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| 研究生： |
蔣靜萍 Chiang, Ching Ping |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱： |
利與義孰為重？以中共對台水果統戰為例 Is the Carrot Mightier than the Stick?Assessing the Effectiveness of China's Fruit Offensive |
| 指導教授： |
冷則剛
Leng, Tse Kang 耿曙 Keng, Shu |
| 學位類別： |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱： |
社會科學學院 - 中國大陸研究英語碩士學程(IMCS) International Master's Program in China Studies (IMCS) |
| 論文出版年： | 2007 |
| 畢業學年度： | 95 |
| 語文別： | 英文 |
| 論文頁數： | 55 |
| 中文關鍵詞： | 兩岸經貿關係 、零關稅 、經濟槓桿理論 、理性與感性理論 、統戰作為 |
| 外文關鍵詞： | cross-Strait economic relations, tariff-free policy, economic leverage, sense and sensitivity, united front |
| 相關次數： | 點閱：126 下載：0 |
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近年中共在逐漸認知到台灣中南部民眾為擁護民進黨當局獨立訴求之強大力量後，相繼透過與台灣在野政黨合作、牽線，以及「放權讓利」式的大批「惠台措施」，冀求爭取農民好感與向心，進而潛移其政治意向。本論文的目的，乃是嘗試由最基層民意的觀點切入，探討中共此番作為的可操作性。作者以深度訪談 (in-depth interview)方式分析，農業貿易「惠台措施」的過程中，誰是真正的贏家? 再者，讓利措施是否真為解決台灣農產品產銷困境的及時雨？其真正意含為何？最後，農民對「中國」（中共）觀感能否因此變移？又是如何轉變?冀以跳脫一般的思維與視角，看待此一頗為特殊之兩岸經貿議題。
Relations across the Taiwan Strait are complicated by “a deep political divide, but close socioeconomic integration.” China recently is aware of Taiwan farmers integrate huge power in the DPP’s independence advocacy, thus tries to sway their political tendency by utility of economic leverage in the form of tariff-free in fifteen species of Taiwan-grown fruit. Not knowing the effectiveness, this thesis aims at searching the truth by way of in-depth interviews with people of agricultural professional; and the narration reveals Taiwanese farmers are not the direct beneficiaries, sometimes even sufferers, in the whole process. Is fruit policy a carrot for Taiwanese farmers or a stick for the ruling government? The answer is hard to define. Other maneuvering tactics between the KMT and CCP and interests of fruit agents were hidden behind China’s so-called “good will” behavior.
1. Chapter 1 Introduction.………………………………….………..…………….…………1
2. Chapter 2 Theories for Cross-Strait Agricultural Trade…………………………………...7
2.1 Economic Leverage Theory.………………………..…………………………...........7
2.2 Sense vs. Sensitivity Theory.………………………..………………………….........10
3. Chapter 3 China’s Tariff-Free Policies on Taiwan-Grown Fruit..………………………..18
3.1 China’s United Front Strategy……………………..…………………………...........18
3.2 China’s Tariff Policy to Taiwan…………………..………………………….............21
4. Chapter 4 Effectiveness of Tariff-Free Policy Implemented…………………….……….25
4.1 Civilians become the real sufferers………………..…………………………...........25
4.2 No Obvious Increase in Fruit Amount…………..…………………………..............32
4.3 Farmers’ profits are quite limited………………..…………………………..............37
4.4 Agents benefit the most………………..………………………….............................39
5. Chapter 5 Conclusion………………………………………..…………………………...42
Reference………………………………………..………….……………………….......44
Appendixes
A. Total Value of Cross-Strait Agricultural Production Trade 1986-2006……………...47
B. Fifteen Policies Issued by China on April 15th. 2006……………….………………48
C. New Policies to Boost Cross-Straits Agricultural Cooperation…….………………..50
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES
Figure 1 Taiwanese’ Twin Attitudes Toward the Mainland………………………11
Figure 2 Framework of the thesis.………………………………………………..16
Table 1 People’s Viewpoint Regarding to Taiwanese Fruits Accessed to
Mainland China and the Related Issues (Surveyed in 2005) …………… 27
Table 2 Taiwan Fruits Export Value from 2004-2006 …………………………...34
Chart 1 Taiwanese People’s Inclination for Unification or Independence…….....32
1. Drezner, Daniel W., 1999/2000, “The Trouble with Carrots: Transaction Costs, Conflict Expectation, and Economic Inducement.” Security Studies 9, no.1-2:, 188-218.
