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研究生： 胡祖慶
論文名稱： 第二階段美蘇戰略武器限制談判 : 美國政策之形成與分析
指導教授： 蘇起
學位類別： 碩士
Master
系所名稱： 國際事務學院 - 外交學系
Department of Diplomacy
論文出版年： 1987
畢業學年度： 75
語文別： 中文
論文頁數： 156
相關次數： 點閱：147  下載：0 
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    • 目錄
    前言………V
    導論………1
    第一章 SALT II的決策結構………7
    第一節 總統………10
    第二節 SALT II的決策核心………11
    第三節 SALT II的決策外圍人士………14
    第四節 國會………16
    第五節 民意及壓力團體………19
    第二章 SALTII歷史性回顧………28
    第一節 SALT I的談判過程………29
    第二節 SALT I的簽訂和批准………33
    第三節 SALT I對SALT II的影響………37
    第三章 SALT II:長夜漫漫(一) ………44
    第一節 海參崴協定………45
    第二節 廣泛性建議………50
    第四章 SALT II:長夜漫漫(二) ………60
    第一節 九月突破………60
    一、國會初步反應不佳………64
    二、瀕臨崩潰的和解關係………66
    三、複雜的核子武器發展局勢………67
    第二節 終局之時………69
    第五章 核子戰略的爭辯………81
    第一節 相互保證毀滅及大致相等的困難………83
    第二節 斯勒辛格主義………86
    第三節 攻勢性嚇阻………88
    第四節 共識的破裂………90
    第六章 蘋果和橘子的較量………96
    第一節 陸基洲際彈道飛彈………96
    第二節 核子潛艇與戰略轟炸機………100
    第三節 灰色地帶武器………103
    第四節 第一擊和投擲重量的爭議………105
    第五節 爾虞我詐………108
    第七章 和解或衝突………116
    第一節 第三世界………117
    第二節 無功而退的胡蘿葡及人權外交………121
    第三節 破碎的中共牌………124
    第四節 過重的負擔………126
    第八章 信心危機………130
    第一節 總統領導………131
    第二節 查證………134
    第三節 西歐的同等防衛………137
    第九章 結論………143
    第一節 冷戰的恢復－失敗的主因………144
    第二節 鑑往知來………146
    參考書目………149

    圖表目次
    圖表一:尼克森－福特政府時代部際間處理SALT相關事務權責安排簡圖………24
    圖表二:卡特政府時代部際間處理SALT相關事務權責安排簡圖………26
    附表三:SALT II歷次談判重要數字表………58
    附表四:SALT II談判期間相關大事記………76
    圖表五:美俄核子武器載具數量比較(1977-1978) ………112

