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研究生: 楊宇誠
Yang, Yu-Cheng
論文名稱: 地緣安全需求下印度太空國防暨外交政策分析(2007-2023)
The Analysis of India’s Space National Defense and Foreign Policy under Geopolitical Security (2007-2023)
指導教授: 陳秉逵
CHEN, PING-KUEI
口試委員: 吳崇涵
WU, CHONG-HAN
鄭子真
CHENG, TZU-CHEN
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 國際事務學院 - 外交學系
Department of Diplomacy
論文出版年: 2026
畢業學年度: 114
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 157
中文關鍵詞: 印度太空國防安全威脅平衡地緣安全官僚議價模型柔性平衡理論
外文關鍵詞: India Space Defense Security, Balance of Threat, Geopolitical Security, Bureaucratic Politics Model, Soft Balancing Theory
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  • 印度太空產業發軔於獨立後的十餘年間,最初以民用、社會與經濟導向為主,並明確反對太空軍事化。然而,隨著中國崛起,其在太空領域逐步取代俄羅斯的影響力,並展現爭奪太空霸權的野心,從 2007 年試射反衛星武器(ASAT)到 2015 年推動「太空版一帶一路」,皆顯示其戰略意圖。此外,中國透過「一帶一路」框架強化對巴基斯坦的支持,對印度周邊國家的外交與經濟布局進一步加劇印度的安全憂慮。在長期競爭意識、邊界爭端與恐怖主義等地緣挑戰的影響下,印度開始將其純熟的太空技術應用於國防戰略,以確保國家安全與區域競爭優勢。本研究旨在分析印度近代太空發展背後的安全考量與威脅認知,並探討政府內部各決策部門與科研機構在太空國防政策上的立場與角色。透過比較不同機構對來自中國與巴基斯坦威脅的評估,檢視印度在「理想的政策協調狀態」下如何整合專業知識制定國家戰略,以及在部門立場分歧時,如何透過 Graham Allison「官僚議價決策模型」(bureaucratic politics model)的內部角力影響最終政策走向。最後,本文將以此脈絡分析印度如何運用太空戰略強化國家競爭力,以應對中國與巴基斯坦在區域內的零和競爭,並提出當前政策可調整之處,以進一步強化其太空國防佈局。


    India's space industry originated in the decade following its independence, initially emphasizing civilian, social, and economic development while explicitly opposing the militarization of outer space. However, with the rise of China, Beijing gradually replaced Russia as the dominant external influence in the regional space domain and increasingly demonstrated its ambition to compete for space supremacy. From its 2007 anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon test to the launch of the "Space Silk Road" initiative in 2015, China's actions have reflected its expanding strategic objectives. Furthermore, through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), China has strengthened its support for Pakistan and expanded its diplomatic and economic influence among India's neighboring countries, thereby intensifying India's security concerns. Influenced by long-standing strategic rivalry, persistent border disputes, and the threat of terrorism, India has increasingly incorporated its advanced space capabilities into its national defense strategy in order to safeguard national security and maintain its regional strategic advantage.
    This study aims to examine the security considerations and threat perceptions underlying the evolution of India's contemporary space development, as well as to analyze the positions and roles of key governmental decision-making bodies and scientific institutions in shaping India's space defense policy. By comparing how different institutions assess the threats posed by China and Pakistan, this research explores how India formulates national strategy under an ideal condition of policy coordination through the integration of professional expertise. It also examines how divergent bureaucratic preferences influence policy outcomes through the internal bargaining process described in Graham Allison's Bureaucratic Politics Model. Finally, based on this analytical framework, the study investigates how India employs its space strategy to strengthen national competitiveness in response to the zero-sum strategic competition with China and Pakistan, and proposes potential policy adjustments to further enhance India's space defense posture.

    第一章:緒論
    第一節 研究動機及目的 1
    第二節 文獻探討 3
    第三節 從理論面向檢視印度太空國防的發展 14
    第四節 研究途徑、研究方法與研究限制 18
    第五節 章節安排 23

    第二章:理論背景-對威脅平衡、柔性平衡的內涵檢視
    第一節 威脅平衡與內部平衡的聯繫 27
    第二節 柔性平衡的應用 33
    第三節 小結 37

    第三章:印度太空發展沿革及現有太空資源檢視
    第一節 印度太空發展之緣由 44
    第二節 印度太空發展歷史沿革 47
    第三節 印度現有民用太空資產 53
    第四節 印度過往太空國防資源檢視 55
    第五節 小結 62

    第四章:地緣政治之條件檢視-威脅來源與合作對象
    第一節 威脅來源的認定及評估過程 64
    第二節 主要的地緣戰略威脅來源 72
    第三節 地緣戰略上的外交布局-柔性平衡的利用 79
    第四節 小結 90

    第五章:印度太空國防執掌單位與政策決策邏輯
    第一節 各單位對於太空利用的共識 92
    第二節 印度太空政策的結構性改變 95
    第三節 印度官僚體系之政策偏好及利益關注差異分析 100
    總理辦公室(PMO, Prime Minister Office)的視角 103
    太空部(DoS, Department of Space)的視角 106
    ISRO(印度太空研究組織)的功能流變與視角 109
    國防部的視角 119
    國防太空署(Defense Space Agency, DSA)的視角 120
    國防研究與發展組織(DRDO)與國防太空研究組織(DSRO) 125
    第四節 印度各太空部門的互動與協作分析 131

    第六章:結論與未來研究建議
    第一節 結論 142
    第二節 未來建議研究方向 144

    第七章:參考文獻 148

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