2. Kahler, Miles & Scott L. Kastner. 2006. “Strategic Uses of Economic Interdependence: Engagement Strategies on the Korean Peninsula and across the Taiwan Strait.” Journal of Peace Research 43, no. 5:523-41.
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Beijing -Taipei Relations in Historical Comparison” Issues & Studies 41, No. 1 (March): 113-59.
Books
1. Cheng, Tun-jen, Chi Huang and Samuel S.G.Wu ed., 1995, Inherited Rivalry: Conflict Across the Taiwan Straits, Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner, 1995.
2. Drezner, Daniel W. 1999, The Sanctions of Paradox: Economic Statecraft and International Relations, Cambridge & New York: Cambridge University Press.
3. Gilpin, Robert, 2001, Global Political Economy: Understanding the International Economic Order, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
4. Mainland Affairs Council, 2006, Important Documents on the Government’s Mainland Policy, Mainland Affairs Council, The Executive Yuan.
5. Mainland Affairs Council, 2006, Know Thyself, Know Others: The Neglected Risks of China, Mainland Affairs Council, The Executive Yuan.
6. Tanner, Murry Scot. 2007, Chinese Economic Coercion against Taiwan: A Tricky Weapon to Use, Santa Monica, CA. RAND.
Chinese-language sources
1. Chiang, Lie-fen. 2005. A Study on Subsidize Policy and Execute Mechanisms of Agricultural Co-operatives (wuoguo nongye hezhuo shechang buju zhengtse ji chishing jiche chi yengjio). Master’s thesis, School of Management Development, Feng-chia University.
2. Hsiung, Cheng-i. 2002. “Zhongguo dalu shuiguo shichang poxi” (An analysis of China’s fruit market). Agriculture Policy & Review no. 117: 89-95.
3. Keng, Shu and Zhongsheng Lin, 2005, “The Political Role of the Taiwan Businessmen in Cross-Strait Integration,” (Quanqiuhua Beijingxia de liang’an guanxi yu taishang jiaose), Mainland China Studies, 48: 1, pp. 1-28.
4. Liao, Kun-jung. 2005. “Moral Hazard of Credit Department of Farmers Associations in Taiwan” (Taiwan nonghui shingyuny bu jinging guanli de diode weisheng yengjio). Journal of Public Administration, No. 17: 83-112.
5. Liu, Chao-lung. 1995. Agricultural sector under the Taiwan Miracle (Taiwan Qiji Xiade Nongye Bumen). Master’s thesis, Department of Political Science, National Chung-cheng University.
6. Ni, Po-chia. 2005. “The implication of China-Thailand Zero Tariff Fruit and Vegetable Agreement for cross-Strait trade of agricultural produce” (Zhongtai shuguo lingguanshui xieyi dui liang’an nongchanpin maoyi de qishi). Agriculture Policy & Review no. 156: 51-55.
7. Shi, Ze-yu, On Cross-Taiwan Strait Relations (lian’an guangxi gailung),Yangze: Taipei, 1998.
8. Shong, Jieng, Industrial Management in the Cross-Strait Agriculture (haixia lian’an nongye chiyehua jinging yu guangli), He-fei Industrial University, 2005.
9. Soong, Jenn-Jaw & Hong-Ming Huang 2006, “The Development, Challenge, and Prospect of Current Cross-Strait Political and Economic Relations: Constructing a New Thinking for Cross-Strait Relations,” Prospect and Exploration, Vol.4 No.10, pp.21-34.
10. Tsai, Hong-jin, 2003.Taiwan New Rural Sociology (Taiwan shing shangtsun shehui xue) Chuanhua: Taipei.
11. TPFA. 2006. Farmers’ Associations Yearbook in Taiwan District (Taiwan chu geji nonghui niengbao). Taichung: TPFA.
12. Wan, Chung-wen, A study on the competitive advantage for branded fruit (Pinpai shuiguo shichang jingzheng youshi zhi yanjiu,). Taipei: COA. 2000
13. Wang, Cheng-Hsu, 2006, “Analyzing The Hu Jin-Tao and Wen Jia-Bao’s Political Incremental Reform,” Prospect and Exploration, Vol.4 No.10, pp.1-3.
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