| 研究生: |
林志成 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
我國製造業產品出口競爭能力分析(一九六五-一九七七) 無 |
| 指導教授: | 魯傳鼎 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 國際經營與貿易學系 Department of International Business |
| 畢業學年度: | 68 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 169 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 無 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:91 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
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第一章 緒論1
第一節 研究目的1
第二節 研究方法2
第三節 資料來源與研究限制3
第二章 中、日、韓、星、港製造業產品輸出發展概況8
第一節 工業化策略、經濟成長與輸出之擴張8
第二節 製造業產品輸出在各國總出口中所扮演的角色10
第三節 製造業產品輸往已開發國家之結構分析13
第四節 製造業產品輸出競爭情勢16
第三章 固定市場佔有率(Constant Market Share)之統計方法20
第一節 出口成長與競爭能力之關係20
第二節 理論模型之推演22
第三節 實證應用上所產生之問題24
第四節 實證分析變數之選擇29
第四章 各國製造業輸出績效之測量結果35
第一節 理論模型本身之驗證35
第二節 競爭能力與各國出口擴張之關係44
第三節 商品別與市場別輸出績效之比較49
第五章 出口績效與價格競爭能力之變動56
第一節 所得與價格彈性之估計57
第二節 衡量國際間價格競爭能力之方法59
第三節 價格競爭能力與市場佔有率之改變62
第六章 製造業產品輸出面臨之問題及展望73
第一節 多國公司與開發中國家製造品之輸出74
第二節 國際保護主義對開發中國家製造品輸出之影響76
第三節 未來拓展外銷上幾種可行途徑79
第四節 製造業各分業國際間競爭能力之測量82
第七章 結論與建議89
第一節 結論89
第二節 建議事項93
附錄(一)製造業單位勞動成本之編製97
附錄(二)有效滙率調整購買力平價之出口競爭能力指數99
附錄(三)製造業所得與價格彈性之估計102
附圖(一)〜(四)105
附表(一)~(三十六) 109
參考書目151
勘誤表161
圖表目錄 頁次
圖(一)製造業產品出口單價指數105
圖(二)製造業單位勞動成本指數106
圖(三)製造業勞動生產力指數107
圖(四)製造業出口價格競爭能力指數108
表Ⅱ-1韓國輸出地區變動趨勢12
表Ⅱ-2製造業商品與地理區集中係數14
表Ⅲ-1各國男性襯衫之生產成本66
表Ⅵ-1已開發國家失業率(1970-77) 78
表(一)各國重要經濟指標109
表(二)開發中國家製造品外銷實績統計110
表(三)我國輸出商品結構111
表(四)行業別出口佔有率之比較113
表(五)製造品輸出至已開發國家及開發中國家之比率112
表(六)製造業產品輸出至OECD各主要市場之比率114
表(七)我國製造品輸往OECD國家之主要商品結構114
表(八)各國製造業產品輸出佔有率之擴張115
表(九)OECD進口成長與各國出口成長之等級相關116
表(十)OECD商品別進口成長率(1965-77)117
表(十一)製造業產品輸出績效之比較—製造業全體(SITC 5-8)118
表(十二)製造業產品輸出績效之比較—化學品(SITC 5)119
表(十三)製造業產品輸出績效之比較—原料型製造品(SITC 6)120
表(十四)製造業產品輸出績效之比較—機械及運輸工具(SITC 7)121
表(十五)製造業產品輸出績效之比較—雜項製造品((SITC 8)122
表(十六)製造業產品輸出績效之比較—SITC三位數字分劃123
表(十七)製造業輸出績效之比較(計算期市場佔有率為標準)—製造業全體(SITC-8)124
表(十八)市場區別成長率與輸出績效—製造業全體(SITC 5-8)125
表(十九)市場區別成長率與輸出績效—化學品(SITC 5)126
表(二十)市場區別成長率與輸出績效—原料型製造品·(SITC 6)127
表(二十一)市場區別成長率與輸出績效—機械與運輸設備(SITC 7)128
表(二十二)市場區別成長率與輸出績效—雜項製造品(SITC 8)129
表(二十三)製造業商品別成長率與輸出績效—製造業全體(STIS 5-8)130
表(二十四)製造業商品別成長率與輸出績效(1965-70)131
表(二十五)製造業商品別成長率與輸出績效(1970-75)132
表(二十六)製造業商品別成長率與輸出績效(1965-75)133
表(二十七)製造業商品別成長率與輸出績效(1975-77)134
表(二十八)製造業產品輸出所得與價格彈性之測量135
表(二十九)製造業單位勞動成本137
表(三十)製造業勞動生產力及真實工資上升率138
表(三十一)製造業平均每月工資139
表(三十二)製造業產品輸往已開發國家出口單價指數140
表(三十三)製造業出口價格競爭能力指數142
表(三十四)各國製造業產品專業化分工程度之測量141
表(三十五)製造業各分業比較利益分析(1975)143
表(三十六)製造業產品比較利益之遞演148
一、中文部份:
1.魯傳鼎:「國際貿易在台灣經濟發展過程中的重要性」,經濟部國貿局專題研究(民國63年)。
2.許日和:「台灣進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性」,經濟論文,第一卷第一期,中研院經研所(民國62年2月)。
3.許日和:「台灣按商品類別進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性」,經濟論文,第三卷第一期,中研院經研所(民國64年3月)。
4.陳博志·:「我國出口競爭能力的統計分析」,研究發展叢刊,第一卷第四十一期,(民國65年7月)。
5.許日和、陳昭南:「中日韓貿易之相互依賴程度的變動」,行政院研考會(民國64年3月)。
6.中華民國駐韓大使館經參處,「韓國經濟簡報」,(民國66-67年)。
7.魏萼等,「如何降低外銷工業產品成本以增加對外競爭能力」,經濟部國貿局委託研究報告(民國67年12月)。
8彭淮南:「有效滙率、出口價格競爭能力及滙率制度之檢討」,經濟研究,中興大學經濟系,PP.97-123。
9.劉泰吳、徐育珠等:「對日貿易問題研究」,台灣經濟研究所研究叢刊之二(民國67年5月)。
10.梁國樹:「台灣對外貿易與就業」,台灣對外貿易論文集(民國64年)PP.180-209。
11.薛琦:「我國外資廠商出口傾向的研究」,台北市銀行月刊,第九卷第十一期(民國67年11月)。PP.12-20。
二、英文部份:
1. Aghevli J.T., "A Market Share Analysis of the Expert Growth of 14 Industrial Countries, 1960-1972," IMF Research Deportment, Unpublished Paper, (Aug 1975)
2. Aquino, A., "Intra-Industry Trade and Inter-Industry Specialization as Concurrent Sources of
