本文主要研究 2020 年 COVID-19 爆發對台灣失業率的影響。透過全球確診病例數和台灣本土與台灣貿易夥伴實施的 COVID-19 邊境管制政策，調查全球新冠疫情對國內失業的影響。利用 ARDL 分析研究結果顯示，後兩期無論是台灣國內確診病例數，還是進出口國的確診病例數，都對台灣失業率有顯著影響。此外，只有台灣和國外實施的部分疫情邊境管制政策對台灣的失業率產生了顯著影響。

This paper primarily examines the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 on the unemployment rate in Taiwan.It investigates the influence of the global pandemic on domestic unemployment by considering the number of confirmed cases worldwide and the COVID-19 border control policies implemented by Taiwan's trading partners. The results of the study using ARDL analysis showed that both the number of confirmed cases within Taiwan and the number of confirmed cases in importing and exporting countries during the latter two periods significantly affect Taiwan's unemployment rate. Moreover, only certain COVID-19 border control policies implemented in Taiwan and abroad exhibit a notable impact on Taiwan's unemployment rate.

Hanming Fang, Chunmian Ge, Hanwei Huang & Hongbin Li. (2020, November). Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China. NBER. https://www.nber.org/papers/w28072

Lena Hensvik, Thomas Le Barbanchon, Roland Rathelot. (2020, May). Job Search during the COVID-19 Crisis. IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, p.5 https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/13237/job-search-during-the-covid-19-crisis

Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J., & Terry, S. J. (2020). Covid-induced economic uncertainty (Tech. Rep.). National Bureau of Economic Research, p.7 Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/nbr/nberwo/26983.html

Su, C. W., Dai, K., Ullah, s., & Andlib, z. (2021, May). COVID-19 Pandemic and Unemployment Dynamics in European Economies. Taylor & Francis Online Peer-Reviewed Journals and Articles, p.1761 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1912627?needAccess =true&role=button

Murillo Campello, Gaurav Kankanhalli, Pradeep Muthukrishnan. (2020, May). Corporate Hiring under COVID-19: Labor Market Concentration, Downskilling, and Income Inequality. NBER, p.4 https://www.nber.org/papers/w27208

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Sebnem Kalemli-özcan, Veronika Penciakova Nick Sander. (2022, January). Estimating SME Failures in Real Time: An Application to the COVID-19 Crisis. NBER, p.17- 21 https://www.nber.org/papers/w27877

陳美菊、李淑麗 (201004 (10 期)) 全球經濟危機對台灣貿易之影響及對策, 國發會全球資訊網,p.281-283 https://reurl.cc/OEZvlX

Dave Altig, Scott Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, Nick Bloom, Phil Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nick Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka and Greg Thwaites (2020). Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic. IDEAS, p.5-8 https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/pubeco/v191y2020ics0047272720301389.html

Jui-Yao Liu & Tzeng-Ji Chen & Shinn-Jang Hwang. (2020, May). Analysis of Imported Cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan: A Nationwide Study. IDEAS, p.1-12 https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v17y2020i9p3311-d356030.html

Adam Birgersson. (2022). The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Border Restrictions on the Labor Market, A Comparative Case Study on the Border Municipalities in Sweden. DiVA, p.21-23 https://www.diva- portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1669314/FULLTEXT01.pdf

Policy Tracker from Policy Responses to COVID-19. (2021, July). International Monetary Fund. Retrieved on May 10, 2023 https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Policy-Responses-to-COVID-19

Dimitris Drakopoulos, Rohit Goel, Fabio Natalucci, Evan Papageorgiou. (2020, October). Emerging and Frontier Markets: Policy Tools in Times of Financial Stress. IMF Blog. Retrieved on May 10, 2023 https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2020/10/23/blog-emerging-and-frontier- markets-policy-tools-in-times-of-financial-stress