| 研究生: |
許英風 Hsu, Ying-Feng |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
外匯價格變動準備金制度下台灣壽險業衍生性金融商品使用之影響因素 The Determinants of Derivatives Usage under the Foreign Exchange Valuation Reserve Regime: Evidence from Taiwan’s Life Insurance Industry |
| 指導教授: | 張元晨 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 財務管理學系 Department of Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2026 |
| 畢業學年度: | 115 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 45 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 壽險業 、外匯價格變動準備金 、衍生性金融商品 、避險比率 、外匯風險管理 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Life insurance industry, Foreign exchange valuation reserves, Derivatives, Hedging ratio, Foreign exchange risk management |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:6 下載:0 |
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本研究旨在探討台灣壽險業外匯價格變動準備金與衍生性金融商品使用之關聯,並分析影響壽險公司外匯風險管理決策之因素。研究對象為凱基人壽、國泰人壽、富邦人壽、台灣人壽、三商美邦人壽及新光人壽等六大壽險公司,樣本期間涵蓋 2006 年至 2025 年之季度資料。本文以普通最小平方法分析外匯價格變動準備金淨變動對避險比率與衍生性金融商品使用金額之影響,並進一步採用多項式羅吉斯模型與有序羅吉斯模型,檢驗公司特性與外匯風險管理因素對衍生性金融商品使用型態及種類之影響。主要解釋變數包含外匯價格變動準備金淨變動、國外投資比率、公司規模、公司槓桿、負債期間不配合、分離帳戶比率、再保險比率、負債成本、避險成本與外幣資產比例。實證結果發現,外匯價格變動準備金淨變動與避險比率及衍生性金融商品名目金額呈顯著正向關係,表示外匯準備金與外部衍生性金融商品避險並非單純替代關係,而可能具有互補性。此外,國外投資比率、公司規模、公司槓桿與避險成本等因素,亦會影響壽險公司之避險比率、衍生性金融商品使用金額及使用型態。
This study aims to examine the relationship between foreign exchange valuation reserves and the use of derivative instruments in Taiwan’s life insurance industry, and to analyze the factors affecting insurers’ foreign exchange risk management decisions. The sample consists of six major life insurance companies in Taiwan, including KGI Life Insurance, Cathay Life Insurance, Fubon Life Insurance, Taiwan Life Insurance, Mercuries Life Insurance, and Shin Kong Life Insurance, covering quarterly data from 2006 to 2025. This study employs ordinary least squares regression to analyze the effect of changes in foreign exchange valuation reserves on hedging ratios and derivative notional amounts. It further applies multinomial logit and ordered logit models to examine how firm characteristics and foreign exchange risk management factors affect the type and number of derivative instruments used. The main explanatory variables include changes in foreign exchange valuation reserves, foreign investment ratio, firm size, leverage, asset-liability duration mismatch, separate account ratio, reinsurance ratio, liability cost, hedging cost, and foreign-currency asset ratio. The empirical results show that changes in foreign exchange valuation reserves are positively associated with both hedging ratios and derivative notional amounts, suggesting that foreign exchange valuation reserves and external derivative hedging are not merely substitutes, but may instead function as complementary risk management mechanisms. In addition, foreign investment ratio, firm size, leverage, and hedging cost are also found to affect insurers’ hedging ratios, derivative usage amounts, and derivative usage patterns.
1 緒論 1
2 研究背景 3
2.1 台灣壽險業之特殊性:國外投資、外匯風險與外匯價格變動準備金制度 3
2.2 IFRS 17 接軌後之外匯風險管理挑戰 6
3 文獻探討及假說 10
3.1 避險行為 10
3.1.1 外匯準備淨變動 10
3.1.2 避險成本 11
3.2 公司特徵 12
3.2.1 公司規模 12
3.2.2 公司槓桿 12
3.2.3 負債期間不配合 13
3.2.4 負債成本 14
3.3 業務結構與風險移轉 15
3.3.1 分離帳戶比率 15
3.3.2 再保險比率 16
3.3.3 國外投資比率 16
3.3.4 外幣資產比例 17
4 研究方法 19
4.1 樣本來源與資料說明 19
4.1.1 變數定義 19
4.1.2 主要變數資料來源 20
4.1.3 資料處理與資料限制 21
4.1.4 重複變數一致性驗證 22
4.2 研究方法 22
4.2.1 避險比率之迴歸模型 22
4.2.2 衍生商品名目金額與負債遠期外匯合約之迴歸模型 23
4.2.3 衍生性金融商品使用型態之多項羅吉特模型 24
4.2.4 衍生性金融商品使用種類之有序羅吉特模型 25
5 實證結果分析 27
5.1 敘述統計分析 27
5.2 共線性檢定 29
5.3 避險比率之實證結果 29
5.4 衍生性金融商品總名目金額之實證結果 32
5.5 負債端遠期外匯合約部位之實證結果 33
5.6 衍生性金融商品使用型態之實證結果 34
5.7 衍生性金融商品使用種類之實證結果 37
6 結論與建議 39
6.1 研究結論 39
6.2 管理意涵與建議 40
6.3 研究限制與後續研究建議 41
中文參考文獻 43
英文參考文獻 44
[1] 林惠芳、張邦茹、葉寧欣(2012)。壽險公司使用衍生性金融商品決定因素之研究。風險管理學報,14(1),25–47。
[2] 張碩文(2024)。外匯價格變動準備金新制對壽險業外匯避險策略影響分析 〔未出版碩士論文〕。國立臺灣大學。
[3] 金融監督管理委員會保險局(2024)。金管會將推動外匯價格變動準備金新制,協助壽險業提升避險策略運作彈性及強化財務穩健性。
[4] 金融監督管理委員會(2026)。人身保險業外匯價格變動準備金應注意事項。
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全文公開日期 2031/07/13