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研究生: 林楚彬
Lin, Chu Bin
論文名稱: 市場效率和投資人情緒:以期貨和現貨市場間的價格動態調整為例
Market Efficiency and Investor Sentiment: Evidence from the Pricing Dynamics between Futures and Spot Markets
指導教授: 周冠男
Chou, Robin K.
學位類別: 博士
Doctor
系所名稱: 商學院 - 財務管理學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2015
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 45
外文關鍵詞: Information shares, Lead–lag relation
相關次數: 點閱:102下載:62
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  • This study shows that investor sentiment plays an important role in affecting the pricing dynamics between the spot and futures markets. The empirical evidence suggests that investor sentiment has a positive impact on price volatility and the bid–ask spread on both the spot and futures markets, which induces higher arbitrage risk and trading costs during high sentiment periods. As a consequence, during high sentiment periods, informed traders become less willing to leverage their information advantages on the futures market, which diminishes the futures markets’ leading informational role and contributions to price discovery. My findings provide support for the theory of limits to arbitrage.

    CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION 1
    CHAPTER II. LITERATURE REVIEW AND HYPOTHESIS 6
    CHAPTER III. DATA AND MEASUREMENT OF VARIABLES 11
    1. DATA 11
    2. MEASUREMENT OF VARIABLES 12
    CHAPTER IV. EMPIRICAL METHODS 14
    1. STRUCTURAL MODELS FOR VOLATILITY AND
    BID–ASK SPREADS 14
    2. LEAD–LAG RELATION BETWEEN THE FUTURES
    AND SPOT MARKETS 15
    3. INFORMATION SHARES AND FACTOR WEIGHTS 16
    CHAPTER V. EMPIRICAL RESULTS 20
    1. INVESTOR SENTIMENT, PRICE VOLATILITY,
    BID–ASK SPREADS, AND THE LEAD–LAG RELATION 20
    2. INVESTOR SENTIMENT AND THE PRICE DISCOVERY
    PROCESS 24
    CHAPTER VI. INVESTOR SENTIMENT AND THE FUTURES
    TRADING ACTIVITY 27
    CHAPTER VII. CONCLUSION 29
    REFERENCES 31

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