International Trade in Manufactures." Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv., Heft 3 (1978),
PP.58-85.
3. Balassa., B., "Trade Liberalization and Revealed Comparative Advantage The Manchester School, (May 1965), pp. 99-123.
4.________., "Revealed Comparative Advantage Revised: An Analysis of Relative Export Shares of the Industrial Countries,, 1953-1973,” The Manchester School (Dec,1977). pp.372-43.
5.________., "Export Incentives and Export Performance in Developing Countries-A Comparative Analysis." Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Haft 1 (1978),pp.24-61.
6.________., "Industrial Policies in Taiwan and Korea". Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Heft 1 (1971),pp.55-76.
7. ________., "Recent Developments in the Competitiveness of American Industry and Prospects for the Future," in U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee, Factors Affecting the United States Balance of Payments, Washington U.S. Government Printing Office, (1962)pp.29-54.
8. Baldwin, R.E., "Implication of Structural Changes in Commodity Trade," in U. S. Committee, Factors Affecting the United States Balance of Payments, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, pp. 55-72.
9.________., "The Commodity Composition of Trade: Selected Industrial Countries , 1900-1954 ," Review of Economics and Statistics, (February 1958), pp. 50-60.
10. Brade J.C. and L.J. Wipf, "The Export Performance of East European Nations In Western Markets,” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Heft 1 (1975) PP.121-38.
11. Campbell-boross L.F. and Morgan A.D., "Net Trade: A Note on Measuring Changes in the Competitiveness of British Industry in Foreign Trade," National Institute Economic Review (1974),pp. 77-85.
12. Chan-Lee, J.H. "Intercountry Cost and Price Comparison," IMF Staff Papers Vol. XVIII (1971), pp. 332-88.
13. Chen,. T.A., "Conditions for Success of the Development Strategies Import Substitution and Export Diversification in Southeast Asia" Economic Review, ICBC, (July-August 1973) pp. 11-36.
14. Cohen, B.I. and D.G. Sisler, "Exports of Developing Countries in the 1960’s," Review of Economics and Statistics November1971), pp.354-361.
15. Dangers, J.B. and J. Riedel, "The Expansion of Manufactured Exports in Developing Countries: An Empirical Assessment of Supply and Demand Issues," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Heft 1 (1977) pp.58-85.
16. Donges, J.B., "A Comparative Survey of Industrial Policies in Fifteen Semi-Industrial Countries ," Weltwirtschafliches Archiv Heft 4, (1976). pp. 627-57.
17. ________., “Spain’s Industrial Exports-An Analysis of Demand and Supply Factors ,“ Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Heft 2, (1972),pp.191-234.
18. Fei, C.H. and G. Ranis, "A Model of Growth and Development in the Open Dualistic Economy: The Case of Korea and Taiwan" Journal of Development Studies, (January 1975),
pp.32-63.
19. Fleming J.M. and S.C. Tsiang, "Change in Competitive Strength and Export Shares of Major Industrial Countries," IMF Staff Papers, (August 1956),pp.218-48.
20. Helleiner, G.K., "Manufactured Exports From Less-Developed Countries and Multinational Firms," Economic Jounal 83 (1973) pp. 21-47.
21. Hirsch, F. and H. Higgins, "An Indicator of Effective Exchange Rates," IMF Staff Papers, Vol XVII (November 1970), pp. 453-487.
