| 研究生: |
莫瑞恆 Mauricio Argueta |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
美元化和比特幣的採用對薩爾瓦多經濟的影響 The influence of Dollarization and Bitcoin Adoption in El Salvador's Economy |
| 指導教授: |
薛健吾
Chien-Wu, Hsueh |
| 口試委員: |
蘇彥斌
Yen-Pin, Su 湯智貿 Chih-Mao, Tang |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
國際事務學院 - 國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS) International Master's Program in International Studies(IMPIS) |
| 論文出版年: | 2024 |
| 畢業學年度: | 112 |
| 語文別: | 英文 |
| 論文頁數: | 133 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 經濟 、美元化 、比特幣 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Economy, Dollarization, Bitcoin |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:23 下載:3 |
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本論文研究了美元化和比特幣採用對薩爾瓦多經濟的交織影響,提出了開創性的分析,探討了這兩種重要的經濟策略如何相互補充和影響。 2001年,薩爾瓦多採用美元作為官方貨幣,此舉旨在穩定經濟、抑制通貨膨脹、吸引外國投資。二十年後,薩爾瓦多做出了一項大膽且前所未有的決定,於 2021 年成為第一個採用比特幣作為法定貨幣的國家。
這項研究是第一個深入分析這兩項變革政策對單一國民經濟的同時影響的研究之一。透過採用計量經濟模型、政策分析和定性訪談等混合方法,本文試圖闡明發展中經濟體中傳統貨幣和數位貨幣之間的多方面關係。研究結果預計將為政策制定者、經濟學家和國際金融機構提供寶貴的見解,強調將數位貨幣融入美元化經濟的潛在好處和挑戰。這項研究的結果可以為其他國家考慮類似的經濟策略樹立先例,從而為貨幣創新和金融現代化的全球討論做出貢獻。最終,本文旨在深入了解美元化和比特幣的採用如何共同塑造薩爾瓦多的經濟格局,為全球金融的未來提供前瞻性的視角。
This thesis investigates the intertwined impacts of dollarization and Bitcoin adoption on El Salvador's economy, presenting a pioneering analysis that explores how these two significant economic strategies complement and influence each other. In 2001, El Salvador adopted the U.S. dollar as its official currency, a move aimed at stabilizing the economy, curbing inflation, and attracting foreign investment. Two decades later, in a bold and unprecedented decision, El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender in 2021. This dual currency strategy presents a unique case study in modern economic policy.
This study is among the first to provide an in-depth analysis of the concurrent impacts of these two transformative policies in a single national economy. By employing a mixed-methods approach, including econometric modeling, policy analysis, and qualitative interviews, this thesis seeks to elucidate the multifaceted relationship between traditional and digital currencies in a developing economy. The findings are expected to offer valuable insights for policymakers, economists, and international financial institutions, highlighting both the potential benefits and challenges of integrating digital currencies within a dollarized economy. The results of this research could set a precedent for other nations contemplating similar economic strategies, thereby contributing to the global discourse on monetary innovation and financial modernization. Ultimately, this thesis aims to provide a nuanced understanding of how dollarization and Bitcoin adoption collectively shape the economic landscape of El Salvador, offering a forward-looking perspective on the future of global finance.
I. Introduction Pg. 1
1.1 Background Pg. 1
1.2 Motivation Pg. 6
1.3 Research Question Pg. 9
1.4 Argument/ Main Findings Pg. 11
1.5 Research Method and Limitations Pg. 13
II. Political and Economic Problems in El Salvador Pg. 15
2.1 Political Background Pg. 16
2.2 Economic Background Pg. 22
2.3 Security and it’s problem in society and Economics Pg. 27
2.4 What’s Next Pg. 31
III. The Influence of Dollarization Pg. 35
3.1 Dollarization and it’s process Pg. 35
3.2 Pros of dollarization Pg. 42
3.3 Cons of Dollarization Pg. 44
3.4 Analyzing the change of the related Indexes Pg.48
3.5 Conclusion Pg.71
IV. The Influence of Bitcoin Adoption Pg. 75
4.1 Bitcoin 101 Pg.76
4.2 Introduction of Bitcoin Adoption in El Salvador and it’s process Pg.80
4.3 Pros of Bitcoin Adoption Pg.84
4.4 Cons of Bitcoin Adoption Pg.86
4.5 Analyzing the change of the related Indexes Pg.90
4.6 Conclusion Pg.103
V. Conclusion Pg.107
5.1 General Conclusion Pg. 107
5.2 Pro’s and Con’s Review Pg. 111
5.3 Future Research and Policy Suggestions Pg. 119
Citations. Pg.125
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