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研究生: 楊凱勛
論文名稱: 退休基金之策略性資產配置
Asset allocation of optimal strategy in pension management
指導教授: 張士傑
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 風險管理與保險學系
Department of Risk Management and Insurance
論文出版年: 2010
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 53
中文關鍵詞: 動態規劃提撥政策資產配置最適策略
相關次數: 點閱:167下載:103
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  • 本研究討論以負債導向之退休基金的資產配置模型,並以股票型風險性資產為主要配置標的。隨機控制模型在推導過程中相當繁瑣,經常得不到封閉解,本研究之優點為,實際導出多項資產標的下之一般化封閉解,可進行財務經濟推論,直接得到不同參數對基金之影響,輔以台灣公務人員退撫基金第4次精算報告,為實證研究對象,接著加入投資限制之情境分析與模擬,得到結論。最適提撥隨著正常成本及給付上升而提高,若退休基金於當期有殘餘基金,則可因由投資獲利而少提撥部分資金。回饋函數之最適解同時權衡反應未來之精算正常成本與當期給付,正常成本上升而增加風險性投資,而因當期給付上升而減少風險投資趨於保守。若股票市場報酬率大於利率,投資者將增加股票之比例,以增加投資效果,投資者將對市場股票型資產同時做多空操作,進行避險。反之,隨著短期利率上升後,投資於股票部位將會漸漸移入現金持有,減少股票型風險性資產佔總資產之比例。


    摘要 I
    目錄 II
    圖目錄 III
    表目錄 IV
    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究動機與目的 1
    第二節 研究範圍與限制 3
    第三節 研究流程與架構 5
    第二章 文獻回顧 6
    第一節 動態隨機模型 6
    第二節 利率模型 9
    第三章 精算成本法回顧 10
    第一節 社會退休金之精算成本法 10
    第二節 商業退休金之精算成本法 11
    第四章 財務模型 14
    第一節 模型建立 14
    第二節 最適策略之建構 19
    第三節 推廣至N項資產 25
    第五章 數值結果 29
    第一節 數值說明與分析 29
    第二節 驗證第四章第二節之三個推論 41
    第六章 結論與建議 43
    參考文獻 45

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    公務人員退休撫卹基金第4次精算報告

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