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研究生: 江依靜
Jiang, Yi-Jing
論文名稱: 失業對家戶生育決策的影響
Effect of Job Loss on Family’s Fertility Decision
指導教授: 黃柏鈞
Huang, Po-Chun
口試委員: 區俊傑
Ao, Chon-Kit
蘇昱璇
Su, Yu-Hsuan
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 社會科學學院 - 經濟學系
Department of Economics
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 69
中文關鍵詞: 失業非自願離職生育決策薪資所得
外文關鍵詞: Unemployment, Involuntary unemployment, Fertility decisions, Annual earnings
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6814/NCCU202201366
相關次數: 點閱:199下載:34
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  • 本文採用2001–2018年的華人家庭動態資料庫的資料,並根據樣本的就業狀態將持續有工作者作為對照組以探討失業對家庭生育決策的影響。為了研究非自願離職影響生育的其他可能因素,本文亦探討非自願離職對薪資所得的影響。實證結果顯示,非自願離職對男性的生育決策造成顯著的負面影響,其效果隨時間而逐漸擴大–在失業六年後,非自願離職男性會少0.441位子女,而生育率則少25.2個百分點;對女性而言,非自願離職對其生育決策則無顯著影響。


    This thesis analyzes the effects of unemployment on family fertility decisions using the Panel Study of Family Dynamics (PSFD) from 2001 to 2018. I use continuous workers as a control group based on the sample's employment status. In order to examine other potential factors affecting fertility, this paper also estimates the effect of involuntary unemployment on annual earnings. The empirical results show that involuntary unemployment harms male fertility decisions, increasing over time. After six years of unemployment, the treatment group of males has 0.441 fewer children and 25.2 percentage points less the probability of giving birth. For women, however, there is no significant effect of involuntary unemployment on their fertility decisions.

    第一章 緒論 1
    第二章 文獻回顧 6
    第一節 工資報酬、家戶所得與生育決策 6
    第二節 非自願離職與生育決策 7
    第三節 失業率與生育決策 10
    第三章 資料說明與樣本選取 12
    第一節 資料來源 12
    第二節 樣本選擇策略 13
    第三節 變數選擇 15
    第四節 敘述統計 16
    第四章 模型 21
    第一節 差異中之差異法 21
    第二節 事件分析法 23
    第五章 實證結果 24
    第一節 失業對子女數及生育率的影響 24
    第二節 失業對子女數及生育率的動態效果 27
    第三節 失業對個人及家戶年薪資所得的影響 29
    第四節 失業對個人及家戶年薪資所得的動態效果 31
    第六章 結論 34
    參考文獻 36

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