA 球員資料做類別資料分析,試著找出影響平均得分最為重要的變數,透過結合變數從條件熵獲得更多的訊息再加以分析,找出的關鍵變數為球權使用率及籃板,並針對 11 位現今 NBA的知名球員、特定球員 Dwight Howard 及 Carmelo Anthony 做分析,找出影響知名球員的變數為球員本身,Dwight Howard 最關鍵的變數為真實命中率、籃板及年齡,Carmelo Anthony 則是真實命中率,最後再將結果與隨機森林方法的重要變數比較。


    Conditional entropy is a crucial concept in information theory, utilized to measure the uncertainty of one variable given the value of another random variable. This study applies the concept of conditional entropy and examines conditional entropy drops to conduct a categorical data analysis on NBA player data, aiming to identify the most influential variables impacting average scores. By incorporating additional variables to extract more information from conditional entropy, we deepen our analysis. The key variables identified include usg_pct and reb. Our analysis focuses on eleven prominent contemporary NBA players, with specific attention given to Dwight Howard and Carmelo Anthony. The variable found to influence prominent players is player_name. For Dwight Howard, the critical variables found to influence his performance are ts_pct, reb, and age. Meanwhile, for Carmelo Anthony, the defining variable is ts_pct. Finally, we compare our results with the important variables determined by the Random Forest method.

    摘要 i
    Abstract ii
    目次 iii
    圖目錄 v
    表目錄 vi
    第 一 章 緒論 1
    1.1 特徵選取 2
    第 二 章 文獻回顧 4
    2.1 特徵選取 4
    2.2 NBA 資料集 5
    第 三 章 研究方法 6
    3.1 條件熵 8
    3.2 隨機森林 10
    第 四 章 資料介紹 11
    4.1 探索性資料分析 13
    4.2 資料類別化 20
    第 五 章 研究結果 21
    5.1 所有球員 21
    5.1.1 CEDA 方法 21
    5.1.2 RF 方法 23
    5.2 知名球員 24
    5.2.1 CEDA 方法 24
    5.2.2 RF 方法 25
    5.3 特定球員 26
    5.3.1 Dwight Howard 26
    5.3.2 Carmelo Anthony 27
    第 六 章 結論與建議 29
    6.1 研究結論 29
    6.2 未來方向與建議 30
    參考文獻 31

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