| 研究生: |
彭怡愷 Pomykalova, Lenka |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
利用合成控制法估計加入歐盟對經濟成長的影響:來自中歐四國的證據 Estimating the Impact of Joining the European Union on the Economic Growth Using Synthetic Control Method: Evidence from the Visegrad Group Countries |
| 指導教授: |
楊子霆
Yang, Tzu-Ting |
| 口試委員: |
連賢明
Lien, Hsien-Ming 楊睿中 Yang, Jui-Chung |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
社會科學學院 - 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES) International Master's Program of Applied Economics and Social Development(IMES) |
| 論文出版年: | 2020 |
| 畢業學年度: | 108 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 113 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 歐盟 、合成控制法 、捷克 、斯洛伐克 、波蘭 、匈牙利 |
| DOI URL: | http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU202000585 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:92 下載:34 |
| 分享至: |
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The main aim of the thesis is to estimate the effect of joining the European Union on the Visegrad group countries. The growth effects were estimated for the GDP per capita and the GDP components of the Visegrad group countries by using the synthetic control method. The results of the analysis show that the membership in the European Union had a positive effect on the GDP per capita of three countries, Czech Republic, Slovakia and for the last treated years, Poland. The results revealed negative effect of the membership on the GDP per capita in Hungary. The analysis also showed that the net export per capita was the main driving force of the GDP per capita growth in the Visegrad Group countries, gained by the increased trade with the European Union members and the single market accession. The results for the rest of the GDP components were inconclusive and mostly statistically insignificant.
1 Introduction 1
2 Background 4
2.1 The European Union 4
2.2 The 2004 EU Enlargement 6
2.3 Visegrad Group 8
3 Literature Review 13
4 Data Description 17
4.1 Sample 18
4.2 Variables 19
4.3 Summary statistics 20
5 Methodology 24
6 Preliminary results 27
7 Results 35
7.1 Czech Republic 35
7.2 Hungary 45
7.3 Poland 56
7.4 Slovak Republic 66
7.5 Results comparison 75
8 Discussion 81
9 Conclusion 85
10 References 88
Appendix A: Data description 94
Appendix B: Detail of SCM results 95
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