    參考書目
    Aspin, Les. "The Verification of the SALT II Agreement." Scientific American (February 1979): 38–45.
    Bertram, Christoph. "SALT II and the Dynamics of Arms Control." International Affairs (October 1979).
    _____. "Rethinking Arms Control." Foreign Affairs 59-2 (Winter 1980/1981): 352–365.
    _____. Beyond salt II. Adelphi Paper 141. London: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1978.
    Brown, Seyem. The Faces of Power. New York: Columbia University Press, 1983.
    Bundy, McGeorge. "High Hopes and Hard Realities." Foreign Affairs 57-3 (7, 1979).: 492- 502.
    Burt, Richard, "The Scope and Limits of SALT." Foreign Affairs 56-4 (July 1978): 751–770.
    Chalfont, Lord. "SALT II and America's European Allies." International Affairs (October 1979).
    Cohen, Stuard, "SALT Verification: The Evolution of Soviet Views and Their Meaning for the Future." Orbis (Fall 1980)
    Crabb, Cecil Jr. and Holt, Pat M. Invitation to Struggle: Congress, President and Foreign Pollicy. Washington D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Inc., 1984.
    Donley, Michael (ed.). SALT Handbook. Washington D.C.: Heritage Foundation, 1979.
    Downey, Thomas. "The Reagan Freeze on SALT." Arms Control Today 12–10 (November 1982).
    Friedberg, Aron. "What SALT Can (and Cannot) Do." Foreign Policy (Winter 1978/1979): 92-100.
    Frye, Alton, and Rogers, Williams D. "Linkage Begins at Home".
    Foreign Policy 35 (Summer 1979).
    Frye, ALton. "Strategic Restraint, Mutual and Assured". Foreign Policy 27 (Summer 1977): 3-24.
    _____. "How to Fix SALT". Foreign Policy 39 (Summer 1980): 58-73.
    Garner, William V.. “SALT II: China's Advice and Dissent." Asian Survey (December 1979).
    Garthoff, Raymond. "SALT I: An Evaluation". World Politics 31 (October 1978): 1-25.
    _____. D'etente and Confrontation New York: Brookings, 1985.
    Gelber Harry. "SALT and the Strategic Future". Orbis 22-2 (Summer 1978): 283–296. Gray, Collin S. "SALT II: The Real Debate." Policy Review 10 (Fall 1979): 7–22.
    Guertner, Gary L. "Carter's SALT: MAD or SAFE." Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist (October 1979): 28–33.
    Haig, Alexander M. Jr. "Judging SALT II" Strategic Review (Winter 1980).
    Hyland, William G. Soviet-American Relations: A New Cold War. California: Rand, 1981.
    Ikl’e , Fred C. "What to Hope For, and Worry About, in SALT" Fortune (October 1977).
    Jackson, William D. "Policy Assessments of the Crossroads: the Soviets and SALT." Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (April 1979); 10–14.
    Kiselyak, Charles. "Round the Prickly Pear: SALT and Survival." Orbis 22-4 (winter 1979): 815-844.
    Kissinger, Henry A. White House Years Boston: Little, Brown, 1979.
    _____, Years of Upheaval. Boston: Little, Brown, 1982.
    Kondracke, Morton, "The Assault on SALT." The New Republic (December 17 1977): 19-21.
    Labrie, Roger P. (ed.) SALT Hand book: Key Documents and Issues. 1972-1979 Washington D.C.: American Enterprise Institute, 1979.
    Lehman, Christopher and Hughes, Peter C. "’Equivalence’ and SALT II" Orbis (Winter 1977).
    Lodal, Jan M. "Assuring Strategic Stability: An Alternative View." Foreign Affairs 51 (April 1976).
    _____. "SALT II and American Security". Foreign Affairs 57 (Winter 1978/79).
    Legvold, Robert "The Super Rivals: Conflict in the Third World." Foreign Affairs (Spring 1979).
    Mandelbaum., Michael. "In Defense of SALT". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (January 1979): 15-21.
    Matthias, Willard C. "Preview: The Soviet Experts and SALT ..." Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (April 1979): 6-7.
    Moore, David. "The Public is Uncertain" Foreign Policy 35 (Summer 1979): 68-73.
    The New Republic "We Support SALT II." (May 5, 1979): 5–10.
    Nitze, Paul H. "Assuring strateste Stability in an Era of Détente." Foreign Affairs 54 (January 1976).
    _____. "Strategy in the Decade of the 1980s." Foreign Affairs 59–1 (Fall 1980): 82–101.
    _____. "SALT II and American Strategic Considerations." Comparative Strategy 1 (1980): 9-34.
    Payne, Samuel B. Jr. The Soviet Union and SALT Mass: The MIT Press, 1980.
    Pierre, Andrew. "The Diplomacy of SALT" International Securiey (Summer 1980).
    Platt, Alan, The U.S. Senate and Strategic Arms Policy 1969–1977. Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press Inc., 1978.
    Potter. William C. (ed.). Verification and SALT: The Challenge of Strategic Deception. Boulder: Westview, 1980.
    Schwartz, David N. "Salty Debate in the Senate." Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (February 1979); 63-64.
    Sharp, Jane M. O. "Restructuring the SALT Dialogue." Internationel Security 6-3 (Winter 1981 / 1982): 144–176.
    Sienkeiwicz, Stanley, "SALT and Soviet Nuclear Doctrine." International Security 2-1 (Spring 1978): 84-100.
    Slocombe, Walter. "A SALT Debate: Hard But Fair Bargaining." Strategic Review 7-4 (Fall 1979): 22–28.
    Sullivan, David S. "A SALT Debate: Continued Soviet Deception" Review 7-4 (Fall 1979): 29–38.
    Talbott, Strobe Endgame: The Inside Story of SALT II. New York: Harper and Row, 1979.
    _____. U.S.-Soviet Relations: From Bad to worse". Foreign Affairs 58-3 (April 1980).
    Trofimenko, Henry A. "SALT II: A Fair Bargain "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (June 1979): 30-34.
    U. S. Congress. Congressional Research Service Fundamentals of Nuclear Arms Control Part I-Nuclear Arms Control: A Brief Historical Survey Washington D. C. Library of Congress, 1985.
    U.S. News and World Report. "Kissinger on SALT: Highlights of Testmony" (August 13 1979): 77-78.
    Walt, Lewis M. and Norstad, Lauris. "Two Generals on SALT" Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (October 1979): 62-63.
    Wolfe, Thomas W. The SALT Experience. Cambridge, Mass.: Ballinger, 1979.
    Yost, David S. "Beyond SALT II: European Security and the Prospects for SALT III.” Orbis (Fall 1980).
    Zagoria, Donald S. "Into the Breach: New Soviet Alliances in the Third World.” Foreign Affairs (Spring 1979)

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