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研究生: 蕭舜文
Hsiao, Shun-Wen
論文名稱: 應用市場關注度與流動性指標優化證券商法人約訪策略之研究:以美股為例
Optimizing Corporate Access Strategy for Brokerage Firms Using Market Attention and Liquidity Indicators: Evidence from U.S. Stocks
指導教授: 鄭旭高
吳文傑
口試委員: 何子明
羅台生
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 國際金融學院 - 國際金融碩士學位學程
Master’s Program in Global Banking and Finance
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 74
中文關鍵詞: 法人約訪市場關注度Google Trends股票流動性機構投資人報名券商研究覆蓋
外文關鍵詞: corporate access, market attention, Google Trends, stock liquidity, institutional investor registration, brokerage research coverage
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  • 本研究探討證券商法人服務部門在規劃美股法人約訪(Corporate Access)活動時,能否利用決策日以前已公開且可取得的市場資訊,辨識較可能獲得更多機構投資人報名的活動。研究樣本為單一證券商法人服務部門於 2025 年 6 月至 2026 年 4 月舉辦的 40 場美股法人約訪活動,共涉及 39 家公司。本研究以每場活動的機構投資人報名人次為主要依變數,並以決策日前的Google Trends異常搜尋熱度來衡量市場關注度、以決策日前的日均成交金額來衡量個股流動性,並控制公司規模、價格動能與活動公告前置天數;另於主要分析完成後,增列決策日前本公司是否已有正式研究報告覆蓋的補充檢驗變數。實證以普通最小平方法搭配穩健標準誤為主,並以替代搜尋窗口、替代流動性衡量、計數模型、替代依變數與資料品質敏感度分析進行檢查。結果顯示,市場關注度、個股流動性,以及兩者在控制公司特徵後的邊際解釋力,均未獲主要模型支持;搜尋熱度僅在部分觀察窗口與計數模型中出現對設定敏感的弱證據。補充檢驗顯示,決策日前已有本公司研究報告覆蓋的標的,其報名人次呈較一致的正向條件關聯;惟該變數屬事後增列的補充檢驗,且研究覆蓋與公司規模及客戶既有需求存在共變,不宜作因果解讀。研究結果無法確認僅依靠公開市場指標即可穩定排序法人約訪標的;較合適的實務定位,是將其作為背景監測與人工判斷的輔助資訊。本研究的主要貢獻,在於建立明確的決策日資訊邊界、可重現的資料整合流程,並說明小樣本關聯性分析的適用範圍與限制。


    This study examines whether a brokerage firm's Corporate Access team can use publicly available market information known before the decision date to identify events likely to attract more institutional investor registrations. The sample consists of 40 U.S. equity Corporate Access events involving 39 companies, organized by a single brokerage between June 2025 and April 2026. The primary dependent variable is the number of institutional investor registrations per event. Market attention is measured by abnormal Google Trends search intensity before the decision date, and stock liquidity by average dollar trading volume over the same pre-decision period, with firm size, price momentum, and announcement lead time included as controls. A supplementary indicator of prior brokerage research coverage, defined as whether the firm's research department had published a formal report on the target before the decision date, was added after the main analysis was completed. The main analysis uses ordinary least squares with robust standard errors, complemented by an alternative search window, an alternative liquidity measure, count models, an alternative dependent variable, and data-quality sensitivity checks. The results do not provide sufficient evidence that market attention or stock liquidity is associated with registration counts in the primary models, including after firm characteristics are controlled for. Search intensity shows only weak, specification-sensitive evidence in selected windows and count models. The supplementary test indicates that prior brokerage research coverage is consistently associated with higher registration counts across several specifications; however, this variable was added post hoc and covaries with firm size and existing client demand, so no causal interpretation is warranted. The findings do not establish that publicly observable market indicators alone can reliably rank Corporate Access targets in this sample; such indicators are better used as background monitoring inputs that complement professional judgment. The study establishes a clear decision-date information boundary and a reproducible data integration process, while clarifying the scope and limitations of small-sample associational analysis.

