| 研究生: |
黃鈺家 |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
台灣證券市場財務危機與異常報酬之關係-以價值型投資策略為例 Financial distress and anomalies in Taiwan stock market- value-based strategy |
| 指導教授: | 張興華 |
| 學位類別: |
碩士
Master |
| 系所名稱: |
商學院 - 金融學系 Department of Money and Banking |
| 論文出版年: | 2013 |
| 畢業學年度: | 101 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 38 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 異常報酬 、信用風險 、財務危機 、價值型投資策略 、信用評等 |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:129 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
市場上存在許多傳統資產模型無法解釋的異常現象,本論文將探討台灣證券
市場異常報酬投資策略之獲利與財務危機間的關聯性,重點放在價值型投資策略,
由買進高淨值市價比的公司股票,放空低淨值市價比的股票,建構出價值型投資
組合。此投資策略的主要獲利來源出自投資組合的多頭部位,即高淨值市價比的
公司。且信用風險作為財務危機的代理變數,在解釋異常報酬上扮演重要角色,
價值型投資策略的異常報酬在高信用風險公司是較大的,表示財務危機的影響是
有反映在股票報酬上的。而與美國市場的結果不同,信用評等降評對報酬的影響
在台灣證券市場並不顯著。
Anomalies exist in the markets that cannot be explained by traditional
asset-pricing models. This paper assesses implications of financial distress for the
profitability of anomaly-based trading strategies in Taiwan stock market. We focus on
the value-based strategy which conditions on the BM ratio. It involves buying highest
BM and selling lowest BM stocks. Financial distress, as proxied by rating downgrades,
is likely to be a primary ex ante indicator of a company’s future performance.
Anomaly returns of value-based strategy are bigger in high credit risk companies. But
unlike the evidence in U.S market, rating downgrades only have limited impact on
stock returns in Taiwan.
摘要 ......................................................................................................................... i
表目錄 ....................................................................................................................... iv
第一章 緒論 .............................................................................................................. 1
第一節 研究背景 ..................................... 1
第二節 研究動機 ..................................... 1
第二章 文獻回顧 ..................................................................................................... 4
第一節 資產定價模型 ................................. 4
第二節 證券市場異常現象 ............................. 5
第三節 財務危機與異常報酬 ........................... 6
第三章 研究方法 ..................................................................................................... 8
第一節 資料來源與研究期間 ........................... 8
第二節 價值策略樣本選取標準 ........................ 13
第三節 投資報酬之計算 .............................. 13
第四章 實證結果與分析 ..................................................................................... 14
第一節 規模、價值與信用評等 ........................ 14
第二節 信用評等降評之影響 .......................... 22
第三節 迴歸分析 .................................... 23
第五章 結論 ............................................................................................................ 26
iii
參考文獻 ................................................................................................................... 27
附錄 ...................................................................................................................... 32
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