| 研究生: |
陳文忠 Chen, Wen-Chung |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
仿射AFNS利率模型參數之校準方法探討 Calibrating the arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel model |
| 指導教授: |
謝明華
Hsieh, Ming-Hua |
| 口試委員: |
謝明華
Hsieh, Ming-Hua 蔡政憲 Tsai, Cheng-Hsien 李宜熹 Lee, Yi-Hsi |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 風險管理與保險學系 Department of Risk Management and Insurance |
| 論文出版年: | 2020 |
| 畢業學年度: | 108 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 33 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 利率期限模型 、參數校準 、AFNS 模型 、Nelder-Mead 方法 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Term Structure Model, Calibration, AFNS model, Nelder-Mead |
| DOI URL: | http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU202001669 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:117 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
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Arbitrage Free Nelson Siegel model (AFNS model) 為滿足無套利條件且具優良配適與預測能力之利率模型,本研究探討 AFNS model 參數之校準方法。文中以台灣公債利率資料與美國公債利率資料為例,使用兩種不同的方式,搭配最小平方法與 Nelder-Mead 方法來校準參數,並比較其計算結果之差異。本文發現第二種參數校準方式可以有效率且準確地找出參數校準值。
Arbitrage-Free Nelson Siegel models is an affine term structure model that satisfies no-arbitrage condition and displays good fit and superior forecasting performance. This study explores the calibration method of AFNS model parameters. In this paper, the interest rate data of Taiwan government bonds and US government bonds are used as examples. Two methods are used, combined with the least square method and the Nelder-Mead method to calibrate the parameters, and the differences in the calculation results are compared. This article found that the second calibration method can efficiently and accurately find the parameter calibration value.
第一章 緒論 7
一、 研究背景與動機 7
二、 研究目的 8
三、 利率名詞簡介 8
四、 研究架構 10
第二章 文獻回顧 11
一、 利率模型介紹 11
二、 最佳化方法 16
第三章 研究方法 18
一、 參數校準方法 18
二、 起始值決定方法 20
第四章 數值結果與分析 23
一、 資料來源 23
二、 參數校準結果 24
三、 市價與模型價之比較 27
第五章 結論30
參考資料 31
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