    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究背景與動機 1
    第二節 研究目的與研究問題 3
    第三節 研究範圍與論文架構 5
    第二章 文獻回顧 9
    第一節 投資人關注與搜尋量指標 9
    第二節 流動性與公司特徵 11
    第三節 資訊中介文獻與研究缺口 13
    第三章 研究設計與方法 16
    第一節 研究架構與研究假說 16
    第二節 實證模型 19
    第三節 資料來源與樣本說明 22
    第四節 變數定義 25
    第五節 資料處理流程 31
    第六節 穩健性檢定設計 34
    第四章 實證結果與分析 37
    第一節 樣本概況與描述統計 37
    第二節 相關分析 42
    第三節 OLS 主要模型結果 44
    第四節 券商研究覆蓋之補充檢驗(H4) 47
    第五節 穩健性與敏感度檢定 51
    第六節 本章小結 57
    第五章 結論與建議 58
    第一節 研究結論 58
    第二節 研究限制 61
    第三節 後續研究建議 62
    參考文獻 63
    中文文獻 63
    英文文獻 63
    網路與資料庫來源 65
    附錄 A 補充敏感度與模型診斷 66
    附錄 B 資料建構與查詢稽核 70
    附錄 C 正式樣本活動清單 73

    中文文獻
    黃劭彥、鍾宇軒、沈子崴(2019)。法人說明會影音資訊之內涵。會計評論,68,39–80。https://doi.org/10.6552/JOAR.201901_(68).0002
    楊哲明(2024)。法人說明會對台灣上市公司股價之影響〔碩士論文,國立中央大學〕。
    莊閔琪(2025)。法人說明會及投資人情緒對股價的影響〔碩士論文,國立臺北大學〕。
    鍾宇軒、黃劭彥、戚務君(2013)。法人說明會對企業資訊不對稱的影響。管理學報,30(4),295–322。https://doi.org/10.6504/JOM.2013.30.04.01

    英文文獻
    Amihud, Y. (2002). Illiquidity and stock returns: Cross-section and time-series effects. Journal of Financial Markets, 5(1), 31–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/s1386-4181(01)00024-6
    Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645–1680. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00885.x
    Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2007). Investor sentiment in the stock market. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 129–151. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.21.2.129
    Banz, R. W. (1981). The relationship between return and market value of common stocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 3–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(81)90018-0
    Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2008). All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behavior of individual and institutional investors. The Review of Financial Studies, 21(2), 785–818. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhm079
    Black, F. (1986). Noise. The Journal of Finance, 41(3), 528–543. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1986.tb04513.x
    Blankespoor, E., deHaan, E., & Marinovic, I. (2020). Disclosure processing costs, investors’ information choice, and equity market outcomes: A review. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 70(2–3), Article 101344. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2020.101344
    Brown, S., Hillegeist, S. A., & Lo, K. (2004). Conference calls and information asymmetry. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 37(3), 343–366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2004.02.001
    Bushee, B. J., Jung, M. J., & Miller, G. S. (2011). Conference presentations and the disclosure milieu. Journal of Accounting Research, 49(5), 1163–1192. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-679x.2011.00426.x
    Da, Z., Engelberg, J., & Gao, P. (2011). In search of attention. The Journal of Finance, 66(5), 1461–1499. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01679.x
    Da, Z., Engelberg, J., & Gao, P. (2015). The sum of all FEARS: Investor sentiment and asset prices. The Review of Financial Studies, 28(1), 1–32. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhu072
    Fang, L., & Peress, J. (2009). Media coverage and the cross-section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 64(5), 2023–2052. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2009.01493.x
    Gompers, P. A., & Metrick, A. (2001). Institutional investors and equity prices. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 229–259. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355301556392
    Green, T. C., Jame, R., Markov, S., & Subasi, M. (2014). Access to management and the informativeness of analyst research. Journal of Financial Economics, 114(2), 239–255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.07.003
    Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65–91. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04702.x
    Kirk, M. P., & Vincent, J. D. (2014). Professional investor relations within the firm. The Accounting Review, 89(4), 1421–1452. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-50724
    Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1992). The impact of institutional trading on stock prices. Journal of Financial Economics, 32(1), 23–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(92)90023-q
    Merton, R. C. (1987). A simple model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete information. The Journal of Finance, 42(3), 483–510. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb04565.x
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    Solomon, D. H. (2012). Selective publicity and stock prices. The Journal of Finance, 67(2), 599–638. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01726.x
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    網路與資料庫來源
    Google。Google Trends。取自 https://trends.google.com/trends/(最後查詢日期:2026 年 5 月 25 日)。
    Google。Google 搜尋趨勢資料常見問題。取自 https://support.google.com/trends/answer/4365533?hl=zh-Hant(最後引用日期:2026 年 5 月 25 日)。
    Bloomberg L.P.。Bloomberg Terminal〔資料庫〕。取自 https://professional.bloomberg.com/products/bloomberg-terminal/(最後引用日期:2026 年 5 月 25 日)。

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