22. Houthakker, H.S. and S.P. Magee, "Income, and Price Elasticities in World Trade.," Review of Economics and Statistics (May 1969)pp.111-25
23. Husain, I., "Industrial Growth and Export Expansion: The Case of West Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review. (Autumn 1974), pp.308-24.
24. Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) "White Paper on International Trade,"
(1976-1977)
25. Junz, H.B. and R.R. Rhomberg, "Prices and Export Performance of Industrial Countries, 1953-1963," IMP Staff Papers, (July 1965), pp. 224-69.
26. Kerdpibule, V., "The Prospects for Manufacturing Exports of ASEAN Countries: An Exploratory Study," The Malayan Economic Review (Oct. 1974) pp. 21-45.
27. Kingston, J.L., "Export Concentration and Export Performance in Developing Countries, 1954-1967," Journal of Development Studies (July 1976) pp.311-19.
28. Kravis, I.B. and R.E. Lipsey, "Prices Competitiveness in International Trade," Columbia University Press (1971).
29. Leamer, E.E. and R.M. Stern, "Quantitative International Economics, Boston: Allyn and Bacon (1970).
30. Little I.M.D., "Import Controls and Exports in Developing Countries," Finance and Development (September 1978) pp. 20-23.
31. Major, R.L., "The Competitiveness of British Exports Since Devaluation." National Institute Economic Review, No. 48 (1969) pp. 31-35.
32. McGeehan, J.M., "Competitiveness: A Survey of Recent Literature," Economic Journal (June 1968) pp. 243-59.
33. Navekar, P.R., "The Role of Competitiveness in Japan’s Export Performance 1954-1958," IMF Staff Papers (November 1960) pp.85-100.
34. Nowzad, B., "The Resurgence of Protectionism" Finance and Development (September 1978) pp.14-19.
35. Ooms, V.D., "Models of Comparative Export Performance," Yale Economic Essays (Spring 1967), pp. 103-41.
36. Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development, "The International Competitiveness of Selected OECD Countries" OECD Economic Outlook (July 1978) pp.35-44.
37. Parry T.C., "Trade and. Non-Trade Performance of U. S. Manufacturing Industry," The Manchester School. (June 1975), pp.158-72.
38. Richardson, J.D., “Constant-Market-Shares Analysis of Export Growth,” Journal of International Economics, (May 1971). pp. 227-39.
39. Riedel, J. "The Nature and Determinants of Export-Oriented Direct Foreign Investment in a Developing Countries: A Case Study of Taiwan, “Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Heft 3 (1975). pp. 505-28.
40. Romanis, A., "Relative Growth of Exports of Manufactures of United States and Other Industrial Countries ," IMF Staff Papers, (May 1961) pp. 241-73.
41. Rothschild, K.W., "Export Structure, Export Flexibility and Competitiveness ," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, (1975). PP.222-41.
42. Salant, W.A., "Competitiveness and the U.S. Balance of Payments," In: W. Salant etc ., The U.S. Balance of Payments in 1968, The Brookings Institution, Washington, Chp. 3 (1963).
43. Trsgnski, H. "World Trade in Manufactured Commodities, 1899-1950." The Manchester School. (September 1951). pp. 272-304.
44. Uliaai, A., "Exchange Rate, Relative Inflation and Competitiveness: The Italian Case," Review of the Economic Condition in Italy (July-Sep. 1977) pp.241-54.
45. Wortzel, L .H., "Breaking Dependence on MNCs" Columbia Journal of World Business, (winter 1977) pp. 87-95.
46. Yotopoulos, P.A. and J.B. Nugent " Economics of Develpment-Empirical Investigation," (1976) chp.17-18.
統計資料來源
一、中文部份:
1.財政部統計處 「中華民國進出口貿易統計月報」各年期。
2.行政院研考會 「中華民國商品貿易統計—標準國際貿易商品分類」民國65年5月。3.海關總稅務司署 「中華民國出進口貿易統計年刊」各年期。
4.行政院經濟建設委員會 「自由中國之工業」各年期。
5.行政院經濟建設委員會 「中華民國台灣地區製造業薪資統計之調整」民國66年7月。
二、英文部份:
1. Asian Development Bank, Key Indicators of Developing Member Countries of ADB , Various Issues (1965-1978).
2. Census and Statistics Department Hong Kong, Hong Kong Trade Statistics Annual Supplement(1975-1977)
3. Council for Economic Planning and Development Taiwan Statistical Date Book (1978).
4. Department of Statistics, Singapore, Singapore Helf-Yearly Statistics, Various Issues(1975-1977)
5. International Monetary Fund (IMP), International Financial Statistics, Various Issues (1965- 1978).
6. Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Trade by Commodities Country Summaries, Series B, Various Issue(1975-1977).
7. Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)
Trade by Commodities- Market Summaries, series C, Various Issues (1965-1975).
8. United Nations (U.N.), Monthly Bulletin of Statistics, Various Issues.(1965-1978).
9. United Nations (U.N.), Commodity Trade Statistics, Various Issues.(1965-1976).
10.United Nations (U.N.), Statistical Yearbook, Various Issues.(1965-1977).
11.Unitod Nations (U.N.), Yearbook of International Trade Statistics, Various Issues.(1965-1976).
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