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研究生: 吳冠樺
Wu, Guan-Hua
論文名稱: 產業定錨效應與 IPO 定價:投資人情緒之調節作用
Industry Anchoring Effects and IPO Underpricing: The Moderating Role of Investor Sentiment
指導教授: 周冠男
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 50
中文關鍵詞: IPO定價錨定效應投資人情緒發行折溢價首日報酬主成分分析行為財務學台灣股票市場
外文關鍵詞: IPO Pricing, Anchoring Effect, Investor Sentiment, Issuance Discount, First-Day Returns, Principal Component Analysis, Behavioral Finance, Taiwan Stock Market
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  • 本研究從行為財務學的角度探討錨定效應與投資人情緒對IPO發行折溢價率及上市首日報酬的影響,並進一步檢驗兩者之間是否存在顯著的交互調節關係。本研究以台灣證券交易所2010年至2026年間共844筆首次公開發行案件為樣本,並將同產業一年內歷史發行案例的平均折溢價率及平均首日報酬作為錨定變數。實證結果顯示,近期同產業的發行折溢價水準幾乎等比例地影響新發行案件的訂價結果,且市場情緒在台灣IPO定價過程中同樣扮演不可忽視的角色。
    本研究最核心的交互效果檢驗中,錨定變數與情緒主成分的交乘項呈現出差異化的調節型態:在承銷訂價階段,情緒偏高時錨定效應有所削弱;在次級市場首日定價階段,情緒偏高時錨定效應反而有所強化,顯示情緒對錨定效應的調節並非單一方向,而是取決於定價機制所處的階段。


    This study explores the impact of anchoring effects and investor sentiment on IPO issuance premium rates and first-day returns from the perspective of behavioral finance, and further examines whether there is a significant interactive moderating relationship between the two. Using a sample of 844 initial public offering (IPO) cases on the Taiwan Stock Exchange from 2010 to 2026, the study employs the average discount/premium rates and average first-day returns of historical issuance cases within the same industry over the past year as anchoring variables. The empirical results show that the recent issuance discount/premium levels within the same industry almost proportionally influence the pricing outcomes of new issuance cases, and that market sentiment also plays an indispensable role in the IPO pricing process in Taiwan.
    In the core interaction effect test of this study, the interaction term between the anchoring variable and the principal component of sentiment exhibits differentiated moderating patterns: during the underwriting pricing stage, the anchoring effect is weakened when emotions are elevated; however, during the secondary market first-day pricing stage, the anchoring effect is actually strengthened when emotions are elevated. This indicates that the moderating effect of emotions on the anchoring effect is not unidirectional but depends on the stage of the pricing mechanism.

    1. Introduction 1
    2. Literature Review 3
    2.1 IPO Underpricing and Pricing Mechanisms 3
    2.2 The Anchoring Effect in Financial Markets 4
    2.3 Investor Sentiment and IPO Pricing 6
    2.4 Interaction Between Sentiment and Cognitive Biases 8
    2.5 Hypothesis Development 10
    3. Data and Methodology 12
    3.1 Data Sources and Sample Selection 12
    3.2 Variable Definitions 15
    3.3 Empirical Models 20
    4. Empirical Results and Analysis 24
    4.1 Descriptive Statistics 24
    4.2 Correlation Analysis 26
    4.3 Principal Component Analysis Results 29
    4.4 Main Regression Results 29
    4.5 Robustness Tests 42
    5. Conclusion 46
    Reference 48

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