跳到主要內容

簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 鄭惠如
論文名稱: 工資調整指數、最適貨幣政策與績效契約談判
Wage Indexation, Optimal Monetary Policy and Performance Contract Bargainging
指導教授: 賴景昌
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2008
畢業學年度: 97
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 43
中文關鍵詞: 工資調整指數績效契約談判中央銀行最適貨幣政策
外文關鍵詞: Wage Indexation, Performance Contract, Bargaining, Central Bank, Optimal Mometary Policy
相關次數: 點閱:118下載:147
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 本文是以Candel-Sánchez and Campoy-Miñarro (2004)的績效契約制訂為基礎
    ,開放單獨由政府制訂契約的假設,賦予央行與政府部門雙方皆具有談判力,並利用Nash談判解(Nash bargaining solution)做出最適績效契約。此外,我們也討論政府央行的談判力、對薪資的偏好和央行官員保守度在不同工資調整指數下與最適績效契約之間的關係,並分析能影響產出及通貨膨脹穩定性的因素。
    經本文的研究分析,我們可以發現:政府的談判力愈大績效誘因基數愈大,此時能有效抑制通膨產生,但是同時也會使產出下降。當工資調整指數趨於零時,政府的談判力將不會對產出造成影響只會降低通貨膨脹率。
    央行官員若是愈保守愈重視通貨膨脹帶來的效用損失,會使績效誘因基數下降。其中,本文的分析與Rogoff (1985)的有相同的結果,增加央行官員的保守性雖有利抑制通膨且增加通膨穩定性,另一方面卻打擊產出水準同時會使產出易受外來衝擊的影響。當工資調整指數愈低時,央行官員的保守性也會對績效誘因基數的變動愈大。
    央行官員愈關心薪資收入多寡,績效誘因基數就愈低,但是對通貨膨脹與產出的影響則須視談判央行對薪資的偏好程度與最適誘因基數大小而定。政府愈在意營運成本,談判出的最適績效誘因基數會愈低,而且會同時造成通貨膨脹率與產出的上升。
    在討論經濟穩定性時,我們發現僅有央行官員保守程度、工資調整指數與隨機干擾衝擊的變異數會對產出及通貨膨脹率的穩定性造成影響;但納入談判協商得到的績效誘因基數,並不會造成經濟體系的波動。我們也發現本文與Rogoff (1985)的結論相同之處在於央行官員極度保守時會完全消除通貨膨脹率,但是會使產出完全反映隨機干擾項的衝擊。


    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究動機與目的 1
    第二節 文獻回顧 3
    第二章 模型設定 6
    第一節 效用函數 7
    第二節 生產函數與政策工具 8
    本章註解 12
    第三章 工資非僵固假設下之績效契約談判 13
    第一節 績效契約談判過程 13
    第二節 重要變數分析 17
    第三節 穩定性分析 22
    第四節 經濟體系干擾分析 23
    本章註解 31
    第四章 結論 33
    參考文獻 36

    陳昭南、賴景昌和張文雅 (1985),「貶值、工資調整指數與經濟政策-Fleming命題的重新評估」,中央研究院經濟研究所《經濟論文》,第十三卷第二期,頁131-141。

    賴景昌和張俊仁 (2003) ,「工會談判理論」,上課講義。

    賴景昌 (2007) ,「時序不一致」,上課講義。

    Acocella, N. and Bartolomeo, G. D. (2007), “Is Corporatism Feasible?” Metroeconomica58: 340-359

    Aizenman, J. and Frenkel, J. (1985), “Optimal Wage Indexation, Foreign Exchange Intervention, and Monetary Policy, ”American Economic Review 75: 402-423.

    Alesina, A. and Summers, L. H. (1993),“Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 25: 151-162.

    Barro, R. J. and Gordon, D. B. (1983), “A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model,”Journal of Political Economy 91: 589-610.

    Binmore, K., Rubinstein, A. and Wolinsky, A. (1986), “The Nash Bargaining Solution in Economic Modelling,”Rand Journal of Economics 17: 176-188.

    Candel-Sánchez, F. and Campoy-Miñarro, J. C. (2004), “Is the Walsh Contract Really Optimal?”Public Choice 120: 29-39.

    Chortareas, G. E. and Miller, S. M. (2003), “Monetary Policy Delegetion, Contract Costs and Contract Targets,”Bulletin of Economic Research 55: 101-112.

    Cubitt, R. P. (1992), “Monetary Policy Games and Private Sector Precommitment,”Oxford Economic Pappers 44: 513-530.

    ______________ (1995), “Corporatism, Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Performance: A Simple Game Theoretic Analysis,”Scandinavian Journal of Economics 97: 245-259.

    Cukierman, A. (1992), “Central Bank Strategy, Credibility and Independence: Theory and Evidence,”Cambridge: MIT Press.

    Fischer, S. (1977),“Wage Indexation and Macroeconomic Stability,”Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 5: 107-147.

    Fleming, J. M. (1962), “Domestic Financial Policies under Fixed and Floating Exchange Rates,”IMF Staff Papers 9: 369-379.

    Gärtner, M. (2000), “Political Macroeconomics: A Survey of Recent Development,”Journal of Economic Surveys 5: 527-561.

    Gary, J. A. (1976), “Wage Indexation: A Macroeconomic Approach,”Journal of Monetary Economics 2: 221-235.

    Grilli, V., Masciandaro, D. and Tabellini, G. (1991),“Political and Monetary Institutions and Public Finance Policies in the Industrial Countries,”Economic Policy 6: 341-392.

    Hall, P. A. and Franzese, Jr. R. J. (1998), “Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage-Bargaining, and European Monetary Union,” International Organization 52: 505-535

    Kydland, F. E. and Prescott, E. C. (1977),“Rules rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans,”Journal of Political Economy 85: 473-491.

    Lucia, C. D. (2003), “Wage Setters, Central Bank Conservatism and Economic Performance,” Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses.

    Mundell, R. A. (1963), “Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates,”The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science 29: 475-485.

    Rogoff , K. (1985), “The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target,”Quarterly Journal of Economics 100: 1169-1190.

    Svensson, L. E. O. (1997), “Optimal Inflation Targets, Conservative Central Banks, and Linear Inflation Contracts,”American Economic Review, 87: 98-114.

    Turnovsky, S. J. (1983), “Wage Indexation and Exchange Market Intervention in a Small Open Economy,”Canadian Journal of Economics, 16: 574-592.

    Walsh, C. E. (1995),“Optimal Contracts for Central Bankers,” American Economic Review, 85: 150-167.

    QR CODE
    :::