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研究生: 羅元佑
Lo, Yuan Yu
論文名稱: 錨定效應對信評機構影響之研究探討
Anchoring effect on credit rating agency
指導教授: 周冠男
口試委員: 周冠男
徐之強
何耕宇
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 商學院 - 企業管理研究所(MBA學位學程)
Master of Business Administration Program(MBA)
論文出版年: 2017
畢業學年度: 105
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 32
中文關鍵詞: 錨定效應信用評等機構Z-Score模型
外文關鍵詞: Anchoring effect, Credit rating agencies, Z-Score model
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  • 信用評等機構對於企業與市場投資者而言有著重要且無可取代的功能,其所提供之信用評等資訊應當是許多市場投資者所仰賴的重要決策依據,但近年來,卻有許多外界聲浪質疑信評機構評等之準確性,本論文之研究目的即是希望從錨定效應此一行為偏誤之觀點切入,探討國內信評機構在對企業評等時,是否會受到錨定效應影響,導致評等調整不正確或是評等落後其他財務指標等現象發生。

    研究結果顯示,國內信評機構對受評企業之過往財務資訊存在錨定現象,但不至於大幅影響整體違約風險之準確性,且信評機構對受評企業財務之惡化較為敏感。另一方面,本研究也發現,信評機構對於非上市櫃公司、金融業以及初次評等等級在「twAA」以上企業之評等,存在較為明顯之錨定現象。


    Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) play a major role in the financial market. Credit rating purport to provide investors with valuable information they need to make decisions about investing, but the accuracy of the rating itself has been called into question by many investors in recent years. The purpose of this study is to examine the anchoring effect on CRAs while the rating is being given.

    The results indicate that domestic CRAs tend to be anchored on the past financial information of the issuers. But the impacts are very slightly. Besides this, CRAs seem relatively sensitive to the financial deterioration. Moreover, the anchoring effect are much more significant when the debt issuers are private firms, financial institutions or the companies with greater or equal to twAA initial credit rating.

    表次 IV
    圖次 IV

    第一章 緒論 1
    第一節 研究背景與動機 1
    第二節 研究貢獻 2
    第三節 研究架構 2
    第二章 文獻探討與假說建立 3
    第一節 錨定效應 3
    第二節 國內信評機構之發展與評等架構 4
    第三節 信評機構準確性之探討 6
    第三章 研究方法 8
    第一節 研究資料、對象與期間 8
    第二節 計量模型與變數 10
    第四章 實證結果與分析 15
    第一節 整體樣本之錨定效應判定 18
    第二節 不同因素下之錨定效應判定 20
    第五章 結論與建議 30
    參考文獻 31

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